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Egypt - Human Confirmed/Suspected Bird Flu Cases, Feb 8, 2009 - April 9, 2009

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  • HenryN
    replied
    Re: Egypt - Human Confirmed/Suspected Bird Flu Cases, Feb 8, 2009+

    Originally posted by ironorehopper View Post
    WHO | Avian influenza - situation in Egypt - update 10
    Avian influenza - situation in Egypt - update 10

    8 April 2009 --

    The Ministry of Health of Egypt has reported 3 new confirmed human cases of avian influenza.




    Close contacts of both boys have been identified and none has shown symptoms of the infection .


    -
    <cite cite="http://www.who.int/csr/don/2009_04_08a/en/index.html">WHO | Avian influenza - situation in Egypt - update 10</cite>
    The two cases are CONFIRMED and COUSINS. WHO is clearly in DENIAL over H2H (or T2T).

    Leave a comment:


  • Giuseppe
    replied
    Re: Egypt - Human Confirmed/Suspected Bird Flu Cases, Feb 8, 2009+

    WHO | Avian influenza - situation in Egypt - update 10
    Avian influenza - situation in Egypt - update 10

    8 April 2009 --

    The Ministry of Health of Egypt has reported 3 new confirmed human cases of avian influenza.


    The first case is a 2 year-old boy from Kom Hamada District, El Behira Governorate. He developed symptoms on 27 March and was admitted to Naaora Fever Hospital on the 30 March where he was started on oseltamivir the same day (30 March). He remains in a stable condition.

    The second case is also a 2 year-old boy from the same district and was detected through the investigation around the above-mentioned case. He developed symptoms on 31 March and was admitted to Damanhor Fever Hospital on 1 April where he was started on oseltamivir the same day (1 April ). He remains in a stable condition.

    Both boys had contact with sick/dead poultry prior to the illness onset.

    Close contacts of both boys have been identified and none has shown symptoms of the infection .

    The third case is a 6 year-old boy from Shubra El Khema District, Qaliobia Governorate. He developed symptoms on 22 March and was admitted to Ain Shams University Hospital on the 28 March where he was started on oseltamivir on 3 April.

    He was exposed to sick/dead poultry prior to the illness onset. He is in a critical condition.

    For all of the three cases reported above, infection with H5N1 avian influenza virus was tested positive by the Egyptian Central Public Health Laboratory and subsequently confirmed by the U.S. Naval Medical Research Unit No. 3 (NAMRU-3).

    Of the 63 cases confirmed to date in Egypt, 23 have been fatal.
    -
    <cite cite="http://www.who.int/csr/don/2009_04_08a/en/index.html">WHO | Avian influenza - situation in Egypt - update 10</cite>

    Leave a comment:


  • sharon sanders
    replied
    Re: Egypt - Human Confirmed/Suspected Bird Flu Cases, Feb 8, 2009+

    This report says no bird flu poultry at home of case # 61 -

    An ad hoc committee to examine ethe lake house of the injured child b &#171;avian flu&#187; .. And the detention of 3 new cases of suspected

    Day books and Abduljawad Shaima just 4-3 / 2009
    [Mountain]
    Mountain

    By a specialized committee of the Ministry of Health and Preventive Medicine and Veterinary Medicine to move to the child's home-Shahat, Mohamed Hassan Amer &#171;years&#187;, which was No. 61 in the cases of bird flu in the province of the lake, immediately confirmed his illness, to examine the house and the houses nearby, Dr. Mohamed Farid , Director of Veterinary Medicine to maintain, the lack of birds at his home.

    The Committee decided to execute all the birds in the houses surrounding the cemetery and buried the healthy, and clean up the entire region, are being vaccinated all the surrounding villages as a precaution.

