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  • #31
    Re: Cocirculation of Influenza Viruses

    yes, presumably they are cutting free access to flunet.
    Who can register ? how ?


    > If you are a registered user for a specific programme,
    > simply click on the Registered User Login and type in
    > your Login and Password to access the restricted user site.

    WHO-secrecy...

    now that Southern flu starts and we need to know
    ****** or H3N2
    I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
    my current links: http://bit.ly/hFI7H ILI-charts: http://bit.ly/CcRgT

    Comment


    • #32
      Re: Cocirculation of Influenza Viruses

      works again !


      Code:
      2010/07/15,15:00 GMT
      (H1): 21 48 42 30 18 47 63 25 18 7 7 19 13 12 19 19 8 18 19 13 11 9 10 4 3 2 1 
      (H3): 108 88 83 88 75 83 63 75 81 59 45 62 86 82 86 81 65 95 83 142 90 97 85 91 86 71 29 
      (Mx): 5250 4006 3158 2201 1977 1667 1335 1412 1245 1159 936 809 731 607 524 432 261 361 305 221 198 167 187 157 128 119 106 
      (A ): 5744 4552 3631 2602 2377 2056 1702 1749 1575 1428 1205 1042 1006 797 701 614 378 525 458 427 350 305 328 287 249 233 152 
      (B ): 844 1214 1577 1548 1497 1282 804 1284 1331 1492 1686 1682 1714 1287 1097 1136 1012 775 601 483 387 314 287 168 209 140 85 
      %Mx(A): 97.6 96.7 96.1 94.9 95.5 92.7 91.3 93.3 92.6 94.6 94.7 90.8 88 86.5 83.3 81.2 78.1 76.1 74.9 58.7 66.2 61.1 66.3 62.3 58.9 61.9 77.9 
      %B: 12.8 21 30.2 37.3 38.6 38.4 32 42.3 45.8 51 58.3 61.7 63 61.7 61 64.9 72.8 59.6 56.7 53 52.5 50.7 46.6 36.9 45.6 37.5 35.8


      weeks 24-27 : H3 - Mx
      Australia : 6,5,2,1 - 4,7,16,12
      Brazil : 0,0,0,? - 10,15,5,?
      Cambodia: 0,1,1,0 - 2,1,10,13
      Chile: 3,5,3,5 - 24,20,31,36
      China:4,8,20,23 - 15,24,32,45
      India:0,0,?,? - 17,3,?,?
      Japan:0,0,0,0 - 8,4,5,0
      Kenya:6,3,10,? - 0,1,0,?
      Madagascar:6,5,?,? - 0,0,0,0
      Mexico:0,0,0,? - 1,2,0,?
      New Zealand:0,1,0,? - 1,2,2,?
      Russia:0,1,0,0 - 2,0,0,0 - 0,0,0,0
      Singapore:50,38,30,? - 31,20,21,?
      South Africa:9,16,?,? - 0,1,?,?
      USA:0,2,0,? - 0,2,0,?


      2010/07/24,08:00

      Code:
      (H1): 21 48 42 30 18 47 63 25 18 7 7 19 13 12 21 19 8 18 20 13 11 10 12 4 3 2 1 0 0 
      (H3): 108 88 83 94 75 83 63 76 81 59 45 64 87 82 89 78 68 99 87 143 92 98 89 83 89 73 69 61 13 
      (Mx): 5240 4010 3163 2206 1978 1554 1321 1423 1270 1189 954 843 764 615 537 317 269 377 312 225 201 169 193 127 130 138 153 89 0 
      (A ): 5746 4557 3659 2607 2379 1943 1689 1765 1603 1462 1227 1058 1015 817 719 498 396 551 476 436 362 318 348 263 277 259 242 170 13 
      (B ): 844 1214 1578 1548 1497 1282 804 1291 1337 1497 1686 1684 1716 1291 1099 1139 1018 781 606 486 394 344 337 229 253 176 118 72 1 
      %Mx(A): 97.5 96.7 96.1 94.6 95.5 92.2 91.2 93.3 92.7 94.7 94.8 91 88.4 86.7 82.9 76.5 77.9 76.3 74.4 59 66.1 61 65.6 59.3 58.5 64.7 68.6 59.3 0 
      %B: 12.8 21 30.1 37.2 38.6 39.7 32.2 42.2 45.4 50.5 57.8 61.4 62.8 61.2 60.4 69.5 71.9 58.6 56 52.7 52.1 51.9 49.1 46.5 47.7 40.4 32.7 29.7 7.1


