India Influenza 2014

[Ronan Kelly]

Link to 2013 thread: http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/sho...d.php?t=199861

Flu reports are few and far between from India this year. If it ain't "swine flu" it doesn't make it into media reports and there are no published state or national surveillance figures. Media reported fatalities are listed below. Worth bearing in mind that a recent study estimated that, during the 2009-10 pandemic, confirmed fatalities in India represented only 2-3% of total H1N1 fatalities. Thus these confirmed H1N1 fatalities could represent between 310 and 450 actual H1N1 deaths, which in turn suggests tens, if not hundreds of thousands of H1N1 cases this year. The most recent GISRS surveillance data is not picking up any H1N1 activity - showing 1. that this surveillance is wholly inadequate and 2. that influenza B is more prevalent in India this year (at least wherever the samples were taken). So these H1N1 deaths are just a fraction of total influenza deaths, but it really is all we've got to give some sort of insight into how influenza is affecting one sixth of the world's population. Click on any state for more detailed thread.

Gujarat: 5
Andhra Pradesh: 3
Himachal Pradesh: 1
Rajasthan: 1
The fatalities from Himachal & Rajasthan died in hospitals located in Punjab & Maharashtra respectively.

Total: 10

http://gamapserver.who.int/gareports/Default.aspx?ReportNo=1

[Ronan Kelly]

Re: India Influenza 2014

Link to 2013 thread: http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/sho...d.php?t=199861

Influenza activity is continuing at low levels in India this year. Media reported H1N1 fatalities are listed below. Worth bearing in mind that a recent study estimated that, during the 2009-10 pandemic, confirmed fatalities in India represented only 2-3% of total H1N1 fatalities. Thus these confirmed H1N1 fatalities could represent between 1,085 and 1,575 actual H1N1 deaths, which in turn suggests hundreds of thousands of H1N1 cases this year that are not being picked up on the GISRS surveillance. Of course, H1N1 deaths are just a fraction of total influenza deaths, but it really is all we've got to give some sort of insight into how influenza is affecting one sixth of the world's population. Click on any state for more detailed thread.

Gujarat: 14
Karnataka: 9
Rajasthan: 8
Andhra Pradesh: 3
Himachal Pradesh: 1

The fatality from Himachal & one from Rajasthan died in hospitals located in Punjab & Maharashtra respectively.

Total: 35

http://gamapserver.who.int/gareports/Default.aspx?ReportNo=1

[Ronan Kelly]

Re: India Influenza 2014

Five H1N1 deaths in Kerala, surge in Gujarat and Rajasthan push fatality rate to over 20%
Written by Shaju Philip , Abantika Ghosh | Thiruvananthapuram/new Delhi | June 27, 2014 1:49 am Print

SUMMARY
Officials in the Health Ministry fear this may be a year in the H1N1 cycle of greater fatalities.

A 25-year-old woman in Kasaragod district of Kerala died of H1N1 on Thursday, taking this year’s toll in Kerala to five. Health officials expressed concern over the spurt in deaths caused by the influenza in Gujarat and Rajasthan over the past few months.
Officials in the Health Ministry fear this may be a year in the H1N1 cycle of greater fatalities. There has been a 21 per cent fatality rate from the disease this year — or one in every five people who contracted the disease have died.
Until June 8, officials said, 89 deaths had been registered while the total number of H1N1 cases was only 414. Gujarat with 31 deaths and Rajasthan with 22 deaths contributed more than 50 per cent of the deaths reported in the country so far. In Rajasthan, one in every two people who got the disease died, while in Gujarat about one in three succumbed.
Karnataka reported 11 deaths, followed by Maharashtra (8), Andhra Pradesh (6), Punjab (6), and Tamil Nadu (2).
...

http://indianexpress.com/article/india/india-others/five-h1n1-deaths-in-kerala-surge-in-gujarat-and-rajasthan-push-fatality-rate-to-over-20/

Karnataka has since increased to 14 fatalities. With today's two new deaths from Kerala, the national confirmed toll has increased to 94. Of course the real toll is much higher than that. See post above for details. - Ro

[Ronan Kelly]

Re: India Influenza 2014

Influenza activity is continuing at low levels in India this year. Reports have increased over the past few weeks. Media reported H1N1 fatalities are listed below. Worth bearing in mind that a recent study estimated that, during the 2009-10 pandemic, confirmed fatalities in India represented only 2-3% of total H1N1 fatalities. Thus these confirmed H1N1 fatalities could represent between 3,040 and 4,410 actual H1N1 deaths, which in turn suggests hundreds of thousands of H1N1 cases this year that are not being picked up on the GISRS surveillance. Of course, H1N1 deaths are just a fraction of total influenza deaths, but it really is all we've got to give some sort of insight into how influenza is affecting one sixth of the world's population. Click on any state for more detailed thread.

