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  • mortality statistics

    ---------------updated links to mortality data in post 41-------------------
    http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/showpost.php?p=503215


    correlation coefficients *1000 of daily numbers of US-deaths from 72 causes
    (code-table below) for 1980-1988


    Code:
     #  total_deaths 1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9  10  11  12  13  14  15  16  17  18  19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28  29  30  31  32  33  34  35  36  37  38  39  40  41  42  43  44  45  46  47  48  49  50  51  52  53  54  55  56  57  58  59  60  61  62  63  64  65  66  67  68  69  70  71  72  73  74  75  76  77  78  79  80  81  82  83  84 
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      1  213       999 -24----  -6  -3  -1   5  14 -37  65   7  12   3 -33----   4 -11 -34 -10 -15 -24 -40 -13 -38 -12 -32  16 -29   3--------   6   2   6----  37  28  -3   2 -35 -49  -6---- -19  57   5  46  32 -20   1---- -20  20----   3 -18  -1 -32 -14  16 -20  45 -13----  17   7 -34   0   7----   4  -2  22----  52 -20 -14 -34----  -1 -12 -10  -4  22
      2  3036      -24 999----  48 -20  30  -9  39 -21  -2 -28 -10  23 -41----  14 -27 -17  -4  -2  -1 -25   2 -14  14  55   7  20  52--------  61  45  14---- 116  68   2 105 -21  29  75----  46  92 -13 110  90  35  84----  74  99----  49  42   7  21  28   8   5  58  -8----  31  21  12  36  17----   2  31   5----  26 -38  58   8---- -55  11 -44  -9 -31
                     1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9  10  11  12  13  14  15  16  17  18  19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28  29  30  31  32  33  34  35  36  37  38  39  40  41  42  43  44  45  46  47  48  49  50  51  52  53  54  55  56  57  58  59  60  61  62  63  64  65  66  67  68  69  70  71  72  73  74  75  76  77  78  79  80  81  82  83  84 
      4  13071      -6  48---- 999   2 -24  13  49 -26 -10  -3 -33 -34  -8----  31 -37 -27 -27   4 -24 -36  20 -14   6  72  17  -1  53--------  61  48  92---- 116  62 -27 111   3  21  75----  39 109  -2 112 117  21  75----  65 112----  53  71  29   6  33  34  -2  73  -3----  -5  45   0  37  28---- -19 -32  19----  17  15  40  -9----  -8  30 -35  25 -10
      5  3351       -3 -20----   2 999   2  40  13  63  -2   6  29  -7  45----   7  39  47  39  23  30  32 -27  29   0   5  28   5  10--------  -2  11  -9---- -12  -7  35  17  47  53   6----  13 -14 -19  15 -18  43  11----  63  21----  -5  37  11  48  19  -2   7  -8   0----  -7 -34  40  17   7----   6  18 -25---- -42 -23  14  67---- -41 -29  10 -24   2
      6  47         -1  30---- -24   2 999  18 -10 -21  -7 -11  -6   7 -26---- -12   5 -22 -30 -25   9  -7 -17   1 -11  -6   8   0  21--------  10  11  45----  10  18   3   5 -17 -20  16---- -16  15 -10   0  15 -38   1---- -17  41----  -4  11  -4 -20   9 -11  27 -22   2----  10  -8 -20 -12  24----  20 -12  21----  22 -22   1 -26----   9  46  -6   7   5
      7  107         5  -9----  13  40  18 999  73  -3 -10 -16 -18   7 -11----  17   7 -11 -15  -2 -27 -47 -13  -1  22  52  18   4  18--------  44  47  33----  53  18  -2  64   5  22  39----  41  39   7  63  44  -5  44----  54  77----  27  50  10  14  34  -5  -9  45  12----  26  29  16  28  43---- -13  28   0---- -13  15  68  17----  -8   9 -10  18  16
      8  2878       14  39----  49  13 -10  73 999 -55  27  33 -16  -7 -72----  37 -41 -75 -28 -40 -14 -91  12 -41   7 130  -1  29 148-------- 139 151 163---- 277 100 -18 278 -13  45 117---- 153 233  72 252 236  27 176---- 181 263---- 163 177   7  69  73  25  19 169  10----  34  72  53 110  44---- -16   4  48----  52 -17 125   6-----137  -3 -27 -38  16
      9  136848    -37 -21---- -26  63 -21  -3 -55 999 -18 -34 200 -92 675---- -61 297 691 413 394 166 508 133 471 126 369 241 176 -32---------166  95-212-----344-153 265 131 531 746 150---- 169-469   6  -8-305 379 108---- 564  66---- 107 247 355 688  70 -87  88-179  -8----  15-210 571-226-151----   6 -21-111-----462-178 254 783-----126-133 249-141-143
     10  10         65  -2---- -10  -2  -7 -10  27 -18 999  -6 -14   9 -19----  45   3  -2 -28   7   9  -5 -12  -6 -14  14  -2  21 -12--------  17  -8  -5----  27   0 -22  36   3  -2   8----  10  50  -5  51  47   9 -14----  15  21----  -4  32 -15  -2  -3  36   9  19  24----  12  12   7  29   9----  -6  -4   5----   5  -1  12 -10----  12   8 -29  25  -2
     11  34          7 -28----  -3   6 -11 -16  33 -34  -6 999 -21  30 -18----  -1 -21 -35  -4 -38  10 -48   2 -27   9 -15 -39  15  17--------  17   7  21----  31  26   7  19 -22 -21 -29----   7  62  13  24  29 -20   7----  -1  30----  12  10 -20 -28 -37  13   4  17 -19---- -19  15 -25   4  21---- -13  -2  24----  36   6 -22 -26----  24  42  23  39  37
     12  8668       12 -10---- -33  29  -6 -18 -16 200 -14 -21 999 -15 236---- -25  68 188 109 124  40 111  31 122  23  92  75  19 -20-------- -37  20 -73-----123 -64  78  23 130 185  36----  52-116   3   6-109  87  20---- 144  -3----  31  62  99 158 -34  -3  23 -45 -17---- -15 -77 114 -42 -37---- -12  12 -36-----106 -17  64 202---- -31 -43  62 -34 -34
     13  989         3  23---- -34  -7   7   7  -7 -92   9  30 -15 999 -61----  18 -26 -76 -44 -33   3 -60 -23 -65 -27 -15   2  -9  54--------  38  17  54----  84  14 -32  24 -58 -77  20----   4  88  19  35  90 -18   4---- -19  34----  16  -3 -47 -51  -9  -5 -12  58  -6----  13  19 -27  85  60----  -6   5  23----  47  -7 -40 -76---- -24  -5 -13 -12 -10
     14  83866     -33 -41----  -8  45 -26 -11 -72 675 -19 -18 236 -61 999---- -76 239 654 356 385 159 477 106 423  78 335 165 146 -63---------171   9-226-----482-218 220 -11 525 617 141---- 122-479 -26 -93-354 298  30---- 443 -19----  19 217 353 553   3 -71  87-182   6---- -28-202 455-250-138----   3   3-128-----409 -98 148 693----   5 -83 219 -43 -87
                     1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9  10  11  12  13  14  15  16  17  18  19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28  29  30  31  32  33  34  35  36  37  38  39  40  41  42  43  44  45  46  47  48  49  50  51  52  53  54  55  56  57  58  59  60  61  62  63  64  65  66  67  68  69  70  71  72  73  74  75  76  77  78  79  80  81  82  83  84 