    Detained in the same context hospitals admitted Alexandria, Qena and the lake, three cases of suspected bird flu patients, including children, Mahmoud Ragab bluff &#171;3 years&#187;, and a resident of Kafr Al-Dawar, and Izzat Mohammad Sami &#171;35 years&#187;, housewife Damanhour and Princess Razeq Abulhasan &#171; 21 years &#187;housewife from the village of&#171; al-Alfi &#187;Bdhna. Executed and the Directorate of Veterinary Medicine province October 6, 5662 birds, suspected of being infected with bird flu.

    For its part, held the supreme committee for combating bird flu meeting yesterday under the chairmanship of Major General Mohamed Abdel Salam Mahgoub, Minister of Local Development and the presence of ministers of health, agriculture and the environment and the governors of Cairo and October 6 Qalubia and Eastern Dakahlia Monoufia, Fayyoum and the West, Beni Suef and representatives of defense and interior ministers, the heads of the General Authority for Information and the General Authority for Veterinary Services, to follow up national plan to combat bird flu,

    He emphasized that he was the processing of more than 61 million doses of vaccine and the formation of a strategic stockpile of the antiviral drug &#171;Tamiflu&#187; up to more than 2.4 million doses to deal with cases of infected and suspect.


    http://www.almasry-alyoum.com/articl...ticleID=205455

    Leave a comment:


  • sharon sanders
    replied
    Re: Egypt - Human Confirmed/Suspected Bird Flu Cases, Feb 8, 2009+

    The poultry situation is out of control and the current vaccine does not work well. This creates multiple opportunity for bird to human infections.

    8/4/2009

    The government is ignoring the bird flu crisis !

    Warning of the collapse of the poultry farms * .. ‬ The data from the Health and Agriculture

    Nasser Fayad wrote *: ‬ government ignored the report of the World Health Organization in the occupation of Egypt, the first number in the world, * ‬ human cases of bird flu *. Calendar ‬ ago the Council of Ministers of the reference to the seriousness of the spread of * ‬ * ‬ injuries and losses * ‬ of the infected poultry farms in Lower Egypt *. ‬ ignore the last two meetings of the Council of Ministers the high incidence of bird flu *. ‬ ago as the meeting of the Council's agenda tomorrow * ‬ * &#187;‬ Thursday *&#171; ‬ reference to the subject * ‬ *. ‬ the owners of poultry farms sharply criticized Association * ‬ * ‬ poultry producers because of its failure to take action to combat the disease, * ‬ and raise a memo to senior producers * ‬ Amin Abaza, Minister of Agriculture * ‬ demanding compensation for the loss of educators, * ‬ and * ‬ * reached ‬ 100&#37; * ‬ * ‬ spots in injury * ‬ Qaliubiya provinces and the lake, Dakahliya, western and other provinces *.

    The Ministry of Health has just the announcement of human cases, * ‬ developments and the spread of the disease on the way * ‬ * ‬ Socialist Union without the announcement of a joint plan * ‬ with the Ministry of Health to combat *. The ‬ * ‬ Spokesman of the Ministry of the injury, No. * ‬ 63 * ‬ Qaliubiya province, injuring a baby and was preceded by less than two years old in the province, the lake * ‬ *. ‬ warned the collapse of agricultural sources of the poultry industry and the closure of a large proportion of the poultry farms because of fears of disease, * ‬ and the high cost of production, * ‬ and the escalation of prices of chickens, * ‬ and doubling the price of * &#187;‬ vaccine immunization *&#171; ‬ against the disease, * ‬ and * ‬ useless because of several types of mutation of the virus that causes the disease *. ‬ noteworthy that the number of poultry farms Official * ‬ a * ‬ 17 * ‬ alpha, * ‬ * ‬ to the rural homes by raising chickens on the roofs of houses, * ‬ As a result, high rates of home injuries, * ‬ * ‬ and the spread of infections and its transition to * ‬ many farms

    http://www.alwafd.org/details.aspx?nid=17461

    Leave a comment:


  • HenryN
    replied
    Re: Egypt - Human Confirmed/Suspected Bird Flu Cases, Feb 8, 2009+

    Originally posted by Laidback Al View Post
    I would say that we are generally critical of a piece of information that is uncorroborated by other sources. My point is - if we are not sure which district these children are from, why should we believe a single news article that these the two kids are neighbors. Further officials details would be helpful.