      2010/09/15

      Code:
      (H1): 3 3 2 1 1 1 2 0 1 2 1 0 
      (H3): 163 184 210 241 326 308 499 626 699 901 831 433 
      (Mx): 220 277 345 460 490 543 702 810 702 713 572 69 
      (A ): 443 516 606 908 893 949 1378 1603 1582 1853 1654 519 
      (B ): 285 312 324 401 349 372 319 328 343 306 199 45 
      %Mx(A): 56.9 59.6 61.9 65.5 59.9 63.7 58.3 56.4 50 44.1 40.7 13.7 
      %B: 39.1 37.6 34.8 30.6 28 28.1 18.7 16.9 17.8 14.1 10.7 7.9
      Last edited by gsgs; July 24, 2010, 02:54 AM.
      I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
      my current links: http://bit.ly/hFI7H ILI-charts: http://bit.ly/CcRgT

      Comment


      • #33
        Re: Cocirculation of Influenza Viruses

        weeks 25-30

        (H1):3,2,1,1,1,0
        (H3):134,138,134,145,165,36
        (Mx):149,178,177,236,193,102
        (A):339,368,348,439,415,141
        (B):269,218,187,242,183,31
        %Mx(A):52,55.9,56.7,61.7,53.7,73.9
        %B:44.2,37.2,34.9,35.5,30.6,18


        countries with much H3:
        --------------------------
        China,H3: 8,20,44,84,133,29
        China,Mx:24,32,55,66,77,34

        Kenya,H3:4,10,6,8,13,0
        Kenya,Mx:1,0,0,0,0,0

        Panama,H3:43,53,32,6,3,0
        Panama,Mx:2,0,0,0,0,0

        Singapore,H3:38,30,32,26,0,0
        Singapore,Mx:20,21,21,19
        I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
        my current links: http://bit.ly/hFI7H ILI-charts: http://bit.ly/CcRgT

        Comment


        • #34
          Re: Cocirculation of Influenza Viruses

          (H1): 3 3 1 2 1 1 2 0 0
          (H3): 150 144 167 184 257 219 296 213 226
          (Mx): 192 249 318 427 453 470 582 606 214
          (A ): 398 448 535 689 781 778 1031 847 448
          (B ): 278 255 272 357 302 232 155 86 54
          %Mx(A): 55.6 62.8 65.4 69.6 63.7 68.1 66.1 73.9 48.6
          %B: 41.1 36.2 33.7 34.1 27.8 22.9 13.0 09.2 10.7

          weeks 29-33:
          -------------
          Australia,H1:0,0,0,0,0
          Australia,H3:1,3,4,2,4
          Australia,Mx:13,26,29,20,34
          Australia,B :0,2,5,21,20

          China,H1:1,1,1,0,0
          China,H3:151,164,254,183,222
          China,Mx:77,60,91,90,55
          China, B:158,125,95,37,29

          India,H1:0,0,0,0,0
          India,H3:0,1,5,11,0
          India,Mx:232,306,425,448,123
          India, B:0,3,3,8,5

          Japan,H1:0,0,0,0,0
          Japan,H3:5,2,4,1,0
          Japan,Mx:3,2,2,4,0
          Japan, B:3,1,0,0,0

          Kenya,H1:0,0,0,0,0
          Kenya,H3:13,0,14,10,0
          Kenya,Mx:0,0,0,0,0
          Kenya, B:1,0,0,0,0

          New Zealand,H1:0,0,0,0,0
          New Zealand,H3:0,0,0,0,0
          New Zealand,Mx:7,4,18,40,0
          New Zealand, B:0,0,1,0,0

          Panama,H1:0,0,0,0,0
          Panama,H3:3,1,0,0,0
          Panama,Mx:0,0,0,0,0
          Panama, B:0,0,0,0,0

