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Fears of new food crisis as prices soar

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  • #16
    Re: Fears of new food crisis as prices soar

    Although arguably this crisis did not originate in biofuels I think its important to quantify the effect the biofuel industry has on surpluses and demand for grain. These price pressures exist even before low crop harvest events stress the food system and are also something new that needs to be considered.


    One quarter of US grain crops fed to cars - not people, new figures show

    One-quarter of all the maize and other grain crops grown in the US now ends up as biofuel in cars rather than being used to feed people, according to new analysis which suggests that the biofuel revolution launched by former President George Bush in 2007 is impacting on world food supplies.



    This Washington post article glosses over many of the events of 2010 that led to shortages in supply - But it adequately frames the role of Biofuels in the final outcomes I believe.


    How biofuels contribute to the food crisis


    Today, the market is out of equilibrium. Biofuels have grown rapidly, from consuming 2 percent of world grain and virtually no vegetable oil in 2004 to more than 6.5 percent of grain and 8 percent of vegetable oil last year. Governments worldwide seek to triple production of biofuels by 2020, and that implies more moderately high prices after good growing years and soaring prices after bad ones.

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    • #17
      Re: Fears of new food crisis as prices soar

      Noticed the Algerian situation - looked back and it was unemployment and food prices there too it seems.

      2 Killed, Hundreds Injured in Algerian Food Riots
      January 08, 2011

      Algerian state media says at least two people have been killed and 300 have been injured in rioting over soaring food prices.

      Algeria shuts down internet as anti-government protests mount - Today - then:

      Algeria Internet Not Shut Down, According To Renesys Analysis

      Regardless its tense there.

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      • #18
        Re: Fears of new food crisis as prices soar

        Sysco declares force majeure, raises grocery prices

        Jack H. Barnes, Confessions of a Macro Contrarian | Feb. 12, 2011, 1:29 PM

        Food inflation driven by freezing weather in Florida during December and in Mexico during February, is hitting the US supermarkets in the coming day?s. Sysco sent out an alert that announced an ?Act of God?, to address their contracted supply issues.

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        • #19
          Re: Fears of new food crisis as prices soar

          Source: http://www.brecorder.com/news/agricu...4641:news.html

          Indonesia to boost rice stocks amid global food fears

          JAKARTA (February 13, 2011) : Indonesia ordered hefty rice imports on Wednesday to boost stocks by a third in the latest sign that governments concerned about rising food prices and dwindling supplies are rushing into the market and could drive inflation even higher.

          Global food prices have climbed to record highs on shrinking supplies of wheat, corn, soybean and oilseeds. While rice has been less of a worry thanks to ample supplies in the top two exporters, Thailand and Vietnam, traders said other Asian governments may soon seek to boost rice stocks too. Adding to gathering nervousness among governments over food supplies, China plans subsidies to boost grain output this year, state radio said in a report on its website...

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          • #20
            Re: Fears of new food crisis as prices soar

            Source: http://www.businessweek.com/ap/finan.../D9LCJLU81.htm

            The Associated Press
            February 14, 2011, 9:23AM ET
            China says drought in wheat belt 'grim'

            BEIJING
            Provinces in China's severely parched northeast have been ordered to step up emergency irrigation as part of a $1 billion effort to minimize the loss of crucial wheat crops.

            China is the world's largest wheat-growing nation but its wheat belt has gotten virtually no precipitation since October. Expected shortages of the crop in China have already pushed up global prices for the commodity.

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            • #21
              Re: Fears of new food crisis as prices soar - Update

              Record harvest expected despite drought [http://www.upi.com/Business_News/201...2041299815642/]

              China expects a record grain harvest this year despite a drought that has hit its wheat-growing regions, the agriculture minister said.

              Han said current wheat harvest benefited from recent rain and from massive drought-relief efforts, China Daily reported.




              Update : This record harvest isn't confirmed still as of yet and there are projections China will increase imports:

              June 13 2011 - China might double wheat imports to 3 million tons this year, said Li Qiang of market researcher Shanghai JC Intelligence . The crop might slip to 96.5 million tons because of drought, below the 115.5 million tons predicted by the USDA. About 80 percent of China’s wheat crop was irrigated, which would alleviate damage, said economist Dan Manternach. In areas without irrigation, lack of rain in the next three weeks might again threaten yields. [ http://www.iol.co.za/business/intern...wide-1.1082464 ]

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              • #22
                Re: Fears of new food crisis as prices soar




                As series of droughts spanning the northern hemisphere continues to place positive pressure on world food prices. While there has been some splotchy relief in the form of rains the majority of the damage has been done and the hoped for relief in low supplies from last year's price spike will probably not occur.

                Add to the problems recent excessive rains in the US and Canada may delay planting of this years crop, if not totally prohibit its planting in some areas.

                Ref -

                Wheat Rallying 20% as Parched Fields Wilt From China to Kansas

                Estimate for EU wheat slashed even as rains arrive

                Wheat May Climb as Curbed Acreage in Canada Adds to Global Supply Concern

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                • #23
                  Re: Fears of new food crisis as prices soar

                  To make matters worse:

                  Analysis: U.S. ethanol plants toy with wheat, committed to corn

                  Given the tight carry-out in corn this year, and the fact that wheat does contain fermentable starch, a number of plants are evaluating the technical and economic feasibility," said Neill McKinstray, general manager of the ethanol division for The Andersons, Inc, which operates plants with about 300 million gallons of total collective capacity.
                  [ http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/...75E0MQ20110615 ]

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