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Kazakhstan Covid-19: 106729 cases, 1634 deaths

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  • Partial notes from W.H.O. presser by @kakape

    Q about reports of severe pneumonias in Kazakhstan. There has been a surge in #covid19 cases, says
    @DrMikeRyan

    We're looking at the actual testing and the quality of the testing to make sure that there haven't been false negative tests for some of those other pneumonias."
    12:23 PM ? Jul 10, 2020

    Kai Kupferschmidt

    @kakape
    ?
    18m
    Replying to
    @kakape
    @DrTedros
    and 2 others
    Says
    @WHO
    is also working with authorities in Kazakhstan to review x-rays and "look at the patterns of the pneumonias to make sure that they're consistent with #covid19". But: “While we believe that many of these cases will be diagnosed as #COVID19, we keep an open mind."

    Comment





    • -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      > Kazakhstan's Minister of Health informed the media on the 9th that the incidence of
      > pneumonia in China increased by 55.4% in the first half of this year compared with the
      > same period in 2019, and a total of 98,546 cases were diagnosed.

      presumably "in Kazakhstan" , not "in China"

      > A total of 1772 people died of pneumonia in the first half of the year,

      from the WHO-data I conclude that this is normal. But they say it's 50% more
      than in 2019, so for some reason 2019 was very mild [?]

      > and 628 people died in June alone

      that's ~400 more than expected, ~200 are official COVID, additional COVID-related-deaths
      were seen elsewhere, but mostly from cardiovascular reasons (NYC)

      > Some of these pneumonia patients are common pneumonia, and the cause of infection
      > in other patients is not yet clear. Rogerson, an immunology expert in the country,
      > pointed out that in addition to new coronary pneumonia, Kazakhstan is epidemic
      > with another pneumonia epidemic whose cause is not yet clear.

      but why the increase just now ?

      > No COVID-19 virus has been detected in patients with this type of pneumonia.
      > "Although the cause cannot be confirmed 100%, 99.999% is still a coronavirus."

      what ? "a coronavirus" ? not "the coronavirus" ? and why 99.999% ?

      ------edit-----------

      According to Russian news agency Sputnik News, Rafail Rosenson, an immunologist from
      Astana Medical University, said most of the cases should be Covid-19
      “It is impossible to say 100 per cent, but 99.99 per cent they were caused by the coronavirus.
      Because in the past there have never been community-acquired viral pneumonias in June,” the doctor said.

      ### the concern is, that it's related to COVID, triggered by COVID,, but ir is not just COVID
      --------------------------------------------------------------------------

      > We plan to publish such data on our website or in sources. As for the timing, next week
      > we will try to capture this information and make it public. Doctors see such data. If the
      > people are interested in it, then we are ready to recommend it, "Alexei Tsoi said.

      good !
      So, Kazakhstan has actual numbers of pneumonia deaths and probably
      deaths from all causes. Per half-years at least, maybe by quartals, or -as usual- by month.
      Especially, how did it go in Pavlodar ?

      ----------------------------------------

      > China misinformation campaign a

      no, the numbers were correctly quoted and are confirmed. They may have overinterpreted it.
      But IMO it's wrong by Kazakhstan to just say "fake news" without clarifying about the numbers
      or their interpretation.

      > into a new thread.

      link ?
      Last edited by gsgs; July 11, 2020, 05:47 AM. Reason: formatting,typos,scmp-link
      I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
      my current links: http://bit.ly/hFI7H ILI-charts: http://bit.ly/CcRgT

      Comment


      • OK -- rereading the articles -- it seems that Kazakhstan meant that this it's probably all COVID, although
        many cases are not confirmed or not even tested , and thus are classified as "pneumonia,unclear origin" .

        While apparently China (and I) first had misinterpreted that wording.
        I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
        my current links: http://bit.ly/hFI7H ILI-charts: http://bit.ly/CcRgT

        Comment


        • kiwibird
          kiwibird commented
          Editing a comment
          Slightly different article https://www.tellerreport.com/news/20...JLOudiSJw.html
          "On the 9th, Chinese media quoted Kazakh media reports that a kind of unknown pneumonia with a high fatality rate is prevalent in Kazakhstan. As early as June 29th, Kazakh immunology expert Rafael Rogerson said in an interview with the national media that in addition to the new coronary pneumonia epidemic, the cause of another type of pneumonia that is currently circulating is not clear. No COVID-19 virus has been detected in patients with this type of pneumonia. "The reason cannot be confirmed 100%, but 99.999% is still a new corona virus," Rogerson said."


      • 56,455 cases, 264 deaths

        Национальный центр общественного здравоохранения

        Comment


        • https://www.zakon.kz/5031511-tokaev-...ituatsiya.html

          "In the first half of 2020, cases with pneumonia were recorded - 98,546. In 2019, there were 63,436 cases, or 55.4% growth. These figures are officially automatically raised from each medical organization, there are such calculations," the minister replied.
          According to him, in the first half of the year 1772 Kazakhstanis died from pneumonia. For the same period in 2019, 1780 deaths from the disease were recorded.
          “This is a very large indicator. With a minus sign,” the president said.
          Choi also cited data that in June 2020 the number of registered deaths from pneumonia increased by 2.3 times and amounted to 628 cases, in June last year there were 274 such cases.
          The efforts of the Ministry of Health should be directed to pneumonia. Look at what is being done, the president commented.
          Kasym-Zhomart Kemelevich, we monitor them. Given this pneumonia, all reserve beds are deployed. Because we have half of all the patients who are now - they are with pneumonia, unspecified [type - ed.]. We take this into account, including in the need for beds, and in ventilation machines, the minister explained.