          Singapore,H1:0,0,0,0,0
          Singapore,H3:33,8,9,0,0
          Singapore,Mx:8,14,6,0,0
          Singapore, B:17,25,24,0,0

          USA,H1:0,0,0,0,0
          USA,H3:3,9,4,5,0
          USA,Mx:2,2,1,4,0
          USA, B:4,4,2,8,0

          --------------------------------

          quick update Sept.1:
          Chile,Singapore,USA have both, H3 and Mx
          El Salvador,Kenya,Mexico have H3
          India,NZ,Thailand have Mx

          China H1:1,1,0,1,0
          China H3:164,293,446,394,317
          China Mx:60,92,110,66,53
          China B:125,110,105,74,27

          Japan H3:2,14,1,3,0
          Japan Mx:2,7,5,1,0

          ------------------------------------------
          I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
          my current links: http://bit.ly/hFI7H ILI-charts: http://bit.ly/CcRgT

          Comment


          • #35
            Re: Cocirculation of Influenza Viruses

            2010/09/15
            (H1): 3 3 2 1 1 1 2 0 1 2 1 0
            (H3): 163 184 210 241 326 308 499 626 699 901 831 433
            (Mx): 220 277 345 460 490 543 702 810 702 713 572 69
            (A ): 443 516 606 908 893 949 1378 1603 1582 1853 1654 519
            (B ): 285 312 324 401 349 372 319 328 343 306 199 45
            %Mx(A): 56.9 59.6 61.9 65.5 59.9 63.7 58.3 56.4 50 44.1 40.7 13.7
            %B: 39.1 37.6 34.8 30.6 28 28.1 18.7 16.9 17.8 14.1 10.7 7.9

            AUS H3:4,2,4,2,5,3
            AUS Mx:29,20,36,49,41,45
            Chile H3:30,65,78,110,15,0
            Chile Mx:34,51,62,37,55,0
            China H3:293,446,494,678,744,421
            China Mx:92,110,69,72,55,24
            India H3:5,13,21,25,19,0
            India Mx:425,484,393,358,273,0
            Japan H3:16,7,10,4,4,3
            Japan Mx:8,11,2,3,2,0
            Kenya H3:0,11,4,7,12,6
            Kenya Mx:0,0,0,1,0,0
            Mexico H3:55,36,27,15,0,0
            Mexico Mx:0,1,0,0,0,0
            South Africa H3:37,22,11,13,6,-
            South Africa Mx:18,21,28,38,13,-
            Thailand H3:5,6,3,9,10,-
            Thailand Mx:28,27,43,65,79,-
            I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
            my current links: http://bit.ly/hFI7H ILI-charts: http://bit.ly/CcRgT

            Comment


            • #36
              Re: Cocirculation of Influenza Viruses

              http://gamapserver.who.int/GlobalAtl...00000000&lev=2

              2010/10/01
              (H1): 4,2,2,1,1,1,2,0,1,2,1,0,3,0
              (H3): 163,192,211,251,348,320,570,693,795,1088,1267,1329 ,1237,758
              (Mx): 278,321,388,488,517,562,719,826,727,747,634,393,21 4,109
              (A ): 527,578,673,968,965,980,1464,1667,1678,2069,2145,2 171,1701,943
              (B ): 299,323,330,411,368,396,336,350,396,371,302,239,12 4,89
              %Mx(A): 62.4,62.3,64.5,65.9,59.6,63.6,55.6,54.3,47.7,40.6, 33.3,22.8,14.7,12.5
              %B: 36.1,35.8,32.9,29.8,27.6,28.7,18.6,17.3,19,15.2,12 .3,9.9,6.7,8.6


