mortality statistics

[gsgs]

the delayed 2022 data is available now at NCHS

https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data_access/vitalstatsonline.htm#Mortality_Multiple

trends by cause : http://magictour.free.fr/usa22.GIF

covid has its new own code : U0 and is usually not included
under other causes (e.g. respiratory) unless the cause of death
is clearly not covid

USA-deaths
2019:all:2861523,U0:000037
2020:all:3390278,U0:351620
2021:all:3472120,U0:417934
2022:all:3289569,U0:187029

increase in non-covid deaths : liver-disease and diabetes

[gsgs]

deaths-data-links 2022

US,deaths : https://data.cdc.gov/api/views/y5bj-...true%20target=
USA weekly deaths by cause 2014-2019

https://data.cdc.gov/api/views/3yf8-...ue&format=true

USA provisional deaths 2020-2022
https://data.cdc.gov/api/views/muzy-...ue&format=true"
F,deaths : https://www.insee.fr/fr/statistiques...mmaire=4487854
E,deaths : https://momo.isciii.es/public/momo/data
E,weekly by region : https://www.ine.es/jaxiT3/dlgExport.htm?t=35177&L=0
hmd weekly , 37countries, 6age,2gender https://www.mortality.org/Data/STMF
UK , weekly :
https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulat...nglandandwales
OWID : https://covid.ourworldindata.org/dat...covid-data.csv
WHO : https://www.who.int/data/data-collec...ality-database
country,age5,gender,ICD-cause,1950-2020 ,
computer-readable 15cause+population http://magictour.free.fr/all116.7z

charts : http://magictour.free.fr/all.gif

[sharon sanders]

bump this

[gsgs]

>1974-1976 USA-deaths-decline (posts #13ff)

ahh, it's mainly PM2.5 air pollution (particles smaller than 2.5 micrometers) which causes coronary heart disease.
AHA had an official statement in 2003, confirmed in 2014. Then a joint statement with WHO in 2021.
Is it well-known ? I only found it recently. Not cholesterol, inactivity, hypertension,TMAO,...
It took quite a while until they figured it out. At that time it was already almost over in USA.
USA's "EPA" was founded in late 1970 and active in the early 1970s.
The biggeest decline in 1974-1976 however was in stroke-deaths and this was
achieved by hypertension control (says ASA) with just coincidentally
also increased a lot lust before 1974.
Another causes was probably bypass surgery and computer tomography
which started at that time.
Also speed=limitation on highways (1974) and "oil-price-shock" (late 1973)

[Andre DuMouchel]

FluTrackers has been very conscientious, diligent in seeking published information, from all public sources while avoiding Editorial added content for all the years that I have been reading here.

Medical practitioners, Scientists, and people on the ground, in place to give their perspective of what is going on around them, all gathered here for any one who cares to make the effort to read.

I read here nearly every day.

Thank you!

[sharon sanders]

Exactly. This also why I am really irritated by the issue of "fake" news. Isn't the unemployment rate calculated and published by the US Department of Labor really "fake news" since it does not give an accurate calculation of the employment situation in the US? Why are all of main stream media pushing this rate? This rate should be explained by media AS PART of the picture of the employment situation in the US. Yet, mostly it is not explained in this fashion. Why? Because the government publishes this number as an accurate measure and therefore, it is "real"?

FluTrackers has always promoted the idea that people should use at least 2 sources for their news. Be critical. Always question.

Look behind the curtain.

[Andre DuMouchel]

When information is disseminated for effect rather than for education.
The term was popularised in United States by Mark Twain (among others), who attributed it to the British Prime Minister Benjamin Disraeli: "There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies, and statistics."

[sharon sanders]

Well, I have noticed in the last few years that some US statistics are not 100% correct. For instance today the unemployment rate is published as 4.6 % link - which is full employment. That means anyone who wants a job in the US can certainly get one. But, in reality, can they?

The unemployment rate does not account for the decrease in the ratio of the number of people participating in the labor force. In fact, the number of people who are in the labor force dropped by .1% last month to 62.7. link This roughly equates to 226,000 less people working in November than in October 2016. link

In my opinion, the US stats, generally, are in the "interesting" category. We publish them here as a baseline and not for 100% factual representation.