     16  75283       4  14----  31   7 -12  17  37 -61  45  -1 -25  18 -76---- 999  19 -46 -22 -22 -21 -24  -6 -34  35  28  16  -5  61--------  40  53  73---- 104  51 -35  61 -18 -15  37----  27  89  21  83  74 -24  46----  29  65----  48  46 -35 -15  28  15  32  71  25----  20  34  -9  27  51----  -7  -3  21----  31 -14  13 -19----   8  42 -36   0  -9
     17  1033845   -11 -27---- -37  39   5   7 -41 297   3 -21  68 -26 239----  19 999 307 200 145  88 236  57 256  59 148 106  91 -17-------- -75  25 -80-----127 -56  96  43 194 304  59----  59-202 -15  -4-113 141  45---- 197   3----  33  48 111 258  23 -77  44 -74 -16----  14-131 242 -66 -57----   3   8 -87-----196 -92 140 307----  27   3  57  -5 -71
     18  1111712   -34 -17---- -27  47 -22 -11 -75 691  -2 -35 188 -76 654---- -46 307 999 403 387 182 513 155 455 116 332 211 159 -70---------174  60-241-----352-189 253  87 490 680 110---- 133-456  -7 -45-309 340  66---- 471   0----  50 194 333 604  48 -84  68-187 -21----   1-204 515-218-146----  -7 -14-115-----460-158 239 720---- -45 -92 194-102-134
     19  353519    -10  -4---- -27  39 -30 -15 -28 413 -28  -4 109 -44 356---- -22 200 403 999 229 106 295  96 274 116 239 126 118  10-------- -94  92-101-----159 -96 112 113 285 430  88----  93-234  29  26-143 201  74---- 328  59----  83 155 207 379  37 -35  68 -41  -5----   5-130 323-146 -77----  21 -20 -66-----265 -95 188 460---- -38 -41 105 -61 -42
     20  444841    -15  -2----   4  23 -25  -2 -40 394   7 -38 124 -33 385---- -22 145 387 229 999 102 318  84 278  77 202 135  88 -42-------- -97  53-112-----180 -80 124  78 283 398  99----  93-238  23  16-177 190  50---- 286  26----  19 119 197 353  52 -57  52 -91   1----  21 -76 299-138 -33----  25 -15 -22-----241 -97 148 413---- -40 -25  97 -47 -87
     21  168534    -24  -1---- -24  30   9 -27 -14 166   9  10  40   3 159---- -21  88 182 106 102 999 128  38 127  66  88  58  45   3-------- -33  30 -55---- -70 -23  44  33 110 185  33----  46 -96 -20   5 -40 111  31---- 132  10----   3  55  73 146  21   4  52 -28  29----   3 -55 118 -47  -7----  11 -15 -44---- -93 -31  91 186---- -10 -27  45 -17 -17
     22  506399    -40 -25---- -36  32  -7 -47 -91 508  -5 -48 111 -60 477---- -24 236 513 295 318 128 999 132 355  82 223 140 114 -59---------165   8-190-----295-148 177  24 356 505  89----  61-364   1 -52-231 244  44---- 324 -23----  17 124 252 434  30 -66  64-141  -5----  -8-163 371-172-133----   8 -14 -92-----335-128 186 523----  50 -36 134 -12 -74
     23  153570    -13   2----  20 -27 -17 -13  12 133 -12   2  31 -23 106----  -6  57 155  96  84  38 132 999  97  21  59  62  49 -14-------- -21  47 -61---- -48 -10  42  58  96 144  19----  37 -65  30  26 -34  90  34---- 117  28----  -8  59  60 136  30 -13  16 -25  34----  17 -26  99 -15 -33----   0  -9   9---- -86 -30  53 152---- -30 -17  51 -30 -62
     24  218303    -38 -14---- -14  29   1  -1 -41 471  -6 -27 122 -65 423---- -34 256 455 274 278 127 355  97 999 106 239 138 130 -21---------118  33-162-----233 -96 156  85 345 479  83----  84-288   7   3-199 216  68---- 346  49----  49 156 225 420  26 -60  55-118   1----  27-136 383-145 -91----  15 -13 -85-----295-119 179 506---- -44 -58 133 -65-102
     25  58601     -12  14----   6   0 -11  22   7 126 -14   9  23 -27  78----  35  59 116 116  77  66  82  21 106 999  79  43  30  20--------  -3  26  12----  11   3  56  97  83 147  37----  55 -26  -3  63 -15 119  55---- 139  53----  59  86  77 147  21 -24  24  10 -20----  48 -32  98 -13 -21---- -14  20  -3---- -75 -17  69 137---- -44 -12  15 -30 -51
     26  329834    -32  55----  72   5  -6  52 130 369  14 -15  92 -15 335----  28 148 332 239 202  88 223  59 239  79 999 178 134 161--------  61 300  81---- 208  62 166 487 336 545 244---- 295  41  39 374 152 307 228---- 589 340---- 279 374 261 526 130  -6 100 111  25----  67  27 402 -13 -24----  28  -2 -37-----204-136 348 498-----226 -20  93 -98 -68
     27  24001      16   7----  17  28   8  18  -1 241  -2 -39  75   2 165----  16 106 211 126 135  58 140  62 138  43 178 999  53  20-------- -28 121 -41----  33  15  89 171 159 272 116---- 120 -54  19 112   8 164 103---- 269 113----  79 153 120 256  75 -24  55  -6  -4----  -2 -37 217 -19  -2----   5   3   5-----133 -86 143 261---- -96 -31  12 -41 -55
     28  31848     -29  20----  -1   5   0   4  29 176  21  15  19  -9 146----  -5  91 159 118  88  45 114  49 130  30 134  53 999  19--------  -9  87   7---- -21 -26  61 103 128 210  76----  73 -74  68  49 -11  87  80---- 190  98----  58  86  94 194  31   6  22 -13 -22----  26 -41 157 -11 -19---- -25   3 -27-----108 -59 115 212---- -52 -33  49 -17 -53
     29  11317       3  52----  53  10  21  18 148 -32 -12  17 -20  54 -63----  61 -17 -70  10 -42   3 -59 -14 -21  20 161  20  19 999-------- 160 204 165---- 328 115 -15 338  11  98 125---- 203 244  49 301 260  79 162---- 245 273---- 204 183  33 112  70  43  14 191  29----  30  87  91 117  58----  25 -12  28----  73 -26 148  55-----155 -10 -26 -61 -25
                     1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9  10  11  12  13  14  15  16  17  18  19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28  29  30  31  32  33  34  35  36  37  38  39  40  41  42  43  44  45  46  47  48  49  50  51  52  53  54  55  56  57  58  59  60  61  62  63  64  65  66  67  68  69  70  71  72  73  74  75  76  77  78  79  80  81  82  83  84 
                     1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9  10  11  12  13  14  15  16  17  18  19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28  29  30  31  32  33  34  35  36  37  38  39  40  41  42  43  44  45  46  47  48  49  50  51  52  53  54  55  56  57  58  59  60  61  62  63  64  65  66  67  68  69  70  71  72  73  74  75  76  77  78  79  80  81  82  83  84 
     32  62386       6  61----  61  -2  10  44 139-166  17  17 -37  38-171----  40 -75-174 -94 -97 -33-165 -21-118  -3  61 -28  -9 160-------- 999 166 169---- 345 141 -65 280 -48 -60  72---- 158 310  55 262 277  11 138---- 119 227---- 165 139 -18 -24  31  36 -10 195  21----  46 132 -43 117  81---- -20   8 100---- 136  14  73-103-----189 -14 -39 -85  17
     33  187285      2  45----  48  11  11  47 151  95  -8   7  20  17   9----  53  25  60  92  53  30   8  47  33  26 300 121  87 204-------- 166 999 162---- 402 161  31 496 119 283 201---- 238 236  60 413 294 127 245---- 399 354---- 272 292 105 262 126   9  68 192  20----  61  99 174  83  42----  15 -37  13---- -36 -95 302 207-----240  57  17 -63 -49
