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Tracking the Evolution of a ?Variant of Concern? in Brazil - P.1

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  • Tracking the Evolution of a ?Variant of Concern? in Brazil - P.1

    NOTE: This is not a 'Not Proven Science Ideas' article as subscription title indicates.

    ... To understand better how the P.1 variant led to such an explosion of new COVID-19 cases, the researchers developed a mathematical model that integrated the genomic data with mortality data. The model suggests that P.1 may be 1.7 to 2.4 times more transmissible than earlier variants. They also estimate that a person previously infected with a variant other than P.1 will have only 54 percent to 79 percent protection against a subsequent infection with P.1.
    ...

    By last October, about three out of every four residents of Manaus, Brazil already had been infected with SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19 [1]. And yet, despite hopes of achieving “herd i…

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