[gsgs]

US-deaths decreasing ?

US-deaths decreasing ?


quarterly provisional mortality data USA :

http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/products/vsrr/mortality-dashboard.htm

----------2016/08/18 --------2016-Q1 , 2016-Q2*-------
12month,all: 823.6,835.4,839.9,844.1,838.2,834.9
12month,all: 823.7,838.0,843.0,847.4,844.0,837.0,836.1*
age-adjusted:724.6,731.2,733.8,735.7,728.0,721.5
Age-adjusted:724.6,733.5,736.4,738.6,733.1,723.6,720.2 *

heart:192.7,195.6,196.6,197.7,195.8,194.0
heart:192.7,196.1,197.2,198.4,197.2,194.8,194.4*

heart:167.0.168.6.169.1.169.6.167.2.164.7
heart:167.0,169.0,169.6,170.2,168.5,165.5,164.4*


P_I - ratio is also decreasing :

http://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/weeklyarchives2016-2017/data/NCHSData46.csv

is it real or due to reporting habits/definitions ?




quarterly provisional mortality data USA :

http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/products/vsrr/mortality-dashboard.htm

----------2016/08/18 --------2016-Q1 , 2016-Q2*-------
12month,all: 823.6,835.4,839.9,844.1,838.2,834.9
12month,all: 823.7,838.0,843.0,847.4,844.0,837.0,836.1*
age-adjusted:724.6,731.2,733.8,735.7,728.0,721.5
Age-adjusted:724.6,733.5,736.4,738.6,733.1,723.6,720.2 *

heart:192.7,195.6,196.6,197.7,195.8,194.0
heart:192.7,196.1,197.2,198.4,197.2,194.8,194.4*

heart:167.0.168.6.169.1.169.6.167.2.164.7
heart:167.0,169.0,169.6,170.2,168.5,165.5,164.4*


P_I - ratio is also decreasing :

http://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/weeklyarchives2016-2017/data/NCHSData46.csv

is it real or due to reporting habits/definitions ?

[gsgs]

WHO also provides the raw data from their database !:
" difficult to find from the navigation."

http://www.who.int/healthinfo/statistics/mortality_rawdata/en/

227 countries, 29 agegroups, 2 sexes, 1950-2012,

many holes ,
4.2M lines country+year+table+cause+sex ,
each line upto 29 agegroups, depending on the list
(also non-uniform)

ICD 7, 1950-1967 , 150 causes "07A"
ICD 8 , 1968-1979 , 150 causes "08A"
ICD 9 , 1980-1998 , 150 cause "09A,09B"
ICD 10 , 1999- , 2600 cause "103" cause (3-digit) but most countries also have 4-digit "104"

bad data - different countries use different lists for disease encoding
and the lists change over time, entries are double counted ... 3digit and 4digit

needs to be processed, converted, missing values estimated
I found noone in those papers below who seemed to have done that

-------------------------------------------------------------

studies using that link:

http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4045191/

http://rgm22.nig.ac.jp/mediawiki-ogareport/index.php/WHO

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3792976/

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4007591/

http://eurheartj.oxfordjournals.org/content/35/42/2950

https://ardoris.wordpress.com/

[gsgs]

Re: mortality statistics

2012 is available from NCHS

http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data_access/Vitalstatsonline.htm

96.2 MB for the .zip with the whole data for 2012
... downloading ... decompressing .... converting ....
[error - I continue tomorrow] ... corrected ... conversion done ... updating charts ...

here is a pdf with just the important numbers:

http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nvsr/nvsr63/nvsr63_09.pdf

2547865 records up from 2519843



the trendchange in cardiovascular deaths has stabilized. The decline has stopped in 2010


------------------------------------------------------

the downtrend in deaths from circulatory causes has also stopped or slowed in 2012
in Armenia,Estonia,Germany,Norway

[UNO also has already Mexico,Argentina,Korea,Denmark,Spain,Sweden,Poland ,Romania,Netherlands,Finland
for 2012]

[gsgs]