     34  26458       6  14----  92  -9  45  33 163-212  -5  21 -73  54-226----  73 -80-241-101-112 -55-190 -61-162  12  81 -41   7 165-------- 169 162 999---- 382 162 -90 270-114-108  45---- 125 351  34 300 334 -23 142----  76 237---- 141 112 -59 -81  58  43  27 216  19----  45 136 -94 160  81----   1 -30  73---- 155  23  90-160-----117  33-114 -17  46
                     1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9  10  11  12  13  14  15  16  17  18  19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28  29  30  31  32  33  34  35  36  37  38  39  40  41  42  43  44  45  46  47  48  49  50  51  52  53  54  55  56  57  58  59  60  61  62  63  64  65  66  67  68  69  70  71  72  73  74  75  76  77  78  79  80  81  82  83  84 
     36  2488873    37 116---- 116 -12  10  53 277-344  27  31-123  84-482---- 104-127-352-159-180 -70-295 -48-233  11 208  33 -21 328-------- 345 402 382---- 999 369 -97 684-163 -41 189---- 308 670  93 655 662  37 318---- 263 477---- 351 274 -60 -12 154  38  17 424  43---- 101 289 -53 286 163----  32   2 137---- 247 -43 297-193-----271  73-179 -29  20
     37  36322      28  68----  62  -7  18  18 100-153   0  26 -64  14-218----  51 -56-189 -96 -80 -23-148 -10 -96   3  62  15 -26 115-------- 141 161 162---- 369 999 -66 284 -88 -26  71---- 118 305  56 299 302   4 133---- 109 224---- 158  94 -20 -32  37  17  51 176   8----  57 109 -54 147  85----  25  28  36---- 111 -17 133-100---- -36 119 -87  68  26
     38  7323       -3   2---- -27  35   3  -2 -18 265 -22   7  78 -32 220---- -35  96 253 112 124  44 177  42 156  56 166  89  61 -15-------- -65  31 -90---- -97 -66 999  75 209 281  81----  80-146  21  23-102 153  39---- 220  21----  59 100 130 264  57 -24  40 -66 -35----   9 -75 225 -60 -69----  11  17 -72-----170 -99 140 286---- -36 -38  92 -35 -41
     39  2320623     2 105---- 111  17   5  64 278 131  36  19  23  24 -11----  61  43  87 113  78  33  24  58  85  97 487 171 103 338-------- 280 496 270---- 684 284  75 999 192 465 312---- 428 430 101 717 533 258 419---- 695 645---- 463 507 202 463 208  14  99 352  40----  98 170 322 168  76----  50 -24  69---- -46-157 476 324-----336  38 -22 -84 -50
     40  81918     -35 -21----   3  47 -17   5 -13 531   3 -22 130 -58 525---- -18 194 490 285 283 110 356  96 345  83 336 159 128  11-------- -48 119-114-----163 -88 209 192 999 558 149---- 197-272   6  91-161 289 123---- 479 109---- 133 243 287 541  88 -73  86 -85   3----   7-127 431-135-111----   9 -15 -57-----303-127 196 585-----192-134 178-179-121
     41  1666554   -49  29----  21  53 -20  22  45 746  -2 -21 185 -77 617---- -15 304 680 430 398 185 505 144 479 147 545 272 210  98-------- -60 283-108---- -41 -26 281 465 558 999 259---- 314-268  45 281 -72 435 266---- 806 318---- 275 446 423 830 130 -77 122 -37  -5----  45-123 672-142-122----  35 -25-118-----468-251 464 870-----197 -56 201-111-147
     42  71021      -6  75----  75   6  16  39 117 150   8 -29  36  20 141----  37  59 110  88  99  33  89  19  83  37 244 116  76 125--------  72 201  45---- 189  71  81 312 149 259 999---- 204  90  27 257 143 133 177---- 325 252---- 153 235 129 258  71  -3  38 102  13----  57  40 195  50  10---- -11  21  13---- -92 -80 213 240-----121   2  31 -37 -52
                     1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9  10  11  12  13  14  15  16  17  18  19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28  29  30  31  32  33  34  35  36  37  38  39  40  41  42  43  44  45  46  47  48  49  50  51  52  53  54  55  56  57  58  59  60  61  62  63  64  65  66  67  68  69  70  71  72  73  74  75  76  77  78  79  80  81  82  83  84 
     44  183558    -19  46----  39  13 -16  41 153 169  10   7  52   4 122----  27  59 133  93  93  46  61  37  84  55 295 120  73 203-------- 158 238 125---- 308 118  80 428 197 314 204---- 999 188  69 384 209 240 222---- 437 295---- 259 279 119 309 130   9  82 204  19----  46  38 234  72  33----  13  21 114---- -47 -76 262 282-----269 -99   1-143 -59
     45  236983     57  92---- 109 -14  15  39 233-469  50  62-116  88-479----  89-202-456-234-238 -96-364 -65-288 -26  41 -54 -74 244-------- 310 236 351---- 670 305-146 430-272-268  90---- 188 999  57 499 590-101 218----  54 399---- 243 155-165-231  77  84  19 392  49----  73 265-229 295 179----  11  15 168---- 359  32 118-358-----124 131-209  72  75
     46  6956        5 -13----  -2 -19 -10   7  72   6  -5  13   3  19 -26----  21 -15  -7  29  23 -20   1  30   7  -3  39  19  68  49--------  55  60  34----  93  56  21 101   6  45  27----  69  57 999  99  76  38  64----  93  96----  53  69   5  47  45 -13  36  36   7----   8  35  54  41  16----  21 -30  11----   8   1  57  36---- -49  27 -28  -2 -16
     47  978086     46 110---- 112  15   0  63 252  -8  51  24   6  35 -93----  83  -4 -45  26  16   5 -52  26   3  63 374 112  49 301-------- 262 413 300---- 655 299  23 717  91 281 257---- 384 499  99 999 554 177 369---- 533 564---- 406 392 111 269 153  12  90 359  48----  98 208 173 207 136----  34 -11  79----  68 -98 394 160-----261  67-112 -35 -18
     48  226241     32  90---- 117 -18  15  44 236-305  47  29-109  90-354----  74-113-309-143-177 -40-231 -34-199 -15 152   8 -11 260-------- 277 294 334---- 662 302-102 533-161 -72 143---- 209 590  76 554 999   7 250---- 208 463---- 284 217 -78 -54 117  76  20 368  44----  63 233 -74 255 153----  32 -28 136---- 229 -20 197-185-----156 107-173  52  77
     49  193564    -20  35----  21  43 -38  -5  27 379   9 -20  87 -18 298---- -24 141 340 201 190 111 244  90 216 119 307 164  87  79--------  11 127 -23----  37   4 153 258 289 435 133---- 240-101  38 177   7 999 151---- 426 162---- 145 237 186 405  99 -39  58   9  12----  22 -76 325 -40 -33----  14   7   6-----207-143 212 435-----200-154  75-169-108
     50  5188        1  84----  75  11   1  44 176 108 -14   7  20   4  30----  46  45  66  74  50  31  44  34  68  55 228 103  80 162-------- 138 245 142---- 318 133  39 419 123 266 177---- 222 218  64 369 250 151 999---- 406 404---- 249 274 142 276 125 -22  34 173  10----  61  83 214  63  47----  27  -6  40---- -30 -87 227 198-----185   0 -11 -49 -17