              H3N2 wins
              ---------------------------------------
              2010/10/10
              (H1): 4,2,2,1,1,1,2,0,1,2,1,0,3,2,0
              (H3): 163,192,213,251,353,320,576,704,822,1116,1347,1430 ,1479,1222,801
              (Mx): 278,321,391,489,548,596,747,849,751,770,648,470,29 0,201,150
              (A ): 527,578,675,967,1015,1035,1523,1741,1764,2148,2263 ,2272,2061,1636,1040
              (B ): 299,323,330,411,390,433,376,388,463,451,373,298,21 6,167,96
              %Mx(A): 62.4,62.3,64.5,65.9,60.7,64.9,56.3,54.6,47.7,40.7, 32.4,24.7,16.3,14.1,15.7
              %B: 36.1,35.8,32.8,29.8,27.7,29.4,19.7,18.2,20.7,17.3, 14.1,11.5,09.4,09.2,08.4
              -----------------------------------------
              I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
              my current links: http://bit.ly/hFI7H ILI-charts: http://bit.ly/CcRgT

              Comment


              • #37
                Re: Cocirculation of Influenza Viruses

                update week 42:

                http://magictour.free.fr/panflu/fng5.GIF

                the last 1-2 weeks are usually being updated and not yet complete,
                so the values are too small


                China: weeks 35..40
                H3:887,1081,1176,952,875,667
                Mx:59,42,25,29,16,24
                B:83,69,61,60,53,36

                Australia:
                H3:5,3,4,2,3,17
                Mx:51,47,30,62,46,41
                B:20,27,22,41,42,36

                Chile:
                H3:235,225,212,250,175,-
                Mx:52,19,7,12,1,-
                B:71,55,57,33,16

                South Africa:
                H3:10,13,12,4,2,0
                Mx:21,30,8,8,17,3
                B:43,35,29,8,3,4

                Mexico:
                H3:265,170,50,32,6,0
                Mx:0,0,0,1,0,0
                B:0,3,2,3,0,0

                USA:
                H3:8,6,14,16,10,5
                Mx:5,5,4,0,2,4
                B:4,4,11,18,15,14

                Bangladesh:
                H3:11,13,18,9,13,6
                Mx:5,1,2,1,1,3
                B:1,5,1,0,0,0

                Japan:
                H3:16,23,14,12,22,13
                Mx:6,20,8,11,4,8
                B:3,1,2,1,0,1

                Singapore:
                H3:5,2,4,12,5,2
                Mx:13,3,7,7,9,11
                B:31,26,22,24,20,8
                I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
                my current links: http://bit.ly/hFI7H ILI-charts: http://bit.ly/CcRgT

                Comment


                • #38
                  Re: Cocirculation of Influenza Viruses

                  weeks 39,..,43:
                  ---------------
                  (H1): 1,1,4,1,0
                  (H3): 1002,746,514,211,4
                  (Mx): 71,57,106,73,0
                  (A ): 1181,897,690,319,6
                  (B ): 105,83,125,63,3
                  %Mx(A): 06.6,07.0,16.9,25.6,00.0
                  %B: 08.1,08.4,15.3,16.4,33.3

                  Australia,H1:0,0,0,0,0
                  Australia,H3:0,0,0,4,1
                  Australia,Mx:0,0,0,25,26
                  Australia,B:0,0,0,21,26

                  China,H1:1,1,4,1,0
                  China,H3:739,557,380,184,0
                  China,Mx:25,12,22,38,0
                  China,B:46,45,48,20,0

                  Thailand,H1:0,0,0,0,0
                  Thailand,H3:0,21,19,17,0
                  Thailand,Mx:0,18,19,24,0
                  Thailand,B:0,12,16,9,0

                  Japan,H1:0,0,0,0,0
                  Japan,H3:25,24,19,9,5
                  Japan,Mx:4,11,3,6,1
                  Japan,B:1,1,1,2,0
                  I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
                  my current links: http://bit.ly/hFI7H ILI-charts: http://bit.ly/CcRgT

                  Comment


                  • #39
                    Re: Cocirculation of Influenza Viruses

                    Those few cases of seasonal H1N1 that China and Australia had.. would they be the same strain that had circulated in small amounts last flu season (before panflu became dominant?
                    The salvage of human life ought to be placed above barter and exchange ~ Louis Harris, 1918

