Re: Acute Flaccid Paralysis in India
Nice find, RoRo. I noticed that in the data, too. India is reporting higher numbers of non-polio AFP cases then would be otherwise expected. By comparison, Mexico, with about 1/10th the population of India, reports about 500 cases a year. By that comparison, India should report only 5000 cases a year. Instead, they reported over 60,000 cases last year, about 12 times the number expected.
Your post above raises one possibility; that large numbers of VDVP cases are occurring and not being diagnosed. I don't know the quality of that article, however, as it does in the first paragraph try to blame some of the failures of eradication of WPV on the 2002 laboratory synthesis of poliovirus. There is no reason to think that laboratory virus has infected ANY human beings ANYWHERE.
Another possibility is the presence of some other pathogen causing paralysis. I cannot help but notice that the higest numbers of AFP cases are coming from the states with the undiagnosed AES cases, namely Bihar and Uttar Pradesh. One of the suspects in those cases is an unknown enterovirus. Might this unknown enterovirus be causing the AFP as well? The known enteroviruses are suspected in many cases of AFP elsewhere in the world.
Nice find, RoRo. I noticed that in the data, too. India is reporting higher numbers of non-polio AFP cases then would be otherwise expected. By comparison, Mexico, with about 1/10th the population of India, reports about 500 cases a year. By that comparison, India should report only 5000 cases a year. Instead, they reported over 60,000 cases last year, about 12 times the number expected.
Your post above raises one possibility; that large numbers of VDVP cases are occurring and not being diagnosed. I don't know the quality of that article, however, as it does in the first paragraph try to blame some of the failures of eradication of WPV on the 2002 laboratory synthesis of poliovirus. There is no reason to think that laboratory virus has infected ANY human beings ANYWHERE.
Another possibility is the presence of some other pathogen causing paralysis. I cannot help but notice that the higest numbers of AFP cases are coming from the states with the undiagnosed AES cases, namely Bihar and Uttar Pradesh. One of the suspects in those cases is an unknown enterovirus. Might this unknown enterovirus be causing the AFP as well? The known enteroviruses are suspected in many cases of AFP elsewhere in the world.
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