                     1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9  10  11  12  13  14  15  16  17  18  19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28  29  30  31  32  33  34  35  36  37  38  39  40  41  42  43  44  45  46  47  48  49  50  51  52  53  54  55  56  57  58  59  60  61  62  63  64  65  66  67  68  69  70  71  72  73  74  75  76  77  78  79  80  81  82  83  84 
     52  541388    -20  74----  65  63 -17  54 181 564  15  -1 144 -19 443----  29 197 471 328 286 132 324 117 346 139 589 269 190 245-------- 119 399  76---- 263 109 220 695 479 806 325---- 437  54  93 533 208 426 406---- 999 634---- 438 594 389 805 189 -37 151 143  40----  74  -4 600  -9 -25----  40 -10  -7-----305-216 485 745-----322 -82 141-141-115
     53  15478      20  99---- 112  21  41  77 263  66  21  30  -3  34 -19----  65   3   0  59  26  10 -23  28  49  53 340 113  98 273-------- 227 354 237---- 477 224  21 645 109 318 252---- 295 399  96 564 463 162 404---- 634 999---- 443 479 154 379 167  12 102 277  51----  79 160 236 133  98----   3   7  88----  11 -82 309 223-----201  53 -15 -20  -7
                     1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9  10  11  12  13  14  15  16  17  18  19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28  29  30  31  32  33  34  35  36  37  38  39  40  41  42  43  44  45  46  47  48  49  50  51  52  53  54  55  56  57  58  59  60  61  62  63  64  65  66  67  68  69  70  71  72  73  74  75  76  77  78  79  80  81  82  83  84 
     55  32803       3  49----  53  -5  -4  27 163 107  -4  12  31  16  19----  48  33  50  83  19   3  17  -8  49  59 279  79  58 204-------- 165 272 141---- 351 158  59 463 133 275 153---- 259 243  53 406 284 145 249---- 438 443---- 999 331 125 314 127 -10  46 188  -3----  51  59 208  92  74----  15 -21  50---- -21 -98 255 207-----184   4  -2 -42 -39
     56  125382    -18  42----  71  37  11  50 177 247  32  10  62  -3 217----  46  48 194 155 119  55 124  59 156  86 374 153  86 183-------- 139 292 112---- 274  94 100 507 243 446 235---- 279 155  69 392 217 237 274---- 594 479---- 331 999 215 475 138 -11  82 150  44----  57  70 336  27  30----  30 -16  21-----107-127 290 391-----205 -30  84 -66 -47
     57  33115      -1   7----  29  11  -4  10   7 355 -15 -20  99 -47 353---- -35 111 333 207 197  73 252  60 225  77 261 120  94  33-------- -18 105 -59---- -60 -20 130 202 287 423 129---- 119-165   5 111 -78 186 142---- 389 154---- 125 215 999 419  60 -49  29 -50  14----   9 -65 324 -64 -59----   8   0 -68-----208-101 194 415---- -72 -23 118 -28 -57
     58  431568    -32  21----   6  48 -20  14  69 688  -2 -28 158 -51 553---- -15 258 604 379 353 146 434 136 420 147 526 256 194 112-------- -24 262 -81---- -12 -32 264 463 541 830 258---- 309-231  47 269 -54 405 276---- 805 379---- 314 475 419 999 148 -56 107 -52   0----  36-114 640-139-104----  19 -22 -86-----420-224 386 807-----241-111 225-159-147
     59  58166     -14  28----  33  19   9  34  73  70  -3 -37 -34  -9   3----  28  23  48  37  52  21  30  30  26  21 130  75  31  70--------  31 126  58---- 154  37  57 208  88 130  71---- 130  77  45 153 117  99 125---- 189 167---- 127 138  60 148 999 -24  36  50   5----  54  39 120  -8   1----  15 -19   3---- -38 -57 119 107-----126 -62  11 -76 -67
     60  4789       16   8----  34  -2 -11  -5  25 -87  36  13  -3  -5 -71----  15 -77 -84 -35 -57   4 -66 -13 -60 -24  -6 -24   6  43--------  36   9  43----  38  17 -24  14 -73 -77  -3----   9  84 -13  12  76 -39 -22---- -37  12---- -10 -11 -49 -56 -24 999 -24  41  27----   1  24 -57  40  14---- -35  24  36----  63  32 -32 -77----  -1  19 -41  18  47
     61  48119     -20   5----  -2   7  27  -9  19  88   9   4  23 -12  87----  32  44  68  68  52  52  64  16  55  24 100  55  22  14-------- -10  68  27----  17  51  40  99  86 122  38----  82  19  36  90  20  58  34---- 151 102----  46  82  29 107  36 -24 999  41  64----  27 -15  70 -18  -4----  -1  18  11---- -22 -25  82 131---- -38 -26  17   1  -9
     62  247833     45  58----  73  -8 -22  45 169-179  19  17 -45  58-182----  71 -74-187 -41 -91 -28-141 -25-118  10 111  -6 -13 191-------- 195 192 216---- 424 176 -66 352 -85 -37 102---- 204 392  36 359 368   9 173---- 143 277---- 188 150 -50 -52  50  41  41 999  54----  39 158 -54 165 123----  21  27 113---- 174 -11 159 -92---- -93  92 -90  36  50
     63  27449     -13  -8----  -3   0   2  12  10  -8  24 -19 -17  -6   6----  25 -16 -21  -5   1  29  -5  34   1 -20  25  -4 -22  29--------  21  20  19----  43   8 -35  40   3  -5  13----  19  49   7  48  44  12  10----  40  51----  -3  44  14   0   5  27  64  54 999---- -43  20 -10  -6   6---- -23   6  41----   9   6  23  -5----  23  36 -24  30 -14
                     1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9  10  11  12  13  14  15  16  17  18  19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28  29  30  31  32  33  34  35  36  37  38  39  40  41  42  43  44  45  46  47  48  49  50  51  52  53  54  55  56  57  58  59  60  61  62  63  64  65  66  67  68  69  70  71  72  73  74  75  76  77  78  79  80  81  82  83  84 
     65  2862       17  31----  -5  -7  10  26  34  15  12 -19 -15  13 -28----  20  14   1   5  21   3  -8  17  27  48  67  -2  26  30--------  46  61  45---- 101  57   9  98   7  45  57----  46  73   8  98  63  22  61----  74  79----  51  57   9  36  54   1  27  39 -43---- 999  42  34  74  21---- -22  -3  37----   0   8  49  26---- -51   8  13 -12 -32
     66  16184       7  21----  45 -34  -8  29  72-210  12  15 -77  19-202----  34-131-204-130 -76 -55-163 -26-136 -32  27 -37 -41  87-------- 132  99 136---- 289 109 -75 170-127-123  40----  38 265  35 208 233 -76  83----  -4 160----  59  70 -65-114  39  24 -15 158  20----  42 999 -98  95  96----  14  23  46---- 119  27  60-171---- -57  49 -50  16  24
     67  160286    -34  12----   0  40 -20  16  53 571   7 -25 114 -27 455----  -9 242 515 323 299 118 371  99 383  98 402 217 157  91-------- -43 174 -94---- -53 -54 225 322 431 672 195---- 234-229  54 173 -74 325 214---- 600 236---- 208 336 324 640 120 -57  70 -54 -10----  34 -98 999-121 -74----  19 -32 -80-----346-201 327 659-----192 -86 177-144-143
     68  18686       0  36----  37  17 -12  28 110-226  29   4 -42  85-250----  27 -66-218-146-138 -47-172 -15-145 -13 -13 -19 -11 117-------- 117  83 160---- 286 147 -60 168-135-142  50----  72 295  41 207 255 -40  63----  -9 133----  92  27 -64-139  -8  40 -18 165  -6----  74  95-121 999  75----  22  -1  68---- 155  19  33-182---- -61  66 -88  27  45