                    Comment


                    • #40
                      Re: Cocirculation of Influenza Viruses

                      ...presumably...
                      but it's supposed to die

                      In Russia it may live some years longer, like H1N1 in 1957-1962

                      ----------------------------
                      2010/11/09:
                      (H1): 0,1,1,4,1,0
                      (H3): 331,1002,747,504,217,58
                      (Mx): 58,73,62,118,92,7
                      (A ): 402,1184,906,693,349,77
                      (B ): 34,109,84,127,75,14
                      %Mx(A): 14.9,06.7,07.6,18.8,29.6,10.7
                      %B: 07.7,08.4,08.4,15.4,17.6,15.3


                      old:
                      China,H1:1,1,4,1,0
                      China,H3:739,557,380,184,0
                      China,Mx:25,12,22,38,0
                      China,B:46,45,48,20,0

                      new:
                      China,H1:-,1,1,4,1,0
                      China,H3:-,739,557,380,184,48
                      China,Mx:-,25,12,22,38,7
                      China,B:-,46,45,58,20,11

                      --------------------------------------------------

                      2010/11/22
                      Code:
                      (H1):     4,   2,   2,   1,   2,   1,   2,   0,   1,   2,   1,   0,   3,   2,   0,   1,   1,   4,   6,   1,   0
                      (H3):   165, 193, 215, 251, 354, 334, 593, 722, 855,1215,1565,1664,1745,1566,1401,1210, 965, 652, 542, 299, 176
                      (Mx):   281, 328, 390, 470, 549, 626, 769, 866, 800, 827, 667, 508, 405, 340, 277, 186, 148, 153, 162,  80,  70
                      (A ):   521, 588, 678, 945,1014,1073,1561,1777,1840,2330,2500,2505,2468,2131,1853,1580,1267, 966, 816, 486, 369
                      (B ):   307, 341, 341, 407, 400, 446, 384, 402, 480, 476, 398, 353, 323, 339, 205, 213, 176, 189, 164, 204, 207
                      %Mx(A):62.4,62.7,64.2,65.0,60.6,65.1,56.3,54.5,48.3,40.4,29.8,23.3,18.8,17.8,16.5,13.3,13.2,18.9,22.8,21.0,28.4
                      %B:    37.0,36.7,33.4,30.1,28.2,29.3,19.7,18.4,20.6,16.9,13.7,12.3,11.5,13.7,09.9,11.8,12.1,16.3,16.7,29.5,35.9

                      China,week 35-45
                      H1:0,0,3,2,0,1,1,4,6,1,0
                      H3:887,1081,1176,952,875,739,557,380,267,129,49
                      Mx:59,42,25,29,16,25,12,22,43,7,5
                      B:83,69,61,60,53,46,45,59,31,28,15

                      Japan,week 35-45
                      H1:0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
                      H3:20,25,19,12,28,30,25,15,40,7,6
                      Mx:6,21,8,12,6,12,5,7,9,6,1
                      B:3,1,2,1,1,1,1,2,0,0,0
                      Last edited by gsgs; November 22, 2010, 09:51 AM. Reason: update
                      I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
                      my current links: http://bit.ly/hFI7H ILI-charts: http://bit.ly/CcRgT

                      Comment


                      • #41
                        Re: Cocirculation of Influenza Viruses

                        2010/12/17 , weeks 25..50 :
                        Code:
                        (H1), 4,3,2,1,2,1,2,0,1,2,1,0,3,3,0,1,1,4,3,1,5,3,7,1,0,0 
                        (H3), 174,193,216,258,362,335,594,722,855,1217,1567,1671,1752,1571,1430,1241,1000,734,715,546,594,533,612,574,212,13 
                        (Mx), 281,328,390,470,549,626,769,866,800,828,667,510,405,353,284,189,155,172,224,150,167,162,204,212,201,113 
                        (A ), 530,589,679,952,1022,1074,1562,1778,1840,2334,2503,2514,2474,2165,1925,1644,1357,1077,1097,871,954,868,1146,1022,476,126 
                        (B ), 309,341,342,407,401,447,387,403,482,487,408,360,326,359,259,274,261,230,259,312,353,404,449,257,118,0 
                        %Mx(A), 61.2,62.5,64.1,64.4,60.1,65,56.3,54.5,48.3,40.4,29.8,23.3,18.7,18.3,16.5,13.2,13.4,18.9,23.7,21.5,21.8,23.2,24.7,26.9,48.6,89.6 
                        %B, 36.8,36.6,33.4,29.9,28.1,29.3,19.8,18.4,20.7,17.2,14,12.5,11.6,14.2,11.8,14.2,16.1,17.5,19.1,26.3,27,31.7,28.1,20,19.8,0
                        I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
                        my current links: http://bit.ly/hFI7H ILI-charts: http://bit.ly/CcRgT

