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  • gsgs
    replied
    the delayed 2022 data is available now at NCHS


    trends by cause : http://magictour.free.fr/usa22.GIF

    covid has its new own code : U0 and is usually not included
    under other causes (e.g. respiratory) unless the cause of death
    is clearly not covid

    USA-deaths
    2019:all:2861523,U0:000037
    2020:all:3390278,U0:351620
    2021:all:3472120,U0:417934
    2022:all:3289569,U0:187029

    increase in non-covid deaths : liver-disease and diabetes

    Leave a comment:


  • gsgs
    replied

    deaths-data-links 2022

    US,deaths : https://data.cdc.gov/api/views/y5bj-...true%20target=
    USA weekly deaths by cause 2014-2019

    USA provisional deaths 2020-2022
    https://data.cdc.gov/api/views/muzy-...ue&format=true"
    F,deaths : https://www.insee.fr/fr/statistiques...mmaire=4487854
    E,deaths : https://momo.isciii.es/public/momo/data
    E,weekly by region : https://www.ine.es/jaxiT3/dlgExport.htm?t=35177&L=0
    hmd weekly , 37countries, 6age,2gender https://www.mortality.org/Data/STMF
    UK , weekly :
    https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulat...nglandandwales
    OWID : https://covid.ourworldindata.org/dat...covid-data.csv
    WHO : https://www.who.int/data/data-collec...ality-database
    country,age5,gender,ICD-cause,1950-2020 ,
    computer-readable 15cause+population http://magictour.free.fr/all116.7z

    charts : http://magictour.free.fr/all.gif

    Leave a comment:


  • sharon sanders
    replied
    bump this

    Leave a comment:


  • gsgs
    replied
    >1974-1976 USA-deaths-decline (posts #13ff)

    ahh, it's mainly PM2.5 air pollution (particles smaller than 2.5 micrometers) which causes coronary heart disease.
    AHA had an official statement in 2003, confirmed in 2014. Then a joint statement with WHO in 2021.
    Is it well-known ? I only found it recently. Not cholesterol, inactivity, hypertension,TMAO,...
    It took quite a while until they figured it out. At that time it was already almost over in USA.
    USA's "EPA" was founded in late 1970 and active in the early 1970s.
    The biggeest decline in 1974-1976 however was in stroke-deaths and this was
    achieved by hypertension control (says ASA) with just coincidentally
    also increased a lot lust before 1974.
    Another causes was probably bypass surgery and computer tomography
    which started at that time.
    Also speed=limitation on highways (1974) and "oil-price-shock" (late 1973)

    Leave a comment:


  • Andre DuMouchel
    replied
    FluTrackers has been very conscientious, diligent in seeking published information, from all public sources while avoiding Editorial added content for all the years that I have been reading here.

    Medical practitioners, Scientists, and people on the ground, in place to give their perspective of what is going on around them, all gathered here for any one who cares to make the effort to read.

    I read here nearly every day.

    Thank you!

    Leave a comment:


  • sharon sanders
    replied
    Exactly. This also why I am really irritated by the issue of "fake" news. Isn't the unemployment rate calculated and published by the US Department of Labor really "fake news" since it does not give an accurate calculation of the employment situation in the US? Why are all of main stream media pushing this rate? This rate should be explained by media AS PART of the picture of the employment situation in the US. Yet, mostly it is not explained in this fashion. Why? Because the government publishes this number as an accurate measure and therefore, it is "real"?

    FluTrackers has always promoted the idea that people should use at least 2 sources for their news. Be critical. Always question.

    Look behind the curtain.

    Leave a comment:


  • Andre DuMouchel
    replied
    When information is disseminated for effect rather than for education.
    The term was popularised in United States by Mark Twain (among others), who attributed it to the British Prime Minister Benjamin Disraeli: "There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies, and statistics."

    Leave a comment:


  • sharon sanders
    replied
    Well, I have noticed in the last few years that some US statistics are not 100% correct. For instance today the unemployment rate is published as 4.6 % link - which is full employment. That means anyone who wants a job in the US can certainly get one. But, in reality, can they?