     69  5140        7  17----  28   7  24  43  44-151   9  21 -37  60-138----  51 -57-146 -77 -33  -7-133 -33 -91 -21 -24  -2 -19  58--------  81  42  81---- 163  85 -69  76-111-122  10----  33 179  16 136 153 -33  47---- -25  98----  74  30 -59-104   1  14  -4 123   6----  21  96 -74  75 999----  -2  15  58---- 129  48 -23-135---- -21  26 -94  34  30
                     1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9  10  11  12  13  14  15  16  17  18  19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28  29  30  31  32  33  34  35  36  37  38  39  40  41  42  43  44  45  46  47  48  49  50  51  52  53  54  55  56  57  58  59  60  61  62  63  64  65  66  67  68  69  70  71  72  73  74  75  76  77  78  79  80  81  82  83  84 
     71  467         4   2---- -19   6  20 -13 -16   6  -6 -13 -12  -6   3----  -7   3  -7  21  25  11   8   0  15 -14  28   5 -25  25-------- -20  15   1----  32  25  11  50   9  35 -11----  13  11  21  34  32  14  27----  40   3----  15  30   8  19  15 -35  -1  21 -23---- -22  14  19  22  -2---- 999   2 -11---- -16 -37  58  22----   2  27  -1  20  24
     72  2167       -2  31---- -32  18 -12  28   4 -21  -4  -2  12   5   3----  -3   8 -14 -20 -15 -15 -14  -9 -13  20  -2   3   3 -12--------   8 -37 -30----   2  28  17 -24 -15 -25  21----  21  15 -30 -11 -28   7  -6---- -10   7---- -21 -16   0 -22 -19  24  18  27   6----  -3  23 -32  -1  15----   2 999   5----  24  21   2  -2----   6 -17 -14   4 -41
     73  118333     22   5----  19 -25  21   0  48-111   5  24 -36  23-128----  21 -87-115 -66 -22 -44 -92   9 -85  -3 -37   5 -27  28-------- 100  13  73---- 137  36 -72  69 -57-118  13---- 114 168  11  79 136   6  40----  -7  88----  50  21 -68 -86   3  36  11 113  41----  37  46 -80  68  58---- -11   5 999---- 110  44 -19-123-----144 -26 -56 -93  22
                     1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9  10  11  12  13  14  15  16  17  18  19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28  29  30  31  32  33  34  35  36  37  38  39  40  41  42  43  44  45  46  47  48  49  50  51  52  53  54  55  56  57  58  59  60  61  62  63  64  65  66  67  68  69  70  71  72  73  74  75  76  77  78  79  80  81  82  83  84 
     75  49507      52  26----  17 -42  22 -13  52-462   5  36-106  47-409----  31-196-460-265-241 -93-335 -86-295 -75-204-133-108  73-------- 136 -36 155---- 247 111-170 -46-303-468 -92---- -47 359   8  68 229-207 -30-----305  11---- -21-107-208-420 -38  63 -22 174   9----   0 119-346 155 129---- -16  24 110---- 999 186-139-475----  21  84-150  67  71
     76  128321    -20 -38----  15 -23 -22  15 -17-178  -1   6 -17  -7 -98---- -14 -92-158 -95 -97 -31-128 -30-119 -17-136 -86 -59 -26--------  14 -95  23---- -43 -17 -99-157-127-251 -80---- -76  32   1 -98 -20-143 -87-----216 -82---- -98-127-101-224 -57  32 -25 -11   6----   8  27-201  19  48---- -37  21  44---- 186 999-168-220----  56  46 -13  12  55
     77  272450    -14  58----  40  14   1  68 125 254  12 -22  64 -40 148----  13 140 239 188 148  91 186  53 179  69 348 143 115 148--------  73 302  90---- 297 133 140 476 196 464 213---- 262 118  57 394 197 212 227---- 485 309---- 255 290 194 386 119 -32  82 159  23----  49  60 327  33 -23----  58   2 -19-----139-168 999 385---- -62 132 -55  77 -56
     78  1258997   -34   8----  -9  67 -26  17   6 783 -10 -26 202 -76 693---- -19 307 720 460 413 186 523 152 506 137 498 261 212  55---------103 207-160-----193-100 286 324 585 870 240---- 282-358  36 160-185 435 198---- 745 223---- 207 391 415 807 107 -77 131 -92  -5----  26-171 659-182-135----  22  -2-123-----475-220 385 999-----181-109 236-140-153
                     1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9  10  11  12  13  14  15  16  17  18  19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28  29  30  31  32  33  34  35  36  37  38  39  40  41  42  43  44  45  46  47  48  49  50  51  52  53  54  55  56  57  58  59  60  61  62  63  64  65  66  67  68  69  70  71  72  73  74  75  76  77  78  79  80  81  82  83  84 
     80  434335     -1 -55----  -8 -41   9  -8-137-126  12  24 -31 -24   5----   8  27 -45 -38 -40 -10  50 -30 -44 -44-226 -96 -52-155---------189-240-117-----271 -36 -36-336-192-197-121-----269-124 -49-261-156-200-185-----322-201-----184-205 -72-241-126  -1 -38 -93  23---- -51 -57-192 -61 -21----   2   6-144----  21  56 -62-181---- 999 364-156 642 215
     81  437312    -12  11----  30 -29  46   9  -3-133   8  42 -43  -5 -83----  42   3 -92 -41 -25 -27 -36 -17 -58 -12 -20 -31 -33 -10-------- -14  57  33----  73 119 -38  38-134 -56   2---- -99 131  27  67 107-154   0---- -82  53----   4 -30 -23-111 -62  19 -26  92  36----   8  49 -86  66  26----  27 -17 -26----  84  46 132-109---- 364 999-104 362 152
     82  262233    -10 -44---- -35  10  -6 -10 -27 249 -29  23  62 -13 219---- -36  57 194 105  97  45 134  51 133  15  93  12  49 -26-------- -39  17-114-----179 -87  92 -22 178 201  31----   1-209 -28-112-173  75 -11---- 141 -15----  -2  84 118 225  11 -41  17 -90 -24----  13 -50 177 -88 -94----  -1 -14 -56-----150 -13 -55 236-----156-104 999-130 -27
     83  195700     -4  -9----  25 -24   7  18 -38-141  25  39 -34 -12 -43----   0  -5-102 -61 -47 -17 -12 -30 -65 -30 -98 -41 -17 -61-------- -85 -63 -17---- -29  68 -35 -84-179-111 -37-----143  72  -2 -35  52-169 -49-----141 -20---- -42 -66 -28-159 -76  18   1  36  30---- -12  16-144  27  34----  20   4 -93----  67  12  77-140---- 642 362-130 999 198
     84  28574      22 -31---- -10   2   5  16  16-143  -2  37 -34 -10 -87----  -9 -71-134 -42 -87 -17 -74 -62-102 -51 -68 -55 -53 -25--------  17 -49  46----  20  26 -41 -50-121-147 -52---- -59  75 -16 -18  77-108 -17-----115  -7---- -39 -47 -57-147 -67  47  -9  50 -14---- -32  24-143  45  30----  24 -41  22----  71  55 -56-153---- 215 152 -27 198 999
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                     1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9  10  11  12  13  14  15  16  17  18  19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28  29  30  31  32  33  34  35  36  37  38  39  40  41  42  43  44  45  46  47  48  49  50  51  52  53  54  55  56  57  58  59  60  61  62  63  64  65  66  67  68  69  70  71  72  73  74  75  76  77  78  79  80  81  82  83  84

