google flu trend daily, since 2012-01-27 (google updates at ~14:30 MET)
actual google flu trends , daily or weekly updated, here in this first post USA,
Jan.26: early states are clearly down now, still up in Sacramento
172 US-weekly charts from GFT, 2013.02.24: location-names see post 10
latest is West Hollywood, which is still close to the peak in week 9
comparing 1999/0,2003/4,2012/3 , weekly updated (Friday or Saturday)
--- the peak is not so high in 2012f, but it stays quite long at high level--- (week 5)
img]http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/attachment.php?attachmentid=16171&stc=1&d=13646180 74[/img]
http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/attachment.php?attachmentid=16053&stc=1&d=13622222 28[/img]
img]http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/attachment.php?attachmentid=16008&stc=1&d=13615905 25[/img]
2003/4 started even earlier than 2012/3 and was probably more severe than 2012/3 will be,
but 1999/0 could be compared.
1999/0 was also worse than average and started in week 47 in region 9 (IMO),
it peaked in week 52 in regions 4,5,7,8,9,10 and in week 1 in regions 1,2,3,6.
I'd assign the "start", the week where it got considerably steeper than a week wave,to :
actually in week 51 regions 1,2,3,4,5 are worse than in 1999 while 6,7,8,9,10 are weaker,
especially 9 (CA,NV,AZ)
week : regions 1999 - regions 2012
47:9 - 4,6
49:8 - 3,5
50:5,7 - 8,10
51:1,3,4,10 - 1,2
img]http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/attachment.php?attachmentid=15562&stc=1&d=13567696 36[/img]
the 2012 data for region 9 look incorrect, so the national average for 2012, week 51
should be a bit higher (still not as high as 1999)
CDC modified the 122 Cities MRS case definition for reporting P&I deaths for the 1999-2000 season.
in weeks 40,...,07 there is more ILI in total now than in 1999f , since it goes down slower
more than 1999f in USA(all),and regions 8,7,6,5,4,2
more than in 2003f in regions 2,4,7
most was region 6 (Texas) fewest in region 1 (Boston)
--------------------------------------------------------------
in total (weeks 40-20) this was more ILI now in 2012f, than in 1999f or 2003f because of the slow decline.
Attached Images 99vs12i.gif (10.4 KB, 120 views)
goo0107.GIF (4.1 KB, 11 views)
0108.GIF (1.6 KB, 9 views)
dfu09.gif (4.2 KB, 19 views)
goo0110.gif (4.3 KB, 25 views)
goo0111.gif (7.5 KB, 23 views)
99031201.GIF (16.9 KB, 86 views)
udf0112.gif (7.7 KB, 17 views)
172b.gif (8.1 KB, 94 views)
udf0113.GIF (7.6 KB, 29 views)
usd0114.gif (8.3 KB, 17 views)
udf0115.gif (7.8 KB, 14 views)
du0116.gif (7.8 KB, 7 views)
udf0117.gif (8.1 KB, 3 views)
udf0118.GIF (7.8 KB, 5 views)
99031202.GIF (16.3 KB, 29 views)
udf0119.gif (8.9 KB, 6 views)
udf0120.gif (8.1 KB, 5 views)
130120.GIF (6.9 KB, 17 views)
99031203.GIF (16.9 KB, 28 views)
DU0126.GIF (3.4 KB, 3 views)
172c.gif (9.2 KB, 32 views)
99031204.gif (16.8 KB, 24 views)
usgoo05.GIF (9.6 KB, 15 views)
---------------------------------------
23.Feb.2013:
99vs12i.gif (10.4 KB, 125 views)
goo0107.GIF (4.1 KB, 12 views)
0108.GIF (1.6 KB, 10 views)
dfu09.gif (4.2 KB, 19 views)
goo0110.gif (4.3 KB, 26 views)
goo0111.gif (7.5 KB, 23 views)
