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  • Matthew downgraded to post-tropical cyclone and heads out to Atlantic

    Hurricane MATTHEW Public Advisory

    000 WTNT34 KNHC 031750 TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE MATTHEW INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 22A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016 200 PM EDT MON OCT 03 2016 ...DANGEROUS HURRICANE MATTHEW MOVING NORTHWARD... ...LIFE-THREATENING RAIN...WIND...AND STORM SURGE EXPECTED IN PORTIONS OF HAITI... SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.9N 74.8W ABOUT 250 MI...400 KM SW OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM SE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...140 MPH...220 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 5 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...940 MB...27.76 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS --------------------

    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Jamaica * Haiti * Cuban provinces of Guantanamo, Santiago de Cuba, Holguin, Granma, and Las Tunas * Southeastern Bahamas, including the Inaguas, Mayaguana, Acklins, Crooked Island, Long Cay, and Ragged Island A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Cuban province of Camaguey * Turks and Caicos Islands * Central Bahamas, including Long Island, Exuma, Rum Cay, San Salvador, and Cat Island A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Dominican Republic from Barahona westward to the border with Haiti A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Dominican Republic from Puerto Plata westward to the border with Haiti Interests elsewhere in Hispaniola, the Bahamas, and in the Florida Peninsula and the Florida Keys should monitor the progress of Matthew. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service.

    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 200 PM EDT (1800 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Matthew was located near latitude 15.9 North, longitude 74.8 West. Matthew is moving toward the north near 6 mph (9 km/h), and this general motion is forecast to continue through Wednesday with an increase in forward speed expected tonight. On the forecast track, the center of Matthew will approach southwestern Haiti tonight, move near eastern Cuba late Tuesday, and move near or over portions of the southeastern and central Bahamas Tuesday night and Wednesday. Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds are near 140 mph (220 km/h) with higher gusts. Matthew is a dangerous category 4 hurricane on the Saffir- Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some fluctuations in intensity are possible during the next couple of days, but Matthew is expected to remain a powerful hurricane through Wednesday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km). The latest minimum central pressure based on data from the aircraft is 940 mb (27.76 inches).

    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ----------------------
    WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected to first reach Haiti tonight, eastern Cuba Tuesday, and the southeastern Bahamas late Tuesday. Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach Haiti this afternoon, eastern Cuba tonight, and the southeastern Bahamas early Tuesday, making outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. Tropical storm conditions are expected in Jamaica and along the southern coast of the Dominican Republic within the warning area beginning today. Hurricane conditions are possible in the hurricane watch areas by Tuesday night with tropical storm conditions possible on Tuesday. Tropical storm conditions are also possible in the tropical storm watch area in the Dominican Republic by late today.
    RAINFALL: Matthew is expected to produce total rainfall amounts in the following areas: Southern Haiti and southwestern Dominican Republic...15 to 25 inches, isolated 40 inches Eastern Cuba and northwestern Haiti...8 to 12 inches, isolated 20 inches Eastern Jamaica...5 to 10 inches, isolated 15 to 20 inches Southeastern Bahamas...8 to 12 inches, isolated 15 inches Turks and Caicos Islands...2 to 5 inches, isolated 8 inches Northeastern Haiti and the Dominican Republic...1 to 3 inches, isolated 5 inches Western Jamaica...1 to 2 inches Life-threatening flash floods and mudslides are likely from this rainfall in southern and northwestern Haiti, the southwestern Dominican Republic, and eastern Cuba.
    STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and large and destructive waves could raise water levels by as much as the following amounts above normal tide levels... Southern Coast of Cuba east of Cabo Cruz...7 to 11 feet South Coast of Haiti...7 to 10 feet Northern Coast of Cuba east of Camaguey...4 to 6 feet Jamaica...2 to 4 feet Gulf of Gonave in Haiti...3 to 5 feet Southern coast of the Dominican Republic...1 to 3 feet Central and southeastern Bahamas...10 to 15 feet Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. Large waves generated by Matthew will cause water rises to occur well in advance of and well away from the track of the center. SURF: Swells generated by Matthew will continue to affect portions of the coasts of Hispaniola, Jamaica, Aruba, Colombia, eastern Cuba, and the Caribbean coastline of Central America during the next few days. Swells from Matthew will begin affecting portions of the Bahamas on Tuesday. These swells are likely to cause life- threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.

    NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Brennan






    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh.../031454.shtml?
    Last edited by sharon sanders; October 3, 2016, 01:26 PM.
    "Safety and security don't just happen, they are the result of collective consensus and public investment. We owe our children, the most vulnerable citizens in our society, a life free of violence and fear."
    -Nelson Mandela

  • #2

    BULLETIN HURRICANE MATTHEW ADVISORY NUMBER 24 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016 1100 PM EDT MON OCT 03 2016

    ...HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND MATTHEW HAS STRENGTHENED SLIGHTLY... ...LIFE-THREATENING RAIN...WIND...AND STORM SURGE EXPECTED IN PARTS OF HAITI TONIGHT...

    SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
    -----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...16.9N 74.6W ABOUT 100 MI...155 KM S OF TIBURON HAITI ABOUT 190 MI...310 KM SW OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...145 MPH...230 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...934 MB...27.58 INCHES

    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Haiti * Cuban provinces of Guantanamo, Santiago de Cuba, Holguin, Granma, and Las Tunas * Southeastern Bahamas, including the Inaguas, Mayaguana, Acklins, Crooked Island, Long Cay, and Ragged Island * Central Bahamas, including Long Island, Exuma, Rum Cay, San Salvador, and Cat Island A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Cuban province of Camaguey * Turks and Caicos Islands * Northwestern Bahamas, including the Abacos, Andros Island, Berry Islands, Bimini, Eleuthera, Grand Bahama Island, and New Providence A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Dominican Republic from Barahona westward to the border with Haiti * Jamaica A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Dominican Republic from Puerto Plata westward to the border with Haiti Interests elsewhere in Hispaniola, the Bahamas, and in the Florida Peninsula and the Florida Keys should monitor the progress of Matthew. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service.

    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Matthew was located near latitude 16.9 North, longitude 74.6 West. Matthew is moving toward the north near 7 mph (11 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue tonight through Tuesday. A turn toward the north-northwest is forecast on Wednesday. On the forecast track, the center of Matthew will approach southwestern Haiti tonight and Tuesday morning, move near eastern Cuba late Tuesday, and move near or over portions of the southeastern and central Bahamas Tuesday night and Wednesday. Reports from an Air Force Reserve hurricane hunter aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds are near 145 mph (230 km/h) with higher gusts. Matthew is a dangerous category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some fluctuations in intensity are possible during the next couple of days, but Matthew is expected to remain a powerful hurricane through at least Wednesday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 40 miles (65 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 934 mb (27.58 inches).

    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected to first reach Haiti tonight, eastern Cuba Tuesday, the southeastern Bahamas late Tuesday, and the central Bahamas on Wednesday. Tropical storm conditions are expected to continue spreading across Haiti tonight, eastern Cuba by early Tuesday morning, the southeastern Bahamas early Tuesday, and the central Bahamas Tuesday night, making outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. Tropical storm conditions are expected in portions of Jamaica and along the southern coast of the Dominican Republic within the warning area tonight. Hurricane conditions are possible in the northwestern Bahamas on Thursday, with tropical storm conditions possible on Wednesday. Hurricane conditions are possible in the hurricane watch areas in Cuba and the Turks and Caicos Islands by Tuesday night with tropical storm conditions possible on Tuesday.

    RAINFALL: Matthew is expected to produce total rainfall amounts in the following areas: Southern Haiti and southwestern Dominican Republic...15 to 25 inches, isolated 40 inches Eastern Cuba and northwestern Haiti...8 to 12 inches, isolated 20 inches Eastern Jamaica...5 to 10 inches, isolated 15 to 20 inches The Bahamas...8 to 12 inches, isolated 15 inches Turks and Caicos Islands...2 to 5 inches, isolated 8 inches Northeastern Haiti and the Northern Dominican Republic...1 to 3 inches, isolated 5 inches Western Jamaica...1 to 3 inches, isolated 6 inches Life-threatening flash floods and mudslides are likely from this rainfall in southern and northwestern Haiti, the southwestern Dominican Republic, and eastern Cuba.

    STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and large and destructive waves could raise water levels by as much as the following amounts above normal tide levels... Southern Coast of Cuba east of Cabo Cruz...7 to 11 feet South Coast of Haiti...7 to 10 feet Northern Coast of Cuba east of Camaguey...4 to 6 feet Jamaica...2 to 4 feet Gulf of Gonave in Haiti...3 to 5 feet Southern coast of the Dominican Republic...1 to 3 feet The Bahamas...10 to 15 feet Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. Large waves generated by Matthew will cause water rises to occur well in advance of and well away from the track of the center.

    SURF: Swells generated by Matthew will continue to affect portions of the coasts of Hispaniola, Jamaica, Aruba, Colombia, eastern Cuba, and the Caribbean coastline of Central America during the next few days. Swells from Matthew will begin affecting portions of the Bahamas on Tuesday. These swells are likely to cause life- threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM EDT. Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Stewart

    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh.../040256.shtml?
    "Safety and security don't just happen, they are the result of collective consensus and public investment. We owe our children, the most vulnerable citizens in our society, a life free of violence and fear."
    -Nelson Mandela

    Comment


    • #3
      WORLD NEWS | Tue Oct 4, 2016 | 11:24am EDT

      Hurricane Matthew hammers western Haiti with deadly force

      Florida "preparing for the worst" as Matthew approaches01:34

      By Makini Brice | LES CAYES, HAITI

      The fiercest Caribbean storm in almost a decade ripped into Haiti's southwestern peninsula early on Tuesday with 145 mile-per-hour (230 kph) winds and storm surges, killing at least one person and damaging homes.

      The eye of the violent and slow-moving Category 4 storm was hovering over the western tip of Haiti, the U.S. National Hurricane Center said, pounding coastal villages with strong gusts.