    Point taken, regarding the reporting and interpretation of human clusters by WHO (e.g. Turkey and more recently, Pakistan). With no additional cases being reported in Beheira it seems to have stopped at H2H, if it is H2H.
    WHO has just acknowledged that the NEIGHBORS are COUSINS!

    (But are still pushing the "coincidence" nonsense).

    Leave a comment:


  • HenryN
    replied
    Re: Egypt - Human Confirmed/Suspected Bird Flu Cases, Feb 8, 2009+

    Originally posted by ironorehopper View Post
    I would say that this discussion astonished me...

    The epidemiological situation in Egypt regarding avian-to-human and human-to-human transmission of H5N1 avian influenza virus is far for being elucidated.

    WHO seems to be in trouble with confirmation of the most recent cases.

    We are awaiting more data and description of infection sources for these pediatric cases.

    Interhuman transmission is possible.

    Avian to human is probable and environmental contamination should be taken also into account.

    Sero-surveillance for antibodies in humans is long overdue not only in Egypt but elsewhere, and despite years of concerns international agencies and researchers failed to conduct a wide collection of blood samples.

    People should ask Agencies and experts why this surveillance has not been done until now.

    Frankly, I think a debate is always fruitful but with the perspective of leave readers with some clues...
    WHO has now acknowledged that there is a "problem" in Egypt

    INTERVIEW-Concerns arise over symptomless Egypt bird flu cases
    08 Apr 2009 11:13:26 GMT
    <!-- 08 Apr 2009 11:13:26 GMT ## for search indexer, do not remove --> Source: Reuters

    <!-- AN5.0 article title end --> <script language="JavaScript" src="http://www.alertnet.org/bin/js/article.js"></script> <input value="13" name="CurrentSize" id="CurrentSize" type="hidden"> <!-- INTERVIEW-Concerns arise over symptomless Egypt bird flu cases --> <!-- Reuters --> * WHO concerned about possible bird flu human carriers * U.N. body to test if cases exist * Worries about mutation of the pathogenic virus By Cynthia Johnston CAIRO, April 8 (Reuters) - The World Health Organisation is concerned some Egyptians may carry the highly pathogenic bird flu virus without showing symptoms, which could give it more of a chance to mutate to a strain that spreads easily among humans. Whether such cases exist still has to be put to the test and will be the focus of a planned Egyptian government study backed by the global health body, said John Jabbour, a Cairo-based emerging diseases specialist at WHO. "This is a concern only, now. It is a question to be asked," Jabbour told Reuters. He said a change in the pattern of human bird flu infections this year in Egypt had raised concerns about the existence of so-called sub clinical cases. The most populous Arab country, which has been hit harder by bird flu than any other country outside of Asia, has seen a surge in infections this year. While the H5N1 virus only rarely infects people, experts fear it could mutate into a form that humans could easily pass to one another, sparking a pandemic that could kill millions. The emergence of symptomless human carriers of the virus would be a worrisome development because it could allow the virus, undetected and untreated, more time to mutate inside the human body, Jabbour said. "If there is any sub clinical case in Egypt, the aim is to treat immediately to stop the reproduction of the virus. Because whether (through) mutation or reassortment, this will lead to the pandemic strain," he said. Of the 11 Egyptians infected with bird flu this year, all but two have been children under age three while adult cases have all but dried up. All have survived. That is starkly different from the same period a year ago, when seven people -- mostly adults and older children -- contracted the virus and three died. 'SOMETHING STRANGE HAPPENING' Jabbour said the rise in infections in children without similar cases among adults had triggered questions as to whether adults were being infected with the virus but not falling ill. "There is something strange happening in Egypt. Why in children now and not in adults?" he said. "We need to see if there are sub clinical cases in the community." Jabbour said there had been no known instances of sub clinical bird flu cases in humans in other countries where the disease was present. Some birds, like ducks, are known to carry and spread the virus without showing symptoms, he said. The Egyptian study, which Jabbour said should begin in the coming months, would test the blood of people who may have been in contact with infected birds but had not become sick. Since 2003 the avian influenza virus has infected more than 400 people in 15 countries and killed 256 of them. It has killed or forced the culling of more than 300 million birds across Asia, the Middle East, Africa and Europe. Some 23 Egyptians have died after contracting the virus, most after contact with infected domestic birds in the country where roughly 5 million households depend on domestically raised poultry as a major source of food and income. But Jabbour said there was still no evidence of the disease being passed from person to person in Egypt. He added that two toddlers from the northern province of Beheira infected within days of one another in March were cousins. But he said the boys were believed to have contracted the virus from the same sick birds, not from each other. "There is no change in the virus at all in the virus strain in Egypt. It is the same since the beginning of the outbreak. There is no mutation, nothing," he said. (Writing by Cynthia Johnston)