172b.gif (8.1 KB, 95 views)
usd0114.gif (8.3 KB, 17 views)
du0116.gif (7.8 KB, 8 views)
130120.GIF (6.9 KB, 19 views)
DU0126.GIF (3.4 KB, 4 views)
172c.gif (9.2 KB, 34 views)
usgoo05.GIF (9.6 KB, 19 views)
130210.GIF (10.1 KB, 13 views)
99031206.GIF (17.2 KB, 8 views)
172d.gif (10.4 KB, 3 views)
99031207.GIF (17.5 KB, 1 views)
Code:
(max2009,max2012)0127,0128,0129,0130,0131,0201,0202,0203,0204,0205,0206,0207,0208,0209,0210,0211,0212,0213,0214,0215,0219,0220,0221,0222,0223.0224,0225,0226,0227,0228,0301,0302,0307 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- de: (1687,1144)1332,1386,1446,1496,1535,1579,1611,1641,1672,1722,1770,1806,1837,1851,1876,1902,1913,1943,1987,2005,2127,2127,2109,2096,2068,2023,1977,1938,1896,1862,1816,1781,1535 fr: (0874,0498)0703,0800,0898,0997,1089,1162,1235,1278,1303,1311,1274,1258,1321,1328,1324,1308,1279,1282,1256,1167,1069,1047,1024,0982,0943,0894,0809,0757.0677,0608,0540,0481,0275 fr,ra:(1379,0727)0929,1025,1142,1233,1356,1419,1561,1641,1699,1783,1796,1766,1931,1877,1834,1728,1627,1587,1522,1315,1146,1112,1079,1067,1004,1002,0882,0798,0683,0610,0533,0477,0273 ch: (0262,0204)0598,0634,0665,0688,0722,0725,0718,0719,0711,0690,0682,0672,0670,0681,0687,0695,0702,0702,0703,0696,0628,0610,0586,0561,0552,0537,0516,0507,0486,0462,0447,0417,0311 nl: (0199,0096)0233,0245,0246,0256,0271,0275,0270,0270,0259,0247,0225,0204,0192,0184,0174,0164,0161,0162,0160,0160,0180,0174,0166,0159,0150,0141,0131,0122,0118,0112,0113,0110,0090 be: (0866,0543)0802,0899,1005,1106,1238,1365,1469,1499,1567,1565,1493,1475,1465,1406,1387,1334,1276,1236,1189,1075,1066,1042,0941,0891,0844,0753,0653,0603,0562,0557,0538,0501,0394 at: (1524,1540)1598,...,.....,1881,1972,2022,2052,2063,2084,2068,2082,2097,2137,2114,2141,2203,2217,2208,2216,2212,2341,2390,2397,2409,2408,2408,2366,2322,2256,2201,2150,2105,1806 us: (7112,2860)9408,9130,8998,8603,8165,7808,7492,7209,6868,6542,6252,6018,5819,5664,5541,5445,5251,5064,4912,4753,4368,4325,4278,4279,4261,4240,4188,4131,4049,3980,3917,3845,3595 jp: (1137,2341)3872,4405,5032,5340,5430,5375,5309,5273,5083,4765,4329,3971,3653,3311,3057,2680,2422,2249,2063,1902,1514,1442,1412,1388,1383,1381,1380.1334,1294,1234,1193,1155,0890
Jan.26: early states are clearly down now, still up in Sacramento
172 US-weekly charts from GFT, 2013.02.24: location-names see post 10
latest is West Hollywood, which is still close to the peak in week 9
comparing 1999/0,2003/4,2012/3 , weekly updated (Friday or Saturday)
--- the peak is not so high in 2012f, but it stays quite long at high level--- (week 5)
img]http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/attachment.php?attachmentid=16171&stc=1&d=13646180 74[/img]
http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/attachment.php?attachmentid=16053&stc=1&d=13622222 28[/img]
img]http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/attachment.php?attachmentid=16008&stc=1&d=13615905 25[/img]
2003/4 started even earlier than 2012/3 and was probably more severe than 2012/3 will be,
but 1999/0 could be compared.
1999/0 was also worse than average and started in week 47 in region 9 (IMO),
it peaked in week 52 in regions 4,5,7,8,9,10 and in week 1 in regions 1,2,3,6.
