Obviously the numbers from China are suspect.
However, there is now a substantial number of patients hospitalized outside of China which should allow a determination of the cfr for optimally treated cases within the next couple of weeks.
However, the cfr will be entirely different when the hospital resources are overstretched and support is minimal.
So we must hope that the current efforts to isolate the potential patients to halt the spread of the disease are successful. If we see the same exponential growth in cases here and in Europe as we have seen in China, the cfr will be brutal and apply to a massive number of instances.
However, there is now a substantial number of patients hospitalized outside of China which should allow a determination of the cfr for optimally treated cases within the next couple of weeks.
However, the cfr will be entirely different when the hospital resources are overstretched and support is minimal.
So we must hope that the current efforts to isolate the potential patients to halt the spread of the disease are successful. If we see the same exponential growth in cases here and in Europe as we have seen in China, the cfr will be brutal and apply to a massive number of instances.
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