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  • Міністерство охорони / Ministry of Health

    Міністерство охорони : http://www.moz.gov.ua/ua/i/

    Ministry of Health (English) : http://translate.google.com/translat...istory_state0=
    ?Addressing chronic disease is an issue of human rights ? that must be our call to arms"
    Richard Horton, Editor-in-Chief The Lancet

    ~~~~ Twitter:@GertvanderHoek ~~~ GertvanderHoek@gmail.com ~~~

  • #2
    Re: Міністерство охорони / Ministry of Health

    interpolated weekly hospitalizations given by MOH
    Oct.29 - Feb.15

    118289=33604,40235,25584,18866
    079499=14643,16720,22809,25327
    077464=25945,19173,17031,15315
    034502=11201,7767,7767,7767
    ------=12054

    somehow increasing again
    I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
    my current links: http://bit.ly/hFI7H ILI-charts: http://bit.ly/CcRgT

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    • #3
      Re: Міністерство охорони / Ministry of Health

      It seems odd that there were 3 weeks in a row of exactly 7767 additional hospitalizations. The probability of this occurring is statistically remote. Can the uptick in the last week be a result of an adjustment of numbers that were not included in the previous identical weeks?

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      • #4
        Re: Міністерство охорони / Ministry of Health

        I think he (gsgs) is interpolating linearly - that is seeing that no reports were posted for a couple weeks, and using the numbers from the latest report to estimate those three weeks.

        I still think that either thousands of mild cases are being hospitalized as a precaution, or the mechanism for estimating total hospitalizations is broken. It is difficult to imagine that Ukraine has have 20,000-40,000 ARI cases in hospital for the past few months, but is only having 10-20 deaths/week.

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