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Bird flu "looting" egg prices worse
0 Comments2017-02-08 06:44:55 Source: Futures Daily Author: Zhang Tian Miao [COLOR=#FF0000 !important]see what to buy in the main![/COLOR]
This week, some parts of the country again confirmed cases of avian flu. According to Chih-Hua Yang Xiaolei egg data research manager, by 2014, 2015, two consecutive years of substantial profitability, laying hens farmers greatly increase the enthusiasm, 2016 in the laying hens all the way up.
This week, some parts of the country again confirmed cases of avian flu. Related Bulletin, 2017 Hunan Province, a total of 20 cases of human infection with H7N9 influenza cases, including 5 cases of death. Recently, Henan Province, there are cases of human infection with H7N9 confirmed cases of avian influenza.
According to past experience, the impact of avian flu on domestic egg consumption will have a certain impact. "Some consumers in the case of H7N9 do not understand, may choose not to consume or reduce the consumption of egg products." Beijing Egg Products Sales and Marketing Association Secretary-General Wang Zhongqiang told the Futures Daily reporter recently, he was often consulted because of whether Eggs, poultry and poultry infected with avian flu, some people simply choose not to consume eggs and chicken. This is on the off-season in the consumption of eggs is undoubtedly worse.
It is understood that Hunan, Changsha, Yueyang and other places of the live poultry market has been temporarily closed, once the live bird infected with H7N9 influenza virus, the market will immediately culling of poultry.
From the national point of view, after the avian flu epidemic in 2014, many consumers are gradually understanding of the H7N9 virus, the market did not panic on the eggs of the product panic. The impact of avian flu on the egg industry, more from the consumption of the expected shift to the future part of the farmers on the progress of the phase-out.
"In fact, this year since the egg period, the price trend is mainly determined by the supply and demand side." One industry source said the recent eggs, the overall spot price remained weak, the average price of the four northern provinces egg dropped to 2310 yuan / 500 kilogram. After the Spring Festival, egg futures prices continue to fall sharply, once fell to 3,300 yuan / 500 kg the following. Despite the current egg spot prices have fallen to nearly 5-year low, but futures prices are still higher than the spot price of 100 yuan / 500 kg.
Long-term feed costs down the center of gravity caused by the egg down. At present, the market's focus is that the price of eggs below the cost line can be maintained for how long, whether it can lead to the old chicken and even the peak layer eliminated.
According to Chih-Hua Yang Xiaolei egg data research manager, by 2014, 2015, two consecutive years of substantial profitability, laying hens farmers greatly increase the enthusiasm, 2016 in the laying hens all the way up. Among them, from July to September 2016 by the egg price downturn and may be a greater impact on the old chickens, laying hens out of a substantial, resulting in laying hens for 3 consecutive months of decline, but the overall population is still Big. However, by the first half of 2016 the impact of a larger amount of make-up, in October 2016 in the laying hens to continue to increase. According to Chiwah data on the monitoring of laying hens, as of November 2016, the country's laying hens in the amount of 1.271 billion, an increase of 1.37% over October, an increase of 4.87% over the same period in 2015.
In addition, the continued increase in the amount of livestock, while the profits of each layer of farming remain stable. From 2016 point of view, net profit per kilogram of eggs continued to lose a short time. "In fact, after July 2014, each layer is almost 10 yuan to maintain profitability, the peak of each layer of breeding profits even as high as 30 yuan." Yang Xiaolei told reporters on the Futures Daily, the third quarter of 2015 after a substantial feed prices Decline in 2016, although the egg price center of gravity down, but the farming profits have not been affected, each layer of chicken farming profits remained at 10 yuan.