    http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/L7467886.htm

    Leave a comment:


  • HenryN
    replied
    Re: Egypt - Human Confirmed/Suspected Bird Flu Cases, Feb 8, 2009+

    Originally posted by Laidback Al View Post
    I would say that we are generally critical of a piece of information that is uncorroborated by other sources. My point is - if we are not sure which district these children are from, why should we believe a single news article that these the two kids are neighbors. Further officials details would be helpful.

    Point taken, regarding the reporting and interpretation of human clusters by WHO (e.g. Turkey and more recently, Pakistan). With no additional cases being reported in Beheira it seems to have stopped at H2H, if it is H2H.
    Here is the WHO confirmation that the neighbors were from Kom Hamada (which simply backs up the SAIDR site, which is a government site, so there are no surprises).

    http://www.emro.who.int/index.asp.

    New confirmed cases of avian influenza
    Case number 63

    The Ministry of Health and Population of Egypt reported a new confirmed human case of avian influenza on 6 April 2009. The new case is a six-year-old male from the Shubra El Khema district, Qaliobia governorate. His symptoms began on 22 March and he was hospitalized at Ain Shams University Hospital on 28 March. The child received treatment with Tamiflu on 3 April. Infection with H5N1 avian influenza was confirmed by the Egyptian Central Public Health Laboratory on 5 April.
    Investigations into the source of infection indicate a history of close contact with sick poultry prior to becoming ill. The child is in a critical condition and is on a ventilator.
    This brings the total number of human confirmed cases of avian influenza in Egypt up to 63 with 23 deaths.
    Case number 62

    The Ministry of Health and Population of Egypt reported a new confirmed human case of avian influenza on 6 April 2009. The new case is a two-year-old male from the Kom Hamada district, El Behira governorate. His symptoms began on 31 March and he was hospitalized at Damanhour Fever Hospital on 1 April. The child received treatment with Tamiflu on the same day of hospitalization. Infection with H5N1 avian influenza was confirmed by the Egyptian Central Public Health Laboratory on 2 April.
    Investigations into the source of infection indicate a history of close contact with dead and sick poultry prior to becoming ill. The child is in a stable condition.
    Case number 61

    The Ministry of Health and Population of Egypt reported a new confirmed human case of avian influenza on 6 April 2009. The new case is a two-year-old male from the Kom Hamada district, El Behira governorate. His symptoms began on 27 March and he was hospitalized at Naaora Fever Hospital on 30 March. The child received treatment with Tamiflu on the same day of hospitalization. Infection with H5N1 avian influenza was confirmed by the Egyptian Central Public Health Laboratory on 1 April.
    Investigations into the source of infection indicate a history of close contact with dead and sick poultry prior to becoming ill. The child is in a stable condition.