    Code:
     NINTH REVISION 72 CAUSES OF DEATH ADAPTED FOR USE BY DVS 
    
    Recode Cause Title And ICD-9 Codes Included
    
     01 Shigellosis and amebiasis (004, 006)
     02 Certain other intestinal infections (007-009)
     03 Tuberculosis (010-018)
     04 Tuberculosis of respiratory system (010-012)
     05 Other tuberculosis (013-018)
     06 Whooping cough (033)
     07 Streptococcal sore throat, scarlatina, and erysipelas (034-035)
     08 Meningococcal infection (036)
     09 Septicemia (038)
     10 Acute poliomyelitis (045)
     11 Measles (055)
     12 Viral hepatitis (070)
     13 Syphilis (090-097)
     14 All other infectious and parasitic diseases (001-003, 005, 020-032, 037, 039-041, *042-*044, 046-054, 056-066, 071-088, 098-139) 
     15 Malignant neoplasms, including neoplasms of lymphatic and hematopoietic tissues (140-208)
     16 Malignant neoplasms of lip, oral cavity, and pharynx (140-149)
     17 Malignant neoplasms of digestive organs and peritoneum (150-159)
     18 Malignant neoplasms of respiratory and intrathoracic organs (160-165)
     19 Malignant neoplasm of breast (174-175)
     20 Malignant neoplasms of genital organs (179-187)
     21 Malignant neoplasms of urinary organs (188-189)
     22 Malignant neoplasms of all other and unspecified sites (170-173, 190-199)
     23 Leukemia (204-208)
     24 Other malignant neoplasms of lymphatic and hematopoietic tissues (200-203)
     25 Benign neoplasms, carcinoma in situ, and neoplasms of uncertain behavior and of unspecified nature (210-239)
     26 Diabetes mellitus (250)
     27 Nutritional deficiencies (260-269)
     28 Anemias (280-285)
     29 Meningitis (320-322)
     30 Major cardiovascular diseases (390-448)
     31 Diseases of heart (390-398, 402, 404-429)
     32 Rheumatic fever and rheumatic heart disease (390-398)
     33 Hypertensive heart disease (402)
     34 Hypertensive heart and renal disease (404)
     35 Ischemic heart disease (410-414)
     36 Acute myocardial infarction (410)
     37 Other acute and subacute forms of ischemic heart disease (411)
     38 Angina pectoris (413)
     39 Old myocardial infarction and other forms of chronic ischemic heart disease (412, 414)
     40 Other diseases of endocardium (424)
     41 All other forms of heart disease (415-423,425-429)
     42 Hypertension with or without renal disease (401,403)
     43 Cerebrovascular diseases (430-438)
     44 Intracerebral and other intracranial hemorrhage (431-432)
     45 Cerebral thrombosis and unspecified occlusion of cerebral arteries (434.0, 434.9)
     46 Cerebral embolism (434.1)
     47 All other and late effects of cerebrovascular diseases (430, 433, 435-438)
     48 Atherosclerosis (440)
     49 Other diseases of arteries, arterioles, and capillaries (441-448)
     50 Acute bronchitis and bronchiolitis (466)
     51 Pneumonia and influenza (480-487)
     52 Pneumonia (480-486)
     53 Influenza (487)
     54 Chronic obstructive pulmonary diseases and allied conditions (490-496)
     55 Bronchitis, chronic and unspecified (490-491)
     56 Emphysema (492)
     57 Asthma (493)
     58 Other chronic obstructive pulmonary diseases and allied conditions (494-496)
     59 Ulcer of stomach and duodenum (531-533)
     60 Appendicitis (540-543)
     61 Hernia of abdominal cavity and intestinal obstruction without mention of hernia (550-553, 560)
     62 Chronic liver disease and cirrhosis (571)
     63 Cholelithiasis and other disorders of gallbladder (574-575)
     64 Nephritis, nephrotic syndrome, and nephrosis (580-589)
     65 Acute glomerulonephritis and nephrotic syndrome (580-581)
     66 Chronic glomerulonephritis, nephritis and nephropathy, not specified as acute or chronic,and renal sclerosis, unspecified (582-583, 587)
     67 Renal failure, disorders resulting from impaired renal function, and small kidney of unknown cause (584-586, 588-589)
     68 Infections of kidney (590)
     69 Hyperplasia of prostate (600)
     70 Complications of pregnancy, childbirth, and the puerperium (630-676)
     71 Pregnancy with abortive outcome (630-638)
     72 Other complications of pregnancy, childbirth, and the puerperium (640-676)
     73 Congenital anomalies (740-759)
     74 Certain conditions originating in the perinatal period (760-779)
     75 Birth trauma, intrauterine hypoxia, birth asphyxia,and respiratory distress syndrome (767-769)
     76 Other conditions originating in the perinatal period (760-766, 770-779)
     77 Symptoms, signs, and ill-defined conditions (780-799)
     78 All other diseases (Residual)
     79 Accidents and adverse effects (E800-E949)
     80 Motor vehicle accidents (E810-E825)
     81 All other accidents and adverse effects (E800-E807, E826-E949)
     82 Suicide (E950-E959)
     83 Homicide and legal intervention (E960-E978)
     84 All other external causes (E980-E999)
    the daily numbers of influenza-deaths (53) correlate best with those from
    39 old myocardial infarction : corr=0.645
    52 pneumonia : corr=0.634
    47 other cerebrovascular : corr=0.564
    56 emphysema : corr=0.479
    36 acute mycardial infarction : corr=0.477
    48 atherosclerosis : corr=0.463
    55 bronchitis : corr=0.443

    it is clearly seen how respiratory deaths(120) and heart/Kreislauf-deaths(650)
    are seasonal, but not cancer deaths(350)
    and unnatural deaths (110) peak in summer, not winter

    http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/statab/lead1900_98.pdf

    ( file : 1980.d2 , 766K, 3394 lines with 84 entries http://magictour.free.fr/stat/1980.D2Z (gzip) )


    http://magictour.free.fr/stat/usdeath7.GIF
    I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
    my current links: http://bit.ly/hFI7H ILI-charts: http://bit.ly/CcRgT

  • #2
    Re: mortality statistics

    nchs has available the anonymized data from USA-death-certificates since 1959
    http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data_access/...ality_Multiple
    one line per certificate, 36GB uncompressed in total !






    surprisingly death rates went down again since 1999 , after being almost stable since 1975

    down are i.e. deaths from heart disease and cerebrovascular deaths,
    also pneumonia+influenza
    not so much from cancer, and diabetes is increasing since 1985


    what is it ? some new treatment for cardiovascular since ~1999 ?



    there was a revision in 1999, they switched to ICD-10 from ICD-9




    -----------------edit-------------
    US deathrates by age5group 1959-2010 image attached allagr.gif

    data in file "usdeath"
    http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/dvs/lead1900_98.pdf
    Attached Files
    I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
    my current links: http://bit.ly/hFI7H ILI-charts: http://bit.ly/CcRgT

    Comment


    • #3
      Re: mortality statistics

      Utah Gov (comparing ICD-9 with ICD-10):

      "To accurately portray trends that include both years 1980-1998 and 1999 on, the death
      counts or rates for the earlier years must be "comparability modified." This is accomplished
      by multiplying the earlier death count (or rate) by the comparability ratio for that cause of death.

      Consider a cause of death in which there was no change in the true death rate, but for
      which the two coding systems produced incomparable rates. If you were to graph
      death rates across the two time periods for that cause of death, you would see a sharp
      increase or decrease in the trend line starting with 1999. This increase or decrease would
      be an artifact of the change in the coding system, and not an actual difference in the
      underlying risk of death from that cause.
      "
      http://health.utah.gov/opha/IBIShelp...comp_ratio.htm

      Comment


      • #4
        Re: mortality statistics

        yes, this affect i.e. pneumonia death counts

        for most others it doesn't matter a lot.

        factor is ~86/61

        but pneumonia counts went strangely up continuously
        in the ~15 years before, this could be due to a changed
        practice in multi-cause-priority
        I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
        my current links: http://bit.ly/hFI7H ILI-charts: http://bit.ly/CcRgT

        Comment


        • #5
          Re: mortality statistics

          see here, what is available from every US-death certificate

          unfortunately this is not uniform and the format ,
          "tape-" locations and codes change over the years

          and this is in yearly files, no nice computer-readable time-series



          -------------------------------------------------------

          Mortality Multiple Cause-of-Death Public Use Record 2004

          VI. List of File Data Elements and Tape Locations
          Tape
          Data Items Locations

          1. General
          a. Record Type 19
          b. Resident status 20
          c. Place of death and decedent?s status 83
          d. Day of week of death 85
          e. Date of data receipt 94-101
          f. Data year 102-105

          2. Occurrence
          a. State (FIPS) 21-22
          b. Expanded State 26-27
          c. County (FIPS) 23-25
          d. County Population size 28

          3. Residence
          a. State (FIPS) 29-30
          b. State/Country Recode 33-34
          c. Expanded State 45-46
          d. County (FIPS) 35-37
          e. County Population size 51
          f. City (FIPS) 38-42
          g. City Population size 43
          h. Met/Nonmet county 44
          i. PMSA/MSA (FIPS) 47-50
          j. PMSA/MSA Population size 52
          k. FIPS CMSA 53-54

          4. The Decedent
          a. Month of Death 65-66
          b. Sex 69
          c. Race 445-450
          d. Age 70-82
          e. Marital status 84
          f. State of birth 55-60
          g. Hispanic origin 484-488


          h. Education 61-64


          5. Underlying Cause
          a. ICD-10 code 146-149
          b. 358 cause recode 150-152
          c. 113 cause recode 154-156
          d. 130 cause recode 157-159
          e. 39 cause recode 160-161



          6. Multiple Conditions

          a. Entity-Axis conditions
          1. Number of 163-164
          2. The conditions 165-304

          b Record-Axis conditions
          1. Number of 341-342
          2. The conditions 344-443

          7. Other medical items
          a. Place of injury 145
          b. Injury at work 106
          c. Method of disposition 108
          d. Autopsy 109
          e. Activity code 144
          I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
          my current links: http://bit.ly/hFI7H ILI-charts: http://bit.ly/CcRgT

          Comment


          • #6
            Re: mortality statistics




            seems that seasonality of deaths peaked in ~1998 and is declining now again

            most of that seasonality is assumed to be due to influenza
            well, since P+I itself didn't increase in seasonality
            it must be due to seasonal deaths from other diseases
            (cardiovascular) increasing until 1998
            but the chart in #2 shows the opposite, hmm
            I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
            my current links: http://bit.ly/hFI7H ILI-charts: http://bit.ly/CcRgT

            Comment


            • #7
              Re: mortality statistics




              well, 40000 additional deaths in severe vs. mild seasons,
              so maybe 20000 additional deaths vs. average in bad flu seasons
              but only ~8000 additional deaths vs. average when you include the
              following season which will often be mild.

