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Supply of BASIC PREP Threatened!!!

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  • Supply of BASIC PREP Threatened!!!

    Forget about the price of rice, wheat, and gas. The price of chocolate could explode:


    Chocolate would be as expensive as caviar in another 20 years

    Washington, July 13 : If the reports of decline in yields across cocoa planations are to go by, then chocolate would be as expensive as caviar in another 20 years.


    "I think that in 20 years chocolate will be like caviar," said John Mason, executive director and founder of the Ghana-based Nature Conservation Research Council (NCRC).

    "It will become so rare and so expensive that the average Joe just won't be able to afford it," he added.

    The prospect of a future without a ready supply of chocolate is not a pleasant thought for anyone, but it's an even more terrifying prospect for producer countries that depend on cocoa beans for a huge portion of their GDP.

    According to Mason, yields are declining all across the cocoa plantations of West Africa, where two thirds of the world's supply is grown, as soils are degraded and the area able to support the crop retreats.

    "The way we farm is just not sustainable," he said. "I'm afraid by the time we wake up to that fact it will be too late. I've worked in Ghana for 25 years and I can show you huge areas that can no longer support a crop," he added.

    The problem is that cocoa is naturally a rainforest plant that grows in shady conditions surrounded by a high biodiversity, but recently hybrid varieties have been grown on cleared land as mono-cultures and in full sun.

    While this will give higher short term yields, the soil quickly becomes degraded and the lifespan of plants can be cut from 75 or 100 years, to 30 or less.

    When the trees die and the land is exhausted, the farmers must move on and clear more rainforest to plant cocoa.

    But the looming decline of West African cocoa is not only a problem for farmers and chocolate producers. Environmentalists are increasingly concerned about the destruction of the rainforest for short-term gain.

    The forest is not only an important habitat in its own right, but its removal is also affecting the microclimate and changing rainfall patterns, compounding the negative effects of global warning, according to the NCRC.

    But, according to Mason, while the scale of the problem is huge, if the right steps are taken soon, a permanent collapse of the cocoa crop is avoidable.

    <!-- google_ad_section_end --> "The funny thing is we can reverse this. It will cost, certainly, but we can do it," said Mason. "The carbon trading market may be one way of making it more affordable, paying farmers for retaining biodiversity as a carbon off-set. We need to make these links," he added. [/color] --- ANI





  • #2
    Re: Supply of BASIC PREP Threatened!!!

    Hopefully this yield problem does not extend to coffee



    The problem is that cocoa is naturally a rainforest plant that grows in shady conditions surrounded by a high biodiversity
    For those interested more on biodiversity here.


    and biodiversity in your vegetable garden

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    • #3
      Re: Supply of BASIC PREP Threatened!!!

      they'll produce all these flavours in a factory.
      Or make a pill that when you eat bread you
      think you eat chocolate.
      Or make a pill that you no longer want chocolate.
      Or make something better than chocolate, so
      you forget about chocolate.
      Or grow cocoa by bacteria or in bio-reactors.
      Or...

      do we really need chocolate ?
      and oil ?
      and chickens ?
      I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
      my current links: http://bit.ly/hFI7H ILI-charts: http://bit.ly/CcRgT

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      • #4
        Re: Supply of BASIC PREP Threatened!!!

        do we really need chocolate ?
        Yes!!!

        Cocoa butter is used in many bath and body products; it would be greatly missed. There are a number of butters available as substitutes but none smell as good.
        The salvage of human life ought to be placed above barter and exchange ~ Louis Harris, 1918

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        • #5
          Re: Supply of BASIC PREP Threatened!!!

          India tackled and resolved this problem of massive soil erosion in it's tea plantations nearly 30 years ago; not only did it improve soil fertility and crop yields, it substantially reduced pathogen diseases and drought tolerance as well as reduce problem weeds. Bio-dynamic crop management technology can be used to reverse degradation and erosion problems elsewhere, and return once-arable land to agricultural use - where it is needed most.

          Disease threatens choc production.
          BBC, News, BBC News, news online, world, uk, international, foreign, british, online, service


          "World cocoa production could decline if diseases ravaging South American crops spread to other major cocoa producing regions, UK scientists have warned. "

          It will be very interesting to see if the cause of wheat (and now rice) rusts and cocoa fungal diseases are related.

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          • #6
            Re: Supply of BASIC PREP Threatened!!!

            Speaking of coffee

            Ugandan coffee may disappear in 30 years
            FRANK NYAKAIRU KAMPALA, UGANDA Jul 17 2008 16:01

            Changing weather patterns in Uganda may lead to the extinction of the East African country's key export, coffee, in coming decades, a report by British charity Oxfam said on Thursday.

            Uganda is Africa's second biggest coffee producer after Ethiopia and has become a major player in robusta coffee production after political unrest in former top grower C?te d'Ivoire slashed output.

            "The outlook is bleak. If the average global temperatures rise by two degrees or more, then most of Uganda is likely to cease to be suitable for coffee ... this may happen in 40 years or perhaps as little as 30," the report said.

            The report, Turning up the heat, Climate Change and Poverty in Uganda, said effects of global warming like increasing temperatures, more intense rains and storms, had led to erratic rainfall patterns in Uganda.

            Coffee output in 2007/08 is seen at 2,85-million bags, up from 2,7-million the year before.

            "According to the United Nations Environmental Programme, only patches of land on the periphery will still be able to grow coffee ... In the meantime, coffee farmers are going to have to adapt to rising temperatures," the report said.

            Across much of Uganda, the climate is bimodal, meaning that there are two rainy seasons -- the first from March to June and the second from October to January.

            Rainfall during the rainy seasons has become unreliable, it said, adding that reduced rain during the March to June season was causing drought, reductions in crop yields and plant varieties.

            The late season rainfall was coming in more intense and destructive downpours, bringing floods, landslides and soil erosion, it said.

            "But, farmers have continued to invest in Uganda's Robusta coffee and export earnings have continued to increase. This has helped protect losses from climatic problems," said Philip Gitao, head of the East African Fine Coffees Association.

            Farmers have also adopted good husbandry practices such as using more hardy coffee plants, added Gitao, who was quoted in the Oxfam report. - Reuters
            Changing weather patterns in Uganda may lead to the extinction of the East African country's key export, coffee, in coming decades, Oxfam said.

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