    The unemployment rate does not account for the decrease in the ratio of the number of people participating in the labor force. In fact, the number of people who are in the labor force dropped by .1% last month to 62.7. link This roughly equates to 226,000 less people working in November than in October 2016. link

    In my opinion, the US stats, generally, are in the "interesting" category. We publish them here as a baseline and not for 100% factual representation.

    Leave a comment:


  • gsgs
    replied
    US-deaths decreasing ?

    US-deaths decreasing ?


    quarterly provisional mortality data USA :



    ----------2016/08/18 --------2016-Q1 , 2016-Q2*-------
    12month,all: 823.6,835.4,839.9,844.1,838.2,834.9
    12month,all: 823.7,838.0,843.0,847.4,844.0,837.0,836.1*
    age-adjusted:724.6,731.2,733.8,735.7,728.0,721.5
    Age-adjusted:724.6,733.5,736.4,738.6,733.1,723.6,720.2 *

    heart:192.7,195.6,196.6,197.7,195.8,194.0
    heart:192.7,196.1,197.2,198.4,197.2,194.8,194.4*

    heart:167.0.168.6.169.1.169.6.167.2.164.7
    heart:167.0,169.0,169.6,170.2,168.5,165.5,164.4*


    P_I - ratio is also decreasing :





    is it real or due to reporting habits/definitions ?




    quarterly provisional mortality data USA :



    ----------2016/08/18 --------2016-Q1 , 2016-Q2*-------
    12month,all: 823.6,835.4,839.9,844.1,838.2,834.9
    12month,all: 823.7,838.0,843.0,847.4,844.0,837.0,836.1*
    age-adjusted:724.6,731.2,733.8,735.7,728.0,721.5
    Age-adjusted:724.6,733.5,736.4,738.6,733.1,723.6,720.2 *

    heart:192.7,195.6,196.6,197.7,195.8,194.0
    heart:192.7,196.1,197.2,198.4,197.2,194.8,194.4*

    heart:167.0.168.6.169.1.169.6.167.2.164.7
    heart:167.0,169.0,169.6,170.2,168.5,165.5,164.4*


    P_I - ratio is also decreasing :





    is it real or due to reporting habits/definitions ?



    Leave a comment:


  • gsgs
    replied
    WHO also provides the raw data from their database !:
    " difficult to find from the navigation."


    227 countries, 29 agegroups, 2 sexes, 1950-2012,

    many holes ,
    4.2M lines country+year+table+cause+sex ,
    each line upto 29 agegroups, depending on the list
    (also non-uniform)

    ICD 7, 1950-1967 , 150 causes "07A"
    ICD 8 , 1968-1979 , 150 causes "08A"
    ICD 9 , 1980-1998 , 150 cause "09A,09B"
    ICD 10 , 1999- , 2600 cause "103" cause (3-digit) but most countries also have 4-digit "104"

    bad data - different countries use different lists for disease encoding
    and the lists change over time, entries are double counted ... 3digit and 4digit

    needs to be processed, converted, missing values estimated
    I found noone in those papers below who seemed to have done that

    -------------------------------------------------------------

    studies using that link:







    Leave a comment:


  • gsgs
    replied
    Re: mortality statistics

    2012 is available from NCHS



    96.2 MB for the .zip with the whole data for 2012
    ... downloading ... decompressing .... converting ....
    [error - I continue tomorrow] ... corrected ... conversion done ... updating charts ...

    here is a pdf with just the important numbers:


    2547865 records up from 2519843



    the trendchange in cardiovascular deaths has stabilized. The decline has stopped in 2010


    ------------------------------------------------------

    the downtrend in deaths from circulatory causes has also stopped or slowed in 2012
    in Armenia,Estonia,Germany,Norway

    [UNO also has already Mexico,Argentina,Korea,Denmark,Spain,Sweden,Poland ,Romania,Netherlands,Finland
    for 2012]
    Attached Files

    Leave a comment:


  • gsgs
    replied
    Re: mortality statistics

    WHO: http://www.who.int/healthinfo/morttables/en/index.html
    [link dead]

    The United Nations agency working to promote health, keep the world safe and serve the vulnerable.

