If we do not see ILI come up in surveillance at the point before an outbreak begins - I think it will be clear that we are going to be dealing with a very bad/high CFR. If, on the other hand, we see ILI pick up before we actually pick up on an outbreak - will feel more comfortable that the COVID-19 CFR is lower than current projections. We are on the downward curve of flu season so an uptick in ILI would be noticeable.
Are any of you familiar with ILI surveillance in countries where outbreaks are being reported? South Korea? Italy? Japan? Recent ILI summaries may help give a preliminary picture of impact before and during outbreak events.
Are any of you familiar with ILI surveillance in countries where outbreaks are being reported? South Korea? Italy? Japan? Recent ILI summaries may help give a preliminary picture of impact before and during outbreak events.
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