                        Comment


                        • #42
                          Re: Cocirculation of Influenza Viruses

                          Code:
                          2011/01/02 , weeks 35...52
                          (H1): 1,0,4,3,0,1,2,4,3,4,6,4,7,0,0,0,0,0 
                          (H3): 1566,1670,1761,1577,1432,1246,1014,747,730,570,615,578,721,823,760,415,259,18 
                          (Mx): 668,511,405,354,283,195,156,178,225,157,173,172,223,315,469,767,975,478 
                          (A ): 2503,2515,2476,2178,1948,1725,1630,1368,1197,962,1044,1020,1410,1626,1606,1966,1619,496 
                          (B ): 413,367,333,361,265,278,278,257,276,319,370,443,544,539,607,889,597,74 
                          %Mx(A): 29.8,23.4,18.6,18.3,16.5,13.5,13.3,19.1,23.4,21.4,21.7,22.8,23.4,27.6,38.1,64.8,79.0,96.3 
                          %B:     14.1,12.7,11.8,14.2,11.9,13.8,14.5,15.8,18.7,24.9,26.1,30.2,27.8,24.8,27.4,31.1,26.9,12.9

                          Mx dominating worldwide again, after the intermezzo of H3 from week
                          USA still has 80%-85% H3, though. But Europe has clearly Mx, ~98%.
                          Even Sweden which was vaxed ~70% or such last season.
                          Makes you wonder whether USA may also get another wave of Mx, once H3 goes down in 5-10 weeks


                          Attached Files
                          I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
                          my current links: http://bit.ly/hFI7H ILI-charts: http://bit.ly/CcRgT

                          Comment


                          • #43
                            Re: Cocirculation of Influenza Viruses

                            2010 until week 52

                            Attached Files
                            I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
                            my current links: http://bit.ly/hFI7H ILI-charts: http://bit.ly/CcRgT

                            Comment


                            • #44
                              Re: Cocirculation of Influenza Viruses

                              2010, weeks 40-52
                              (H1): 2,3,4,4,4,7,4,7,0,0,1,0,0
                              (H3): 1282,1051,791,805,677,696,668,895,1018,1196,1429,1 788,1756
                              (Mx): 213,163,190,237,182,227,218,298,419,662,1268,2480, 3163
                              (A ): 1781,1674,1424,1284,1105,1192,1163,1655,1928,2511, 3975,6431,7657
                              (B ): 348,342,302,326,390,433,552,658,709,848,1277,1909, 2132
                              %Mx(A): 14.2,13.3,19.2,22.6,21,24.4,24.4,24.8,29.1,35.6,46 .9,58.1,64.3
                              %B: 16.3,16.9,17.4,20.2,26,26.6,32.1,28.4,26.8,25.2,24 .3,22.8,21.7

                              2011: weeks 1...9
                              (H1): 0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
                              (H3): 1865,1993,2260,2130,2106,2174,1752,1002,41
                              (Mx): 4657,6195,7557,8610,8081,8618,7187,3833,668
                              (A ): 9918,11484,12591,13401,12815,13241,11481,6417,776
                              (B ): 2659,2999,3280,3635,4070,4108,3644,2432,315
                              %Mx(A): 71.4,75.6,76.9,80.1,79.3,79.8,80.4,79.2,94.2
                              %B: 21.1,20.7,20.6,21.3,24.1,23.6,24,27.4,28.8


                              France:
                              (H3):29,21,21,20,19,14,4,6,6
                              (Mx):252,285,259,253,246,201,150,85,33
                              (B):203,239,245,251,345,373,296,170,85

                              Allemagne,Germany:
                              (H3):1,1,0,0,1,1,0,1
                              (Mx):54,129,140,160,185,162,94,57
                              (B) : 14,24,31,46,48,70,54,68