Re: mortality statistics

WHO: http://www.who.int/healthinfo/morttables/en/index.html
[link dead]

http://apps.who.int/healthinfo/stati...ality/whodpms/

(tables by cause,7 agegroups,selected countries, since 1979)
WHO Mortality Database Updated as of March 2012 ----edit-----Updated as of July 2014--------

WHO-Europe causes of death with subnational regions, since 1980 :

http://data.euro.who.int/hfamdb/

the WHO online mortality database had been updated in July 2014.
It now has cause-of-deaths numbers for 2011 and 2012 from
Armenia,Bulgaria,Croatia,Czechia,Estonia,Germany,H ungary,
Kazakhstan,Latvia,Norway,Moldova,Serbia,Seychelles , and Ukraine

the down-trend in deaths from cardiovascular
causes continues through 2012 in Germany.

[ There were some signs lately that it might have
stopped in USA and could be going up again ...]



the OECD database has 2012 data for
Austria,Czech,Denmark,Estonia,Finland,Germany,**** ary,Korea,Luxemburg,
Mexico,Netherlands,Norway,Poland,Portugal,Spain,Sw eden

the average age standardized death rate for circulatory causes in these 16 countries
for 2009-2012 went: 327.8,318.9,302.4,298.8 (slowing down in 2012)







-------------------------------------------------------------------

Germany , SDR = standardized death rate (assuming age-distribution as of
Years
SDR(45-59), All causes, per 100000
SDR(60-74), All causes, per 100000
SDR(75+), All causes, per 100000
SDR(45-59), Diseases of the circulatory system, per 100000
SDR(60-74), Diseases of the circulatory system, per 100000
SDR(75+), Diseases of the circulatory system, per 100000

1990 594.48 2118.17 10214.6 169.46 919.52 6180.51
1991 583.04 2081.24 9971.72 164.95 891.45 6035.26
1992 564.55 2017.83 9547.74 154.66 850.88 5717.26
1993 558.31 2039.56 9570.97 149.77 850.70 5694.84
1994 544.62 2006.75 9224.18 145.63 826.79 5432.48
1995 530.73 1973.53 9076.30 139.95 810.97 5305.16
1996 521.70 1933.27 8982.11 134.58 776.92 5225.85
1997 504.72 1855.74 8687.21 130.08 745.19 5063.75
1998 487.41 1804.61 8622.19 125.73 716.36 5002.07
1999 476.70 1752.89 8463.85 119.69 681.16 4900.63
2000 472.73 1706.48 8220.10 114.68 636.28 4698.90
2001 465.62 1643.02 8056.97 114.74 605.53 4632.79
2002 464.05 1625.79 8235.69 112.91 588.90 4686.93
2003 457.94 1608.55 8442.67 109.54 573.41 4778.15
2004 438.52 1520.44 7956.24 103.02 518.66 4380.05
2005 433.67 1482.03 7936.56 102.01 488.18 4266.78
2006 422.97 1426.82 7602.93 098.23 456.67 4011.52
2007 414.81 1400.37 7456.68 097.05 437.82 3885.86
2008 409.48 1389.81 7478.62 090.37 413.00 3792.63
2009 406.24 1369.88 7401.14 089.43 399.83 3688.34
2010 397.85 1352.92 7247.44 086.31 381.82 3551.32
2011 389.06 1326.34 6989.33 080.17 358.98 3354.65
2012 376.88 1318.54 7018.00 078.50 356.42 3339.16


================================================== ==

http://stats.oecd.org/index.aspx?DataSetCode=HEALTH_STAT#

OECD, 35 countries , 23 of them since 1960
deathrates by causes , polulations

...............................................
temporary links, delete later

http://data.oecd.org/

statistics

by topic

health

http://www.oecd.org/statistics/compare-your-country.htm

health - causes of death

http://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/social-issues-migration-health/data/oecd-health-statistics/oecd-health-data-health-care-resources_data-00541-en

http://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/social-issues-migration-health/data/oecd-health-statistics_health-data-en

http://stats.oecd.org/FileView2.aspx?IDFile=edf0104a-c335-4f22-aae8-a454850fd76b

http://stats.oecd.org/index.aspx?DataSetCode=HEALTH_STAT#

.................................................. ................