    (tables by cause,7 agegroups,selected countries, since 1979)
    WHO Mortality Database Updated as of March 2012 ----edit-----Updated as of July 2014--------

    WHO-Europe causes of death with subnational regions, since 1980 :




    the WHO online mortality database had been updated in July 2014.
    It now has cause-of-deaths numbers for 2011 and 2012 from
    Armenia,Bulgaria,Croatia,Czechia,Estonia,Germany,H ungary,
    Kazakhstan,Latvia,Norway,Moldova,Serbia,Seychelles , and Ukraine

    the down-trend in deaths from cardiovascular
    causes continues through 2012 in Germany.

    [ There were some signs lately that it might have
    stopped in USA and could be going up again ...]



    the OECD database has 2012 data for
    Austria,Czech,Denmark,Estonia,Finland,Germany,**** ary,Korea,Luxemburg,
    Mexico,Netherlands,Norway,Poland,Portugal,Spain,Sw eden

    the average age standardized death rate for circulatory causes in these 16 countries
    for 2009-2012 went: 327.8,318.9,302.4,298.8 (slowing down in 2012)







    -------------------------------------------------------------------

    Germany , SDR = standardized death rate (assuming age-distribution as of
    Years
    SDR(45-59), All causes, per 100000
    SDR(60-74), All causes, per 100000
    SDR(75+), All causes, per 100000
    SDR(45-59), Diseases of the circulatory system, per 100000
    SDR(60-74), Diseases of the circulatory system, per 100000
    SDR(75+), Diseases of the circulatory system, per 100000

    1990 594.48 2118.17 10214.6 169.46 919.52 6180.51
    1991 583.04 2081.24 9971.72 164.95 891.45 6035.26
    1992 564.55 2017.83 9547.74 154.66 850.88 5717.26
    1993 558.31 2039.56 9570.97 149.77 850.70 5694.84
    1994 544.62 2006.75 9224.18 145.63 826.79 5432.48
    1995 530.73 1973.53 9076.30 139.95 810.97 5305.16
    1996 521.70 1933.27 8982.11 134.58 776.92 5225.85
    1997 504.72 1855.74 8687.21 130.08 745.19 5063.75
    1998 487.41 1804.61 8622.19 125.73 716.36 5002.07
    1999 476.70 1752.89 8463.85 119.69 681.16 4900.63
    2000 472.73 1706.48 8220.10 114.68 636.28 4698.90
    2001 465.62 1643.02 8056.97 114.74 605.53 4632.79
    2002 464.05 1625.79 8235.69 112.91 588.90 4686.93
    2003 457.94 1608.55 8442.67 109.54 573.41 4778.15
    2004 438.52 1520.44 7956.24 103.02 518.66 4380.05
    2005 433.67 1482.03 7936.56 102.01 488.18 4266.78
    2006 422.97 1426.82 7602.93 098.23 456.67 4011.52
    2007 414.81 1400.37 7456.68 097.05 437.82 3885.86
    2008 409.48 1389.81 7478.62 090.37 413.00 3792.63
    2009 406.24 1369.88 7401.14 089.43 399.83 3688.34
    2010 397.85 1352.92 7247.44 086.31 381.82 3551.32
    2011 389.06 1326.34 6989.33 080.17 358.98 3354.65
    2012 376.88 1318.54 7018.00 078.50 356.42 3339.16


    ================================================== ==

    OECD.Stat enables users to search for and extract data from across OECD’s many databases.


    OECD, 35 countries , 23 of them since 1960
    deathrates by causes , polulations

    ...............................................
    temporary links, delete later
    Find, compare and share OECD data.


    statistics

    by topic

    health


    health - causes of death



    This dataset includes comparative tables analyzing various health care resources such as total health and social employment, physicians by age, gender, categories, midwives, nurses, caring personnel, personal care workers, dentists, pharmacists ...


    OECD Health Statistics offers the most comprehensive source of comparable statistics on health and health systems across OECD countries. It is an essential tool to carry out comparative analyses and draw lessons from international comparisons of...




    OECD.Stat enables users to search for and extract data from across OECD’s many databases.


    .................................................. ................

    190 "variables" death-conditions etc, 27 "units" (sexes,),41 countries, 54 years (1960-2013) = 11357820 entries
    you may download files of 1000000 entries

    OECD populations, deaths from all causes available since 1950 at :
    Attached Files

    Leave a comment:


  • gsgs
    replied
    Re: mortality statistics

    "Hispanics paradox"
    These results confirm the existence of a Hispanic paradox regarding CV mortality. Further studies are needed to identify the mechanisms mediating this protective CV effect in Hispanics.