                              Japan:
                              (H3):59,123,160,117,133,80,44,29
                              (Mx):474,705,964,536,337,143,54,20
                              (B):7,10,37,52,51,30,17,7

                              Australia(!):
                              (H3):11,5,11,5,13,16,10,29,17
                              (Mx):3,5,3,3,3,1,11,5,5
                              (B):7,3,7,0,0,1,0,0,1

                              China:
                              (H3):203,156,177,88,68,53,48,23,9
                              (Mx):455,859,1399,1653,1261,1308,1198,551,227
                              (B):69,84,78,103,87,142,206,119,43

                              Russia:
                              (H3):1,3,36,62,37,54,32,12,0
                              (Mx):8,125,447,899,1369,1897,1856,1261,0
                              (B):19,102,224,307,346,424,354,286,0

                              Poland:
                              (H3):0,1,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
                              (Mx):12,140,203,174,217,159,78,57,41
                              (B):0,18,14,27,28,25,22,42,32

                              Espagne,Spain:
                              (H3):5,3,4,4,2,0,6,0,0
                              (Mx):342,499,351,247,147,102,42,8,0
                              (B):20,45,61,83,144,125,126,86,0

                              Suede,Sweden:
                              (H3):5,6,7,6,13,0,0,1,0
                              (Mx):198,186,155,142,97,92,54,40,0
                              (B):96,97,122,158,234,226,211,154,0

                              Norvege,Norway:
                              (H3):5,4,2,4,5,2,0,2,0
                              (Mx):103,106,125,133,116,90,70,52,0
                              (B):377,374,445,407,319,247,167,133,0





                              pourquis plus de H3 et B en France comme en Allemagne

                              pas aucun H1N1 vieille !
                              I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
                              my current links: http://bit.ly/hFI7H ILI-charts: http://bit.ly/CcRgT

                              Comment


                              • #45
                                Re: Cocirculation of Influenza Viruses

                                France:
                                xxx million consultations en 2009/10
                                2.2 million consultations en 2010/11

                                xxx million vaccinations en 2009/10
                                xxx million vaccinations en 2010/11


                                6 janv. 2010 ... Près de 3,6 millions consultations pour syndromes grippaux

                                France GrippeA (H1N1): 139 morts. 4 millions infecte (7% du population). 2,5 millions vaccinees ..


                                ---------------------------------------------------

                                USA:
                                USA http://cdc.gov/h1n1flu/estimates_2009_h1n1.htm
                                61M cases (20%)
                                274K hospitalized (0.1%)
                                12K dead (0.004% = 0.02% of cases)



                                ------------------------

                                At least 30 million people in Europe, and 90 million people in the world, have been vaccinated with Pandemrix.

                                About 1 million Swedes have been vaccinated for H1N1

                                Sweden bought 18 million doses,

                                over six million doses of the vaccine have been used in Sweden, which has a total population of 9.3 million.

                                http://www.bmj.com/site/rrgraphics/226441(t1).gif
                                1.7M doses in Norway until week 48

                                see that Norway has ordered 9.4 million doses of Pandemrix-vaccine - for about 4.5 million people

                                Finland: 2.6M doses , 50% coverage

                                Sweden vaccination coverage = 59%

                                http://ecdc.europa.eu/en/ESCAIDE/ESC...Mereckiene.pdf

                                vaccination coverage in Europe in % 2009/2010

                                59,Sweden
                                50,Finland
                                46,Iceland
                                45,Norway
                                30,Netherlands
                                27,Spain
                                26,Hungary
                                23,Ireland
                                23,Malta
                                09,Romania
                                08,Germany
                                08,France
                                06,Luxemburg
                                06,Portugal
                                05,Slovenia
                                04,Italy
                                03,Estonia
                                03,Greece
                                03,Cyprus
                                03,Austria
                                01,Czech