Gujarat: 31
Rajasthan: 22
Karnataka: 14
Maharashtra: 8
Kerala: 7
Andhra Pradesh & Punjab: 6 each
Tamil Nadu: 2
Himachal Pradesh & Madhya Pradesh: 1 each

The fatality from Himachal & one from Rajasthan died in hospitals located in Punjab & Maharashtra respectively.

Total: 98

http://gamapserver.who.int/gareports/Default.aspx?ReportNo=1

[Ronan Kelly]

Re: India Influenza 2014

Looking at the GISRS, overall Influenza activity in India this year is comparable to 2013. H3N2 dominated for much of the year. Influenza B seems to have been active all year and H1N1 was in the minority. India does not produce Influenza surveillance reports and Indian media remains concerned about H1N1 only. Media reported H1N1 fatalities are listed below. Worth bearing in mind that a recent study estimated that, during the 2009-10 pandemic, confirmed fatalities in India represented only 2-3% of total H1N1 fatalities. Thus these confirmed H1N1 fatalities could represent between 4,680 and 6,870 actual H1N1 deaths, which in turn suggests hundreds of thousands of H1N1 cases this year that are not being picked up on the GISRS surveillance. Of course, H1N1 deaths are just a fraction of total influenza deaths, but it really is all we've got to give some sort of insight into how influenza is affecting one sixth of the world's population. Click on any state for more detailed thread.

Maharashtra: 37
Gujarat: 33
Rajasthan: 26
Karnataka: 21
Kerala: 12
Andhra Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh & Punjab: 6 each
Tamil Nadu: 2
Himachal Pradesh & Uttar Pradesh: 1 each


Total: 151

http://gamapserver.who.int/gareports/Default.aspx?ReportNo=1

[Ronan Kelly]

A report released today putting the number of influenza H1N1 fatalities at 204. FluTrackers' tally is a little higher - see below.

NEW DELHI, December 27, 2014
Updated: December 27, 2014 00:58 IST
Swine flu death toll 204 till November

SMRITI KAK RAMACHANDRAN

As many as 831 confirmed cases of swine flu were reported in the country between January 2014 and November 30, out of which 204 people died.

The maximum number of cases (155) was reported in Gujarat, where 55 people succumbed to the disease followed by Maharashtra with 42 deaths and 112 cases. Karnataka and Punjab reported 294 cases and 33 deaths and 56 cases and 30 deaths respectively.
...

http://www.thehindu.com/news/national/swine-flu-death-toll-204-till-november/article6728753.ece

Looking at the GISRS, overall Influenza activity in India this year is comparable to 2013. H3N2 dominated for much of the year. Influenza B seems to have been active all year and H1N1 was in the minority. In 2013 around 700 H1N1 fatalities were confirmed. India does not produce Influenza surveillance reports and Indian media remains concerned about H1N1 only. Media reported H1N1 fatalities are listed below. Worth bearing in mind that a recent study estimated that, during the 2009-10 pandemic, confirmed fatalities in India represented only 2-3% of total H1N1 fatalities. Thus these confirmed H1N1 fatalities could represent between 7,099 and 10,305 actual H1N1 deaths, which in turn suggests hundreds of thousands of H1N1 cases this year that are not being picked up on the GISRS surveillance. Of course, H1N1 deaths are just a fraction of total influenza deaths, but it really is all we've got to give some sort of insight into how influenza is affecting one sixth of the world's population. Click on any state for more detailed thread.

Gujarat: 55
Maharashtra: 43
Karnataka: 33
Punjab: 30
Rajasthan: 28
Telangana/Andhra Pradesh: 14
Kerala: 12
Madhya Pradesh: 8
Tamil Nadu: 3
Delhi, Himachal Pradesh & Uttar Pradesh: 1 each


Total: 229

[Ronan Kelly]

Posted at: Jan 3 2015 12:15AM
Swine flu back: 216 deaths since last year; 34 in Punjab
...
Aditi Tandon
Tribune News Service
New Delhi, January 2
...
Government figures show that so far, since January last, there have been 902 laboratory confirmed cases of the fatal respiratory infection and 216 reported deaths
...

http://www.tribuneindia.com/news/nation/swine-flu-back-216-deaths-since-last-year-34-in-punjab/25608.html

[Ronan Kelly]

From National Health Profile 2015

http://www.cbhidghs.nic.in/writereaddata/mainlinkFile/NHP-2015.pdf