The data show that in 2016 layer of chicken farming did not appear sustained losses. Some market participants said that in 2013 due to long-term loss of farming, resulting in most of the retail out of laying hens, resulting in the hot market of eggs in 2014, while the 2016 egg prices remain low, but did not appear sustained losses, in view of this , 2017 layer production capacity is still large. At present, the price of eggs to go through at least 2-3 months of low running, it may be turning point.
zhttp://futures.jrj.com.cn/2017/02/08064422035507.shtml
0 Comments2017-02-08 06:44:55 Source: Futures Daily Author: Zhang Tian Miao [COLOR=#FF0000 !important]see what to buy in the main![/COLOR]
This week, some parts of the country again confirmed cases of avian flu. According to Chih-Hua Yang Xiaolei egg data research manager, by 2014, 2015, two consecutive years of substantial profitability, laying hens farmers greatly increase the enthusiasm, 2016 in the laying hens all the way up.
This week, some parts of the country again confirmed cases of avian flu. Related Bulletin, 2017 Hunan Province, a total of 20 cases of human infection with H7N9 influenza cases, including 5 cases of death. Recently, Henan Province, there are cases of human infection with H7N9 confirmed cases of avian influenza.
According to past experience, the impact of avian flu on domestic egg consumption will have a certain impact. "Some consumers in the case of H7N9 do not understand, may choose not to consume or reduce the consumption of egg products." Beijing Egg Products Sales and Marketing Association Secretary-General Wang Zhongqiang told the Futures Daily reporter recently, he was often consulted because of whether Eggs, poultry and poultry infected with avian flu, some people simply choose not to consume eggs and chicken. This is on the off-season in the consumption of eggs is undoubtedly worse.
It is understood that Hunan, Changsha, Yueyang and other places of the live poultry market has been temporarily closed, once the live bird infected with H7N9 influenza virus, the market will immediately culling of poultry.
From the national point of view, after the avian flu epidemic in 2014, many consumers are gradually understanding of the H7N9 virus, the market did not panic on the eggs of the product panic. The impact of avian flu on the egg industry, more from the consumption of the expected shift to the future part of the farmers on the progress of the phase-out.
"In fact, this year since the egg period, the price trend is mainly determined by the supply and demand side." One industry source said the recent eggs, the overall spot price remained weak, the average price of the four northern provinces egg dropped to 2310 yuan / 500 kilogram. After the Spring Festival, egg futures prices continue to fall sharply, once fell to 3,300 yuan / 500 kg the following. Despite the current egg spot prices have fallen to nearly 5-year low, but futures prices are still higher than the spot price of 100 yuan / 500 kg.
Long-term feed costs down the center of gravity caused by the egg down. At present, the market's focus is that the price of eggs below the cost line can be maintained for how long, whether it can lead to the old chicken and even the peak layer eliminated.
According to Chih-Hua Yang Xiaolei egg data research manager, by 2014, 2015, two consecutive years of substantial profitability, laying hens farmers greatly increase the enthusiasm, 2016 in the laying hens all the way up. Among them, from July to September 2016 by the egg price downturn and may be a greater impact on the old chickens, laying hens out of a substantial, resulting in laying hens for 3 consecutive months of decline, but the overall population is still Big. However, by the first half of 2016 the impact of a larger amount of make-up, in October 2016 in the laying hens to continue to increase. According to Chiwah data on the monitoring of laying hens, as of November 2016, the country's laying hens in the amount of 1.271 billion, an increase of 1.37% over October, an increase of 4.87% over the same period in 2015.
In addition, the continued increase in the amount of livestock, while the profits of each layer of farming remain stable. From 2016 point of view, net profit per kilogram of eggs continued to lose a short time. "In fact, after July 2014, each layer is almost 10 yuan to maintain profitability, the peak of each layer of breeding profits even as high as 30 yuan." Yang Xiaolei told reporters on the Futures Daily, the third quarter of 2015 after a substantial feed prices Decline in 2016, although the egg price center of gravity down, but the farming profits have not been affected, each layer of chicken farming profits remained at 10 yuan.
The data show that in 2016 layer of chicken farming did not appear sustained losses. Some market participants said that in 2013 due to long-term loss of farming, resulting in most of the retail out of laying hens, resulting in the hot market of eggs in 2014, while the 2016 egg prices remain low, but did not appear sustained losses, in view of this , 2017 layer production capacity is still large. At present, the price of eggs to go through at least 2-3 months of low running, it may be turning point.
zhttp://futures.jrj.com.cn/2017/02/08064422035507.shtml