                                vaccination coverage in % 2009/2010
                                #H1,H3,Mx,A,B week 40-52,#H1,H3,Mx,A,B week 1-9
                                country
                                ---------------------------------
                                59,0,17,116,206,127,0,38,964,1339,1298,Sweden
                                50,0,0,112,113,7,0,0,140,147,105,Finland
                                46,0,0,4,5,0,0,3,15,19,69,Iceland
                                45,0,12,80,109,461,0,24,795,1030,2469,Norway
                                30,0,1,62,81,45,0,6,384,511,298,Netherlands
                                27,0,20,506,584,116,0,24,1738,1919,690,Spain
                                26,0,0,9,9,0,0,1,445,450,35,Hungary
                                23,0,0,36,42,1,0,0,40,50,3,Malta
                                09,0,0,1,1,0,0,1,338,339,259,Romania
                                08,0,4,49,54,16,0,5,981,986,355,Germany
                                08,0,77,337,809,384,0,140,1764,3735,2207,France
                                06,0,0,23,28,8,0,0,227,291,306,Luxemburg
                                06,0,2,8,19,39,0,0,81,112,22,Portugal
                                05,0,1,16,17,9,0,4,266,276,276,Slovenia
                                04,0,6,35,49,27,0,37,1848,2032,499,Italy
                                03,0,3,12,22,4,0,0,521,712,72,Estonia
                                03,0,1,0,1,0,0,22,4922,4958,45,Greece
                                03,0,1,15,16,1,0,10,561,590,75,Austria
                                01,0,0,11,14,0,0,4,176,265,23,Czech




                                http://magictour.free.fr/panflu/fnvax1.GIF


                                we should add the estimated proportion of infections in 2009/10
                                to the vaccination coverage rate.
                                Maybe even stronger weighted - a real infection should protect
                                better the next year than a vaccination.

                                However, when mass vaccination just only means that they
                                get another strain the next season, then it's worth less.

                                Well, looking at the ILI-charts at Eurosurveillance it seems
                                that Sweden,Norway,Iceland also have fewer ILI in total
                                this season than other countries


                                here : http://websenti.u707.jussieu.fr/sent...t.php?doc=1314
                                page 63 : about 2009/2010


                                the ratio flu-B/flu-A (corrected, not flu-A/flu-B) is from the number
                                of confirmed samples at flunet,
                                see above


                                for UK:

                                http://www.eurosurveillance.org/View...rticleId=19571
                                > Across the UK, 440 fatal cases were identified. (2009/10)

                                http://www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/publica..._2010-2011.pdf


                                http://www.statistics.gov.uk/images/charts/574.gif

                                High prevalence of antibodies to the 2009 pandemic influenza A(H1N1) virus
                                in the Norwegian population following a major epidemic and a large vaccination campaign in autumn 2009

                                http://img717.imageshack.us/img717/6206/deaths2.png

                                http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/sho...156569&page=15






                                Re : France suivi 2011
                                « Répondre #42 le: Aujourd'hui à 04:01:46 »

                                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                zero (0,0) is at bottom left, as usual.

                                e.g.:
                                46,0,0,4,5,0,0,3,15,19,69,Iceland

                                46% of population vaccinated with Pandemrix in 2009/10
                                5 samples of flu A in 2010, weeks 40-52
                                19 samples of flu A in 2010 weeks 1-9
                                0 samples of flu B in 2010, weeks 40-52
                                69 samples of flu B in 2010 weeks 1-9

                                flu-a/flu-B = (5+19)/(0+69)

                                uhh, I meant flu-B/flu-A above, not flu-A/flu-B
                                the amount of escaping the vaccine

                                so

                                flu-B/flu-A = (0+69)/(5+19) = 69/24 = 2.876

                                which is relatively much.

                                Countries with few Pandemrix-vaccination have little
                                flu-B this season and much flu-A:
                                Czech,Austria,Greece,Estonia,Italy

                                ecept Estonia, which is an exception - they have little flu-B
                                but also little flu-A


                                http://magictour.free.fr/panflu/eue8c.JPG



                                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                the Northern "good Pandemrix-vaccinated" countries had fewer
                                flu-A this season, but also more flu-B

                                we might consider a strategy to only vaccinate against
                                the virulent strains and "allow" the milder ones
                                I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
                                my current links: http://bit.ly/hFI7H ILI-charts: http://bit.ly/CcRgT

                                Comment

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