              I assume this is due to acquired immunity (?)

              ---------------------

              additional deaths in and 3 following bad vs. mild seasons in thousand
              bad : +21,-15,+03,+04 = +13
              mild: -19,+09,+00,-04 = -14

              (considering mortality only, ignoring morbidity)

              --------------edit-----------------------------------
              the above selection is not so natural. I tried other selections
              now and couldn't confirm the result
              -------------------------------------------------------------
              I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
              my current links: http://bit.ly/hFI7H ILI-charts: http://bit.ly/CcRgT

              Comment


              • #8
                Re: mortality statistics




                these are not centered at zero and multiplied with different factors
                so they fit into one picture.
                But you can see the proportions.

                ---------------update 2010-------------------


                also divided by /days per month
                Attached Files
                I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
                my current links: http://bit.ly/hFI7H ILI-charts: http://bit.ly/CcRgT

                Comment


                • #9
                  Re: mortality statistics



                  (resized)


                  I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
                  my current links: http://bit.ly/hFI7H ILI-charts: http://bit.ly/CcRgT

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Re: mortality statistics

                    excess winter deaths :

                    USA(1959-2006): 9.3%(all) , 47.7%(pneumonia) , 1300%(influenza)
                    Hawaii(1959-2001): 9.4%(all) , 27.7%(respiratory)
                    Puerto-Rico(1996-2006) : 5.1%(all) , 8.9&(respiratory)


                    http://magictour.free.fr/stat/mortg1.GIF
                    http://magictour.free.fr/stat/mortg2.GIF


                    see also this thread:
                    http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/sho...ghlight=charts
                    I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
                    my current links: http://bit.ly/hFI7H ILI-charts: http://bit.ly/CcRgT

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Re: mortality statistics

                      more deaths in Alaska in summer than in winter ?!

                      maybe people leave Alaska in winter ?
                      and Florida,Arizona have more people in winter ?

                      hmm, I could compare with cancer-deaths to figure out
                      seasonal population fluctuations...

                      or I could have an error in the data or programs
                      Hawaii only has 7% winter excess deaths, above it had 9.4
                      maybe occurence/residence or different period
                      ...wait, I adjusted for days of month above...
                      summer:May,...,Oct = 184 days
                      winter:Nov,...,Apr = 181.25 days
                      so multiply these numbers by 184/181.25


                      Code:
                      number in the alphabetical list of states
                      winter-deaths/summer-deaths
                      average deaths per year
                      state name
                      ---------------------------------
                        2  0.909990   1850 Alaska
                       51  1.012518   3080 Wyoming
                       13  1.023299   6873 Idaho
                       27  1.033968   6838 Montana
                       35  1.040934   5785 North Dakota
                       45  1.047046   8759 Utah
                       23  1.058728  76341 Michigan
                       46  1.061095   4603 Vermont
                        9  1.061904   8698 District of Columbia
                       30  1.064430   7910 New Hampshire
                       42  1.064711   6604 South Dakota
                       38  1.065257  22595 Oregon
                       20  1.066542  11003 Maine
                       24  1.066968  34314 Minnesota
                       12  1.070425   5583 Hawaii
                        8  1.073411   5353 Delaware
                       48  1.074835  33615 Washington
                       50  1.076457  41328 Wisconsin
                       15  1.077149  49092    Indiana
                       33  1.077386 171776 New York
                       14  1.077803 102875 Illinois
                        6  1.078878  20341 Colorado
                       36  1.080540  98799 Ohio
                       16  1.086830  27708 Iowa
                       28  1.089493  14780 Nebraska
                       31  1.090910  66931 New Jersey
                       19  1.092472  35683 Louisiana
                       21  1.093296  34788 Maryland
                       29  1.094187   7505  Nevada
                       26  1.095741  51536 Missouri
                       32  1.096175   9313 New Mexico
                       43  1.096602  44069 Tennessee
                        7  1.096623  27013 Connecticut
                       22  1.097645  55348 Massachusetts
                       39  1.097937 123986 Pennsylvania
                        5  1.098474 186957 California
                       17  1.098552  21888 Kansas
                       49  1.098704  19556 West Virginia
                       18  1.098917  33644 Kentucky
                       34  1.101081  51809 North Carolina
                       40  1.102350   9441 Rhode Island
                        4  1.103916  22636 Arkansas
                       37  1.104171  27821 Oklahoma
                       44  1.104449 111586 Texas
                       25  1.105235  23808 Mississippi
                       47  1.105825  43309 Virginia
                       11  1.111496  47184 Georgia
                        1  1.112453  36219 Alabama
                       41  1.114287  26126 South Carolina
                       10  1.163668 106737 Florida
                        3  1.167370  23336 Arizona

                      since 2005 they no longer give the state and county of death
                      (except Puerto Rico)
                      I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
                      my current links: http://bit.ly/hFI7H ILI-charts: http://bit.ly/CcRgT

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Re: mortality statistics

                        US-deaths 1959-2007
                        cancer deaths, which show only small seasonality,
                        are split from the rest

                        2 events with a decrease in rest-deaths (but not cancer-deaths):
                        1974-1976 and 1988-1990 -- why is it ?


                        Florida with high seasonality of deaths:




                        and Arizona, the other state with particularly high deaths-seasonality:



                        what happened in ~1980 ?


                        California, deaths separate by cancer(nonseasonal) and non-cancer(seasonal)
                        and by gender (males reducing the gap in life expectancy the last decades)



                        what happened in 1996 ? Sudden reduction in male non-cancer summer-deaths



                        I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
                        my current links: http://bit.ly/hFI7H ILI-charts: http://bit.ly/CcRgT

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Re: mortality statistics

                          trying to figure out the reason for the 1974-1976 decline in US-deaths ...
                          oil-crisis ? check other countries

                          declines sorted by state:

                          Code:
                          (1) : 1000* summer-deaths(1973) / summer deaths(1976)
                          (2) : state-code
                          (3) : summer-deaths in 1973
                          (4) : summer-deaths in 1976
                          
                          
                           (1) (2) (3)   (4)
                          --------------------
                          1160 DC 3927  3385 
                          1137 MA 28082  24679 
                          1105 NY 89238  80750 
                          1098 DE 2520  2295 
                          1097 RI 4624  4215 
                          1097 ME 5389  4909 
                          1095 NJ 33530  30618 
                          1093 ND 2861  2616 
                          1085 IA 14198  13074 
                          1084 OH 49579  45737 
                          1083 MI 38830  35839 
                          1083 KY 16740  15443 
                          1082 VT 2196  2029 
                          1082 PA 61611  56909 
                          1082 NH 3775  3486 
                          1077 IL 53642  49771 
                          1070 IN 24108  22511 
                          1068 CO 9005  8424 
                          1066 CT 13031  12214 
                          1064 NE 7268  6826 
                          1060 WI 20206  19053 
                          1060 MO 24853  23426 
                          1059 SC 11928  11262 
                          1059 KS 11035  10420 
                          1059 AR 10826  10221 
                          1056 OR 10175  9635 
                          1055 MD 16284  15427 
                          1054 VA 19986  18949 
                          1051 MS 11425  10865 
                          1050 MN 16247  15464 
                          1047 GA 20968  20013 
                          1045 NC 22967  21958 
                          1042 WA 14789  14184 
                          1041 TN 19264  18500 
                          1036 NM 3958  3820 
                          1032 AL 16960  16428 
                          1026 OK 13173  12827 
                          1025 WV 9550  9316 
                          1024 TX 48708  47523 
                          1021 MT 3286  3216 
                          1015 UT 3643  3588 
                          1015 CA 83303  82041 
                          1010 LA 16616  16442 
                          1001 WY 1470  1468 
                          1000 FL 42340  42325 
                          0998 AZ 8141  8154 
                          0994 SD 3258  3275 
                          0986 ID 3157  3200 
                          0980 HI 2099  2140 
                          0963 NV 2109  2188 
                          0875 AK 764  873