190 "variables" death-conditions etc, 27 "units" (sexes,),41 countries, 54 years (1960-2013) = 11357820 entries
you may download files of 1000000 entries

OECD populations, deaths from all causes available since 1950 at :

[gsgs]

Re: mortality statistics

"Hispanics paradox"

http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/24095273

Hispanics, the largest minority in the U.S., have a higher prevalence of several cardiovascular
(CV) risk factors than non-Hispanic whites (NHW). However, some studies have shown a
paradoxical lower rate of CV events among Hispanics than NHW.
22,340,554 Hispanics and 88,824,618 NHW, collected from 1950 to 2009.
There was a statistically significant association between Hispanic ethnicity and lower CV mortality
(OR 0.67), and lower all-cause mortality (0.72).

[gsgs]

Re: mortality statistics

2011 available (at last) , more later

http://www.nber.org/data/multicause.html

pdf-file with tables: http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/dvs/201...ta_Release.pdf


2519842 deaths in USA in 2011, (including 4384 foreigners)

1261876 female, 1257966 male

234052,25354,75248
212112,23970,67516
225595,25263,70798
208652,21737,65308
208686,20997,64856
197685,18885,60840
202464,18365,62173
200907,17588,61368
195752,17037,59523
208310,18967,63970
206483,19508,64201
219144,21287,69135
total,respiratory,circulatory deaths in the 12 months


seems that the downtrend in circulatory deaths since ~2003 has stopped
well, it's not seen yet in 2011/2012 in other countries

[gsgs]

Re: mortality statistics

http://www.compassionatesouls.com/chapter3.html

Diarrhea and other common infections are usually minor in a fully breastfed infant
.
PRIOR TO ABOUT 1880 MOST BABIES WERE NURSED either by their mothers or wet nurses.
All of these factors increase the incidence of what has become known as "bottle-baby disease"--
a combination of diarrhea, dehydration, and malnutrition resulting from unsafe bottle-feeding.
According to the United Nations Children's Fund (UNICEF) one and a half million babies die
each year because they are not breastfed.

http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC1448139/

The medical community has orchestrated breastfeeding campaigns in response to low breastfeeding
rates twice in US history. The first campaigns occurred in the early 20th century after reformers linked
diarrhea, which caused the majority of infant deaths, to the use of cows? milk as an infant food.
By the late 1920s, with laws in most municipalities mandating the pasteurization and hygienic
handling of cows? milk, the urban breastfeeding campaign disappeared.

http://aof.revues.org/310

The two foremost causes of milk-related deaths amongst infants were tuberculosis and diarrhoea.
Milk was the medium of transmission from diseased cattle to unwitting consumers that led to
approximately 500,000 deaths amongst infants in the period 1850-1950, and up to 30 per cent
of all deaths from tuberculosis before 1930 (Atkins 2000a).
The hazard was only brought under control gradually as milk was increasingly pasteurized
in the 1930s and 1940s (Atkins 2000b)
From about 1900 there was a reaction to this trend.

It seems that breast-feeding rates in Britain were higher than in many continental countries
throughout the period 1880-1940.

-------------------------------

[charts : infant deaths from diarrhae in Scotland 1855-1950
England and Wales, 1838-1899
Massachusetts 1841-1920
USA 1900-2010

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Diarrhea

About 1.7 to 5 billion cases of diarrhea occur per year.[2][3]
rotavirus is the most common cause in children under five years old.[15]

http://www.nature.com/pr/journal/v74/n4/carousel/pr2013130f1.gif

Massachusetts, yearly deaths <2y from Diarrhea
1910-1941
3303,2916,2786,2597,2508, 2532,2391,2502,2646,1493,1667
1332,1086,867,772,684,757,582,520,394,410
275,229,161,194,219,153,124,122,90,127,167

diarrhae         1851: 84 , 1861:190 , 1871:189 , 1881:333 , 1891:408 , 1901:2705
dysentery        1851:123 , 1861:348 , 1871:227 , 1881:159 , 1891: 76 , 1901:-
cholera infantum 1851:383 , 1861:1266, 1871:1718, 1881:1861, 1891:2771, 1901:-