          The head of state called the current situation an emergency. And he noted that we must admit that the mortality from it is very high.
          "The mortality rate is high from pneumonia, yes. Only from July 1 to July 8, 2020, 56 809 cases of pneumonia were registered. That is, there is a sharp increase in a week," Tsoi admitted.
          "What kind of pneumonia is this? What is its nature?" Tokaev asked.
          Here inside we laid them out. There are viral pneumonia here - it's 7348, bacterial - 9759, these are the usual pneumonia. And there are unspecified viral pneumonias, which now have similar currents with coronavirus infection - this is 39,702, - said Tsoi.

          “You should now direct your efforts not only to the coronavirus itself, but also to the concomitant diseases, which I said in my statement - this is pneumonia. It is impossible to close our eyes or somehow try to obscure this problem. People are dying. They’re very ill, ”summed up Kasym-Zhomart Tokaev.
          "The only security we have is our ability to adapt."

          Comment




          • 17:30 In Kazakhstan, the ex-deputy of the Senate Sagyndyk Yesimkhanov died
            17:00 A dust storm is expecte

            13:01 In the Pavlodar region will take additional measures to combat the pandemic

            11:00 WHO experts believe that unknown pneumonia in Kazakhstan is the consequences of coronavirus

            July 11, the President of the Republic of Kazakhstan on pneumonia: an emergency situation

            “Yesterday, antiviral drugs for adults arrived in the [Pavlodar] region,” said Zamzagul Doshanova. - It is expected to supply 16,600 packages of antibiotics, 4,500 packages of antipyretic drugs and 3,900 packages of antiviral drugs.

            WHO Program Executive Director Michael Ryan noted that the disease was most likely not correctly diagnosed.

            The World Health Organization believes that the outbreak of pneumonia that has been observed in Kazakhstan in recent days is probably a coronavirus infection, zakon.kz reports.

            Ryan assured that WHO is working with the Kazakh authorities to study this issue in detail. The quality of testing at CVI is now being checked to ensure that the results were not falsely negative.


            I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
            my current links: http://bit.ly/hFI7H ILI-charts: http://bit.ly/CcRgT

            Comment


            • 58,253 cases; 264 deaths: https://akipress.com/news:645266:Kaz...,253_in_total/

              Comment


              • https://astanatimes.com/2020/07/kaza...id-19-victims/

                Kazakh President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev declared July 13 as a day of national mourning in his July 9 televised address, noting that “each death has personally touched his heart.”
                ...
                As of July 13, Kazakhstan reported 59,899 coronavirus cases, including 1,646 cases in one day, and 375 deaths, including the doctors who risked their lives to save people.
                "The only security we have is our ability to adapt."

                Comment



                • 61,755 cases, 375 deaths

                  Национальный центр общественного здравоохранения

                  Comment


                  • 63,514 cases; 375 deaths: https://vestnikkavkaza.net/news/Kaza...-19-cases.html

                    Comment


                    • https://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-he...-idUKKCN24I1E0

                      ...snip
                      Its neighbour Kazakhstan, which has also reported a jump in pneumonia cases, said it would do the same starting next month, which would also cause a one-off spike in numbers.

                      Both Central Asian nations are struggling to curb the spread of the virus after ending their initial lockdowns in May, and Kazakhstan this month imposed a second lockdown after hospitals filled up in several major cities.
                      ...
                      Kazakh healthcare minister Alexei Tsoy told a briefing on Friday the Nur-Sultan government would start reporting combined figures from Aug. 1.

                      The number of deaths from pneumonia has jumped 75% so far this year compared with the same period of 2019, he said, reaching 3,327. Kazakhstan has reported 66,895 COVID-19 cases as of Friday, with 464 deaths.
                      "The only security we have is our ability to adapt."

                      Comment


                      • 73,468 cases; 585 deaths: https://www.coronavirus2020.kz/

                        Comment


                        • https://akipress.com/news:645861:Kaz...,153_in_total/

                          75,153 Confirmed cases with 585 deaths.
                          "The only security we have is our ability to adapt."

                          Comment


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                            Kazakhstan adds 1,687 more COVID-19 cases, total now at 78,486

                            Out of 1,687 COVID-19 cases, 776 are asymptomatic.
                            https://www.inform.kz/en/covid-19-in...0-000_a3676152

                            The total number of people who recover from the coronavirus infection has amounted to 49,488. Since the onset of the pandemic, Kazakhstan has reported 78,486 COVID-19 cases. The novel virus has killed 585 people countrywide.
                            Все права защищены. Используйте активную ссылку на inform.kz https://www.inform.kz/en/covid-19-in...0-000_a3676152

                            https://www.inform.kz/en/nur-sultan-...cases_a3675937


                            According to her words, the lab started operation on June 21. The first week PCR-tests showed 47% positive results. Today the PCR-tests results are only 20% positive.
                            ...
                            Nur-Sultan sees a decline in coronavirus cases, as evidenced by the results of the modular PCR testing laboratory located in sports complex ?Kazakhstan?. The laboratory conducts from 800 to 1 thousand PCR-tests daily, this was informed by Yulia Tretyakova, head of the mobile PCR laboratory.
                            Все права защищены. Используйте активную ссылку на inform.kz https://www.inform.kz/en/nur-sultan-...cases_a3675937


                            "The only security we have is our ability to adapt."

                            Comment


                            • July 25
                              Cases 80,226; Deaths 585
                              Daily and weekly updated statistics tracking the number of COVID-19 cases, recovered, and deaths. Historical data with cumulative charts, graphs, and updates.

                              Comment

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