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Protective Effect of Maritime Quarantine in South Pacific Jurisdictions,

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  • Protective Effect of Maritime Quarantine in South Pacific Jurisdictions,

    Protective Effect of Maritime Quarantine in South Pacific Jurisdictions,
    1918?19 Influenza Pandemic


    "..Strict maritime quarantine appears to have been a successful method for delaying and excluding influenza for at least 4 South Pacific Island jurisdictions in the influenza pandemic that began in 1918. Some of these apparent benefits of maritime quarantine may have been attributable to minimal ship contact and geographic remoteness, but these explanations are unlikely given that there were ultimately few places protected in this wayin the Pacific. The reasons for the lower mortality rates in jurisdictions that achieved successful delay are unclear.

    Viral attenuation over time is 1 possibility, although good supportive data for this and other explanations are lacking.

    Nevertheless, the use of border control for the future protection of islands from pandemics must take into consideration the different nature of 21st-century societies, such as contact as a result of regular air travel. Island jurisdictions need to continue to undertake pandemic planning for effective border control (potentially with the assistance of larger nations
    or regional and international agencies). Because some of these jurisdictions involve widespread archipelagos, planning for within-country border control, especially for those populated islands with no airports, is also desirable.

    Further modeling studies that are specific to the characteristics of island jurisdictions are also needed to better determine the probability that border control can succeed in the modern era.

    Nevertheless, now that influenza transmission is better understood, modifications could be made to enhance traditional border control measures to minimize disruptions. For example, in the event of a future pandemic, islands could potentially still trade by ship or plane if they did not allow crews to disembark and if they instituted effective infection control with ongoing surveillance of workers who handle cargo..."

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