I'd assign the "start", the week where it got considerably steeper than a week wave,to :
actually in week 51 regions 1,2,3,4,5 are worse than in 1999 while 6,7,8,9,10 are weaker,
especially 9 (CA,NV,AZ)
week : regions 1999 - regions 2012
47:9 - 4,6
49:8 - 3,5
50:5,7 - 8,10
51:1,3,4,10 - 1,2
img]http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/attachment.php?attachmentid=15562&stc=1&d=13567696 36[/img]
the 2012 data for region 9 look incorrect, so the national average for 2012, week 51
should be a bit higher (still not as high as 1999)
CDC modified the 122 Cities MRS case definition for reporting P&I deaths for the 1999-2000 season.
in weeks 40,...,07 there is more ILI in total now than in 1999f , since it goes down slower
more than 1999f in USA(all),and regions 8,7,6,5,4,2
more than in 2003f in regions 2,4,7
most was region 6 (Texas) fewest in region 1 (Boston)
Code:
sum of adjusted ILI-ratios for weeks 40...07 in USA, 3 seasons, 10 regions 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 all ------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1999f: 32.7 53.9 66.2 49.0 37.1 67.7 52.9 34.7 95.4 58.3 57.3 2003f: 42.1 46.7 66.2 51.5 63.0 108.4 62.4 52.8 67.3 63.0 64.2 2012f: 32.5 57.8 55.9 56.5 48.6 94.6 64.0 45.2 66.1 34.8 59.4
in total (weeks 40-20) this was more ILI now in 2012f, than in 1999f or 2003f because of the slow decline.
Code:
sum of adjusted ILI-ratios for weeks 40...20 in USA, 3 early seasons, 10 regions region 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 all ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 1999f: 36.2 67.7 101.8 57.0 43.1 72.0 62.7 37.6 109.2 61.6 68.6 2003f: 46.5 63.6 85.8 59.6 72.3 118.7 71.9 60.1 78.1 70.4 75.1 2012f: 47.4 84.8 80.2 74.5 67.7 125.8 82.3 62.0 95.2 44.4 82.0
Attached Images 99vs12i.gif (10.4 KB, 120 views)
goo0107.GIF (4.1 KB, 11 views)
0108.GIF (1.6 KB, 9 views)
dfu09.gif (4.2 KB, 19 views)
goo0110.gif (4.3 KB, 25 views)
goo0111.gif (7.5 KB, 23 views)
99031201.GIF (16.9 KB, 86 views)
udf0112.gif (7.7 KB, 17 views)
172b.gif (8.1 KB, 94 views)
udf0113.GIF (7.6 KB, 29 views)
usd0114.gif (8.3 KB, 17 views)
udf0115.gif (7.8 KB, 14 views)
du0116.gif (7.8 KB, 7 views)
udf0117.gif (8.1 KB, 3 views)
udf0118.GIF (7.8 KB, 5 views)
99031202.GIF (16.3 KB, 29 views)
udf0119.gif (8.9 KB, 6 views)
udf0120.gif (8.1 KB, 5 views)
130120.GIF (6.9 KB, 17 views)
99031203.GIF (16.9 KB, 28 views)
DU0126.GIF (3.4 KB, 3 views)
172c.gif (9.2 KB, 32 views)
99031204.gif (16.8 KB, 24 views)
usgoo05.GIF (9.6 KB, 15 views)
---------------------------------------
23.Feb.2013:
99vs12i.gif (10.4 KB, 125 views)
goo0107.GIF (4.1 KB, 12 views)
0108.GIF (1.6 KB, 10 views)
dfu09.gif (4.2 KB, 19 views)
goo0110.gif (4.3 KB, 26 views)
goo0111.gif (7.5 KB, 23 views)
172b.gif (8.1 KB, 95 views)
usd0114.gif (8.3 KB, 17 views)
du0116.gif (7.8 KB, 8 views)
130120.GIF (6.9 KB, 19 views)
DU0126.GIF (3.4 KB, 4 views)
172c.gif (9.2 KB, 34 views)
usgoo05.GIF (9.6 KB, 19 views)
130210.GIF (10.1 KB, 13 views)
99031206.GIF (17.2 KB, 8 views)
172d.gif (10.4 KB, 3 views)
99031207.GIF (17.5 KB, 1 views)
Comment