                          declines sorted by cause of death :

                          Code:
                          only causes with more than 1000 deaths in both summers are listed
                          
                          
                          (1) summer-deaths(1973)/summer-deaths(1976)
                          (2) first 2 digits of ICD8-code
                          (3) summer-deaths(1973)
                          (4) summer-deaths(1976)
                          (5) text of ICD8
                          
                           (1) (2)  (3)     (4)       (5)
                          ---------------------------------------------
                          1299 76   2388   1838     Certain causes of perinatal morbidity and mortality
                          1259 93   1832   1455     Surgical and medical complications and misadventures
                          1251 49  13484  10777     Bronchitis, emphysema and asthma
                          1229 77  13663  11114     Certain causes of perinatal morbidity and mortality
                          1224 40   9575   7819     Hypertensive disease
                          1222 92   4362   3569     Other accidents
                          1222 55   1232   1008     Hernia of abdominal cavity
                          1216 91   9095   7474     Other accidents
                          1215 01   1819   1497     Tuberculosis
                          1193 88   8234   6900     Accidental falls
                          1176 81  30133  25607     Motor vehicle traffic accidents
                          1176 43 103069  87601     Cerebrovascular disease
                          1163 48  23988  20620     Pneumonia
                          1157 53   5277   4557     Diseases of oesophagus, stomach and duodenum
                          1135 25  18960  16695     Diseases of other endocrine glands
                          1101 74   5155   4680     Congenital anomalies
                          1098 56   7774   7075     Other diseases of intestine and peritoneum
                          1092 41 326964 299297     Ischaemic heart disease
                          1086 44  28211  25954     Diseases of arteries, arterioles and capillaries
                          1078 23   1599   1483     Neoplasm of unspecified nature
                          1077 45   8714   8089     Diseases of veins and lymphatics, and other diseases of circulatory system
                          1074 79  13122  12209     Senility and ill-defined diseases
                          1068 57  22075  20654     Diseases of liver, gallbladder and pancreas
                          1056 75   1811   1714     Congenital anomalies
                          1055 34   6395   6061     Other diseases of central nervous system
                          1053 98   2548   2418     Injury undetermined whether accidentally or purposely inflicted
                          1050 59   7568   7204     Other diseases of urinary system
                          1042 27   1774   1702     Other metabolic diseases
                          1039 39   6487   6243     Acute rheumatic fever and Chronic rheumatic heart disease
                          1025 96  10168   9913     Homicide and injury purposely inflicted by other persons
                          1023 89   2233   2182     Accidents caused by fires and flames
                          1010 28   2586   2560     Diseases of blood and blood-forming organs
                          1003 32   1021   1017     Inflammatory diseases of central nervous system
                          1000 26   1212   1211     Avitaminoses and other nutritional deficiency
                          0988 71   1087   1100     Arthritis and rheumatism, except rheumatic fever
                          0972 58   3919   4030     Nephritis and nephrosis
                          0966 14   3872   4008     Malignant neoplasm of buccal cavity and pharynx
                          0957 17  20178  21074     Malignant neoplasm of bone, connective tissue, skin and breast
                          0956 20  17064  17846     Neoplasms of lymphatic and haematopoietic tissue
                          0953 19  17811  18670     Malignant neoplasm of other and unspecified sites
                          0951 18  29137  30633     Malignant neoplasm of genito-urinary organs
                          0950 15  48523  51051     Malignant neoplasm of digestive organs and peritoneum
                          0936 95  12957  13834     Suicide and self-inflicted injury
                          0922 30   3412   3697     Neuroses, personality disorders and other nonpsychotic mental disorders
                          0913 85   1296   1419     Accidental poisoning by drugs and medicaments
                          0880 78   1618   1838     Symptoms referable to systems or organs
                          0874 42  22269  25454     Other forms of heart disease
                          0874 16  39863  45593     Malignant neoplasm of respiratory system
                          0734 51  11025  15001     Other diseases of respiratory system
                          0733 03   2753   3754     Other bacterial diseases

                          other countries:

                          Code:
                          deaths per year in
                          
                                 Germany      USA  France Taiwan Australia Japan      UK   Russia
                          --------------------------------------------------------------------------
                           1970 : 734843  1921030  542277  71134  113048  712962  655386  1131182 
                           1971 : 730669  1927541  554151  70954  110649  684520  645077  1143359 
                           1972 : 731263  1963944  549900  71485  109759  683750  673937  1181801 
                           1973 : 731027  1973002  558782  73477  110821  709415  669691  1214203 
                           1974 : 727510  1934386  552551  73815  115833  710510  667357  1222494 
                           1975 : 749259  1892878  560353  74398  109021  702274  662476  1309709 
                           1976 : 733139  1909440  557114  75650  112661  703270  680759  1352949 
                           1977 : 704921  1899597  536221  78638  108789  690074  655079  1387986 
                           1978 : 723218  1927787  546916  78794  108425  695820  667177  1417377 
                           1979 : 711731  1913839  541805  81858  106568  689664  675576  1490056 
                          ------------------------------------------------------------------------
                          1970-1973: 2927804 7785518 2205110 287052 444280 2790649 2644091 4670547 
                          1976-1979: 2873011 7650664 2182056 314942 436445 2778829 2678591 5648369
                          ------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                      -1.91%  -1.76%  -1.05% +9.72% -1.80%  -0.43%  +1.29% +20.94%
                          
                          (data from human mortality database
                          Human Mortality Database. University of California, Berkeley (USA), 
                          and Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research (Germany). 
                          Available at www.mortality.org or www.humanmortality.de (data downloaded on [date])).

                          seems that in Western Europe it came 1-2 years later


                          the life expectancy charts somehow how that it's US-specific
                          (except California,Florida,...)

                          http://magictour.free.fr/stat/lfex2.GIF

                          I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
                          my current links: http://bit.ly/hFI7H ILI-charts: http://bit.ly/CcRgT

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            Re: mortality statistics

                            trying to figure out the reason for the 1974-1976 decline in US-deaths ...
                            Can you add 1974, 1975 to some of those states so we can see the trend?
                            Did they decline steeply or gradually?

                            Was there a change in reporting during those years?
                            The salvage of human life ought to be placed above barter and exchange ~ Louis Harris, 1918

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              Re: mortality statistics

                              this chart shows it best:
                              http://magictour.free.fr/stat/cg5us.GIF

                              see how the green line of US-female-noncancer-minimum(month)-deaths
                              declined in 1974-1976 and then kept that level ... slowly increasing
                              again in the 80s.
                              Another smaller decline in 1989-1990


                              it declined continuously from 1974-1976, see the chart
                              I can see no change in reporting.
                              Any such change should also have affected the cancer-deaths,
                              but cancer deaths did not decline in 1974-1976, they continued
                              to increase as normal.
                              Almost no effect in California, but much in neighboring Nevada.

                              see also the upated pictures above and the
                              life-expectancy chart

                              --------------edit 2012/12/28-------------------------
                              here are the summer deaths, 100 years:
                              http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/att...1&d=1388253263
                              I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
                              my current links: http://bit.ly/hFI7H ILI-charts: http://bit.ly/CcRgT

                              Comment

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