Re: Argentina - Cases of A/H1N1 - 617 deaths
Thank you, Tonka!!
So we have raw numbers here! Let see what their are telling us:
Argentinian population (2009): 40,134,425
Positiveness lab confirmed: 11,458 / 27,267 = 0.4202
Estimated A(H1N1)v cases: 1,367,179 x 0.4202 = 574,489
A(H1N1)v deaths= 617
CFR(%) = 617x100/574.489 = 0.1074
Atack Rate(%): 100 x A(H1N1)v clinical cases / subceptible population
100 x 574,489 / 40,134,425 = 1.4314 %
Conclusions??:
Thank you, Tonka!!
So we have raw numbers here! Let see what their are telling us:
Argentinian population (2009): 40,134,425
Positiveness lab confirmed: 11,458 / 27,267 = 0.4202
Estimated A(H1N1)v cases: 1,367,179 x 0.4202 = 574,489
A(H1N1)v deaths= 617
CFR(%) = 617x100/574.489 = 0.1074
Atack Rate(%): 100 x A(H1N1)v clinical cases / subceptible population
100 x 574,489 / 40,134,425 = 1.4314 %
Conclusions??:
- Virus has pretty skills to kill significantly (not mild).
- Fortunately for us, it appears to have dificulty to spread itself between large population (unlike in small groups: family, classroom, etc).
- By no way it has reached predicted Atack Rate: 20-30%.
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