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  • Coronavirus market reactions

    2020/01/28/05:00 UTC
    China50=13011 (13800 on Friday = -5.7%)
    Dow Jones=28600 (29200 on Friday = -2.1%)
    $/Yuan=6.9728 (6.93 on Friday =+0.1%)
    US-VIX=17.09 (12.72 on Friday = +34.3%)
    Novavx=7.8 (7.0 on Friday = +11.4%)
    -----3.5 on Jan.15
    Moderna=22.8 (21.2 on Friday = +7.5%)
    Inovio=5.4 (4.2 on Friday = +28.6%)
    -----2.6 on Dec.17 with a jump to 3.3 on Dec.22 , 3.4 on Jan 22

    -----------update 2020/01/18/05:20 UTC---------------------
    China50=13175
    VIX=16.5
    $/yuan=6.961
    Dow Jones=28782
    Novavax=6.65
    Inovio=4.00
    Moderna=20.6
    oil=54.14 (55.5 on Fri, 53.0 on Mon)
    the maket seems to less concerned about the pandemic risk today
    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Chinese stocks
    USA-stocks
    Chinese currency
    US-volatility ~ level of uncertainety
    Last edited by gsgs; January 29th, 2020, 12:30 AM. Reason: update
    I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
    my current links: [url]http://bit.ly/hFI7H[/url] ILI-charts: [url]http://bit.ly/CcRgT[/url]

  • #2
    The US stock market declined on each of the days that the initial cases in the US were reported. It was rebounding until today when news reports about the outbreak were worldwide headlines. The US futures suggest that the US market will rebound again tomorrow, but will not recapture today's losses. When there is confirmed human-to-human transmission in the US, I hesitate to speculate how much the US and other world markets will decline.
    http://novel-infectious-diseases.blogspot.com/

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    • #3
      Originally posted by Laidback Al View Post
      The US stock market declined on each of the days that the initial cases in the US were reported. It was rebounding until today when news reports about the outbreak were worldwide headlines. The US futures suggest that the US market will rebound again tomorrow, but will not recapture today's losses. When there is confirmed human-to-human transmission in the US, I hesitate to speculate how much the US and other world markets will decline.
      must have been coincidence with the US-cases, that's not so important, IMO.
      Maybe it were the reports about the threatening global outbreak that came out yesterday (=Monday)
      actual futures are close to yesterday's final level
      I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
      my current links: [url]http://bit.ly/hFI7H[/url] ILI-charts: [url]http://bit.ly/CcRgT[/url]

      Comment


      • #4
        The risk to China could be underestimated right now in market pricing, and the risk to the US could be overestimated.
        Pets & COVID-19 coronavirus

        “‘i love myself.’ the quietest. simplest. most powerful. revolution ever.” ---- nayyirah waheed
        Avatar: Franz Marc, Liegender Hund im Schnee 1911 (My posts are not intended as advice or professional assessments of any kind.)

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