    Leave a comment:


  • sharon sanders
    replied
    Re: Egypt - Human Confirmed/Suspected Bird Flu Cases, Feb 8, 2009+

    <table style="text-align: left; direction: ltr;"><tbody><tr><td class="nav" align="center"> 5 cases of detention of human Bhmyat Mnov and Echmoun
    للاشتباه في إصابتهم بأنفلونزا الطيور

    Suspected of having bird flu
    </td></tr><tr><td class="auther" align="right">
    المنوفية نشأت عبدالرازق:
    Monoufia Razeq emerged:
    </td></tr><tr><td align="right">
    احتجز مستشفيا حميات منوف وأشمون كلاً من أم أحمد عبدالعزيز "55 عاما" ربة منزل مقيمة بقرية شبرا بلولة ومنال خالد عبدالله "3 سنوات" من قرية سدود بمنوف وحبيبة شعبان شرف الدين "3 سنوات" من قرية كفر الجلابطة بالشهداء وعمر عبدالشهيد الصياد "16 عاما" طالب مقيم بقرية طهواي وصباح محمد عبدالرحمن "37 عاما" ربة منزل من قرية محلة سبك بأشمون للاشتباه في اصابتهم بفيروس أنفلونزا الطيور.

    Detained hospitals Mnov fevers and Echmoun or both of Ahmed Abdul Aziz, "55-year-old" living village housewife Shabra Umbulula Manal Khaled Abdullah, "3 years" from the village of dams Menuf and went round the Habiba Sharaf al-Din Sha'ban, "3 years" from the village of Kafr Algelabottp martyrs and Omar Sayyad Abdalshahyd "16-year-old "asked the resident village Thoai and Sabah Mohamed Abdel Rahman," 37 years "a housewife from the village of Mahallat foundry Bohmon on suspicion of contracting bird flu virus.
    تم سحب العينات اللازمة من دم المرضي لتحليلها بالمعامل المركزية بوزارة الصحة بالقاهرة.

    The necessary samples were withdrawn from the blood of patients for analysis, the health ministry's central labs in Cairo.

    http://www.algomhuria.net.eg/almessa...s/detail08.asp

    </td></tr></tbody></table>

    Leave a comment:


  • Giuseppe
    replied
    Re: Egypt - Human Confirmed/Suspected Bird Flu Cases, Feb 8, 2009+

    I would say that this discussion astonished me...

    The epidemiological situation in Egypt regarding avian-to-human and human-to-human transmission of H5N1 avian influenza virus is far for being elucidated.

    WHO seems to be in trouble with confirmation of the most recent cases.

    We are awaiting more data and description of infection sources for these pediatric cases.

    Interhuman transmission is possible.

    Avian to human is probable and environmental contamination should be taken also into account.

    Sero-surveillance for antibodies in humans is long overdue not only in Egypt but elsewhere, and despite years of concerns international agencies and researchers failed to conduct a wide collection of blood samples.

    People should ask Agencies and experts why this surveillance has not been done until now.

    Frankly, I think a debate is always fruitful but with the perspective of leave readers with some clues...

    Leave a comment:


  • Laidback Al
    replied
    Re: Egypt - Human Confirmed/Suspected Bird Flu Cases, Feb 8, 2009+

    Originally posted by niman View Post
    So you are saying that because one report had both coming from one location, while another report had them both coming from a nearby location, you want to make a "hopes and dreams" report and put one neighbor at one location and put the other at another location??????
    Isn't that what was tried with the symptoms in another governorate routine?
    I would say that we are generally critical of a piece of information that is uncorroborated by other sources. My point is - if we are not sure which district these children are from, why should we believe a single news article that these the two kids are neighbors. Further officials details would be helpful.

    Point taken, regarding the reporting and interpretation of human clusters by WHO (e.g. Turkey and more recently, Pakistan). With no additional cases being reported in Beheira it seems to have stopped at H2H, if it is H2H.

