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Insurers: Bird flu pandemic could cost $53 billion

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  • Insurers: Bird flu pandemic could cost $53 billion

    Bird flu pandemic could cost insurers $53 billion

    Mon Mar 27, 2006 1:20 PM ET

    NEW YORK, March 27 (Reuters) - A bird flu pandemic could cost European life insurers as much as 20 billion pounds ($34.92 billion) in extra claims and U.S. insurers about $18 billion, a report said on Monday.

    These payouts would likely be tolerable for the life insurance industry; and as long as an outbreak were temporary, the companies' credit quality would not likely change, but profitability could be hurt, the report from Fitch Ratings said.

    A deadly bird flu virus has spread into Europe and Africa and resurfaced in Asia, but so far the virus mainly affects birds. The International Monetary Fund has warned that the flu could hurt the economy globally. So far, there have been just over 100 confirmed human deaths from the virus, but Fitch said experts have estimated a possible global death toll of a flu pandemic at 2 million to 50 million.

    Among insurers, life insurers would likely be hardest hit by the bird flu, Fitch said. But a substantial part of the risk of life insurance payouts would likely be borne by reinsurance companies, which provide insurance to insurers.

    The ratings agency estimated that 400,000 bird flu deaths could occur in Europe and 209,000 in the United States. But an outbreak of the disease could increase demand for life insurance, which could mitigate losses from deaths, Fitch said.

    Large outbreaks of bird flu could cut into investment market performance, which would also hurt life insurers, Fitch said.


  • #2
    Re: Insurers: Bird flu pandemic could cost $53 billion

    400000 deaths in Europe. Apparantly Finch already knows this
    while all experts are still uncertain.
    That's what Finch bases their ratings upon...
    I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
    my current links: http://bit.ly/hFI7H ILI-charts: http://bit.ly/CcRgT

    Comment


    • #3
      Re: Insurers: Bird flu pandemic could cost $53 billion

      Thanks Robin and gsgs. The fact is that many insurers could be wiped out.

      Here are some more links to this situation:

      http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/showthread.php?t=3053

      This thread talks about the losses that re-insurers could face. They insure the insurance companies.

      http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/showthread.php?t=3053

      This thread shows the SIPC program in the United States that insures the stock brokerages. This program is not government backed and could potentially bankrupt if too many brokerages failed at the same time.

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