    Hispanics, the largest minority in the U.S., have a higher prevalence of several cardiovascular
    (CV) risk factors than non-Hispanic whites (NHW). However, some studies have shown a
    paradoxical lower rate of CV events among Hispanics than NHW.
    22,340,554 Hispanics and 88,824,618 NHW, collected from 1950 to 2009.
    There was a statistically significant association between Hispanic ethnicity and lower CV mortality
    (OR 0.67), and lower all-cause mortality (0.72).

    Leave a comment:


  • gsgs
    replied
    Re: mortality statistics

    2011 available (at last) , more later



    pdf-file with tables: http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/dvs/201...ta_Release.pdf


    2519842 deaths in USA in 2011, (including 4384 foreigners)

    1261876 female, 1257966 male

    234052,25354,75248
    212112,23970,67516
    225595,25263,70798
    208652,21737,65308
    208686,20997,64856
    197685,18885,60840
    202464,18365,62173
    200907,17588,61368
    195752,17037,59523
    208310,18967,63970
    206483,19508,64201
    219144,21287,69135
    total,respiratory,circulatory deaths in the 12 months


    seems that the downtrend in circulatory deaths since ~2003 has stopped
    well, it's not seen yet in 2011/2012 in other countries
    Attached Files

    Leave a comment:


  • gsgs
    replied
    Re: mortality statistics


    Diarrhea and other common infections are usually minor in a fully breastfed infant
    .
    PRIOR TO ABOUT 1880 MOST BABIES WERE NURSED either by their mothers or wet nurses.
    All of these factors increase the incidence of what has become known as "bottle-baby disease"--
    a combination of diarrhea, dehydration, and malnutrition resulting from unsafe bottle-feeding.
    According to the United Nations Children's Fund (UNICEF) one and a half million babies die
    each year because they are not breastfed.


    The medical community has orchestrated breastfeeding campaigns in response to low breastfeeding
    rates twice in US history. The first campaigns occurred in the early 20th century after reformers linked
    diarrhea, which caused the majority of infant deaths, to the use of cows? milk as an infant food.
    By the late 1920s, with laws in most municipalities mandating the pasteurization and hygienic
    handling of cows? milk, the urban breastfeeding campaign disappeared.

    Milk as nutrition, as the essence of motherhood, as white symbol of purity and as icon of commercial advertising: all are familiar. But what about milk as harbinger of death? My contribution to thi...

    The two foremost causes of milk-related deaths amongst infants were tuberculosis and diarrhoea.
    Milk was the medium of transmission from diseased cattle to unwitting consumers that led to
    approximately 500,000 deaths amongst infants in the period 1850-1950, and up to 30 per cent
    of all deaths from tuberculosis before 1930 (Atkins 2000a).
    The hazard was only brought under control gradually as milk was increasingly pasteurized
    in the 1930s and 1940s (Atkins 2000b)
    From about 1900 there was a reaction to this trend.

    It seems that breast-feeding rates in Britain were higher than in many continental countries
    throughout the period 1880-1940.

    -------------------------------

    [charts : infant deaths from diarrhae in Scotland 1855-1950
    England and Wales, 1838-1899
    Massachusetts 1841-1920
    USA 1900-2010



    About 1.7 to 5 billion cases of diarrhea occur per year.[2][3]
    rotavirus is the most common cause in children under five years old.[15]


    Massachusetts, yearly deaths <2y from Diarrhea
    1910-1941
    3303,2916,2786,2597,2508, 2532,2391,2502,2646,1493,1667
    1332,1086,867,772,684,757,582,520,394,410
    275,229,161,194,219,153,124,122,90,127,167
    Code:
    diarrhae         1851: 84 , 1861:190 , 1871:189 , 1881:333 , 1891:408 , 1901:2705
    dysentery        1851:123 , 1861:348 , 1871:227 , 1881:159 , 1891: 76 , 1901:-
    cholera infantum 1851:383 , 1861:1266, 1871:1718, 1881:1861, 1891:2771, 1901:-
    Attached Files

    Leave a comment:

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