    Leave a comment:


  • HenryN
    replied
    Re: Egypt - Human Confirmed/Suspected Bird Flu Cases, Feb 8, 2009+

    Originally posted by Laidback Al View Post
    I am unconvinced. Unless I am mistaken there has only been a single news article that states the two boys were neighbors (post #198). As I noted above the cases were initially reported to have come from the Badr Center (District). The saidr reports have the two children from the Kom Hamada Center (District). Each of these districts encompasses a number of villages. I await official confirmation that the two children lived in adjacent house in the same village and interacted with each other.
    So you are saying that because one report had both coming from one location, while another report had them both coming from a nearby location, you want to make a "hopes and dreams" report and put one neighbor at one location and put the other at another location??????
    Isn't that what was tried with the symptoms in another governorate routine?

    Leave a comment:


  • HenryN
    replied
    Re: Egypt - Human Confirmed/Suspected Bird Flu Cases, Feb 8, 2009+

    Originally posted by Laidback Al View Post
    I am unconvinced. Unless I am mistaken there has only been a single news article that states the two boys were neighbors (post #198). As I noted above the cases were initially reported to have come from the Badr Center (District). The saidr reports have the two children from the Kom Hamada Center (District). Each of these districts encompasses a number of villages. I await official confirmation that the two children lived in adjacent house in the same village and interacted with each other.
    Reality check.
    During the outbreak in Turkey, virtually EVERY confirmed case was part of a cluster. As a result the age and gender of CONFIRMED cases in the WHO updates were WITHHELD, and 9 of the 21 positives degraded and were removed from the 21 confirmed cases.

    Official confirmation of a CLUSTER????

    Please, there is no evidence of a change in SOPs.

    Leave a comment:


  • HenryN
    replied
    Re: Egypt - Human Confirmed/Suspected Bird Flu Cases, Feb 8, 2009+

    Originally posted by Laidback Al View Post
    I am unconvinced. Unless I am mistaken there has only been a single news article that states the two boys were neighbors (post #198). As I noted above the cases were initially reported to have come from the Badr Center (District). The saidr reports have the two children from the Kom Hamada Center (District). Each of these districts encompasses a number of villages. I await official confirmation that the two children lived in adjacent house in the same village and interacted with each other.
    The report on adjacent houses also implied that the neighbor was discovered during canvassing because of case #61:

    the 61 cases and 62 of the bird-flu-affected children, Mohamed El-Shahat Mohamed Hassan Amer, two years, and Jamil Hassan Mohamed Hassan Amer, years and 9 months, with two children and live in adjacent houses and there is no is reason for concern about the spread of the disease in the village,
    pointing out that the discovery of the No. 62 came in the wake of the Committee of Five, consisting of health and veterinary medicine and the environment, security and the local unit to clean the child's home as soon as infection is suspected in the case 61, and suspected in 62 cases the situation has been bookedBhmyat revealed Damanhour analysis of HIV infection.

    Leave a comment:


  • HenryN
    replied
    Re: Egypt - Human Confirmed/Suspected Bird Flu Cases, Feb 8, 2009+

    Originally posted by Laidback Al View Post
    I am unconvinced. Unless I am mistaken there has only been a single news article that states the two boys were neighbors (post #198). As I noted above the cases were initially reported to have come from the Badr Center (District). The saidr reports have the two children from the Kom Hamada Center (District). Each of these districts encompasses a number of villages. I await official confirmation that the two children lived in adjacent house in the same village and interacted with each other.
    That will probably take another five years :-).

    Leave a comment:


  • Laidback Al
    replied
    Re: Egypt - Human Confirmed/Suspected Bird Flu Cases, Feb 8, 2009+

    I am unconvinced. Unless I am mistaken there has only been a single news article that states the two boys were neighbors (post #198). As I noted above the cases were initially reported to have come from the Badr Center (District). The saidr reports have the two children from the Kom Hamada Center (District). Each of these districts encompasses a number of villages. I await official confirmation that the two children lived in adjacent house in the same village and interacted with each other.

    Leave a comment:

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