      One man died as the storm crashed through his home in the beach town of Port Salut, Haiti's civil protection service said. He had been too sick to leave for a shelter, officials said. One fisherman was killed in heavy seas over the weekend as the storm approached, and another was missing.

      Overnight, Haitians living in vulnerable coastal shacks on the Tiburon Peninsula frantically sought shelter as Matthew closed in, bringing heavy rain and gusts and driving the ocean into seaside towns. Several districts in southern Haiti were flooded, with crops inundated with ocean and rain water.
      ...
      http://www.reuters.com/article/us-st...-idUSKCN1240BH
      "Safety and security don't just happen, they are the result of collective consensus and public investment. We owe our children, the most vulnerable citizens in our society, a life free of violence and fear."
      -Nelson Mandela

      Comment


      • #4
        GOV. SCOTT: CAT 4 HURRICANE MATTHEW IS LIFE THREATENING AND APPROACHING FLORIDA

        On October 3, 2016, in News Releases, by Staff



        HIALEAH, Fla. – Governor Rick Scott today visited the City of Hialeah Emergency Operations Center to meet with emergency management officials as the state prepares for Hurricane Matthew, a life-threatening category four storm. Governor Scott also signed Executive Order 16-230 declaring a state of emergency for every Florida county due to the severity and magnitude of Hurricane Matthew.

        Governor Scott said, “Hurricane Matthew is a life-threatening category four hurricane and we must all take it seriously. If Hurricane Matthew directly impacts Florida, there could be massive destruction which we haven’t seen since Hurricane Andrew devastated Miami-Dade County in 1992. That is why we cannot delay and must prepare for direct impact now. Today, I signed an Executive Order declaring a State of Emergency in every Florida county to ensure we have resources for evacuations, sheltering and other logistical needs across our state. We are preparing for the worst, but hoping for the best and we will not take any chances to ensure our state is prepared.

        “Hurricane Matthew has already killed four people and nobody wants that number to rise. As I said during Hurricane Hermine, we can rebuild a home or a business, but we cannot rebuild your life. The best way to prevent further loss is to get prepared now and take this storm seriously. Having a plan in place could mean the difference between life and death during severe weather, especially a major category four hurricane.

        “Although Matthew is not currently projected to directly impact Florida, we all know how quickly the track of these storms can change. While there are no evacuation orders currently in place, this storm could threaten our state with very little notice and no one should be caught off guard. If an evacuation order is activated in your area, leave immediately. Once severe weather comes, our first responders will not be able to rescue you until the weather subsides.

        “Our National Guard stands ready to be deployed if needed. I am also in contact with the utilities across the state and will stay in communication with them regarding their plans if there are any power outages. We are taking steps to move additional fuel to the state’s east coast. On the Florida Turnpike, we also have extra fuel trucks on standby to get anywhere in our state. Again, while we are preparing for the worst, we are hoping for the best and will not take any chances with a storm of this magnitude.”

        The National Hurricane Center (NHC) reports that Hurricane Matthew is a major category four hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 140 miles per hour. Although the NHC official forecast continues to show a track east of Florida, Governor Rick Scott and the Florida Division of Emergency Management continue to actively monitor Hurricane Matthew and urge everyone in Florida to remain vigilant and take all necessary precautions as it moves through the Caribbean. The State Emergency Operations Center (SEOC) today activated to Level 2. Based on the current forecast, the state’s entire east coast from Monroe to Nassau counties could experience tropical storm force winds, beach erosion, rip currents and heavy rain. This is a slow moving storm and could impact Florida as early as Wednesday and last through Saturday.

        State Coordinating Officer Bryan Koon said, “Hurricane Matthew is a strong and very dangerous storm. Residents should not delay and begin preparing for the worst now. This morning, the State Emergency Operations Center (SEOC) upgraded our activation to a Level 2. As always, we stand ready to respond to any potential impacts this storm may have on Florida communities and continue to encourage residents to visit Floridadisaster.org to create an emergency plan.”
        ***
        The Florida Division of Emergency Management is the state agency charged with preparing for all types of disasters in Florida. The Division is the state’s disaster liaison with federal and local agencies, and is the lead consequence management agency for the State Emergency Response Team (SERT). The Division maintains the State Emergency Operations Center (SEOC) in Tallahassee and the State Watch Office, the 24-hour communications and command center for response coordination. Follow the Division on social media at facebook.com/FloridaSERT or on Twitter @FLSERT.
        "Safety and security don't just happen, they are the result of collective consensus and public investment. We owe our children, the most vulnerable citizens in our society, a life free of violence and fear."
        -Nelson Mandela

        Comment


        • #5
          Hurricane MATTHEW Public Advisory

          000 WTNT34 KNHC 041503 TCPAT4

          BULLETIN HURRICANE MATTHEW ADVISORY NUMBER 26 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016 1100 AM EDT TUE OCT 04 2016 ...

          EYE OF EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE MATTHEW MOVING OVER THE GULF OF GONAVE AND IS HEADING FOR EASTERN CUBA...


          SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...
          INFORMATION
          -----------------------------------------------
          LOCATION...18.9N 74.3W ABOUT 35 MI...60 KM NNE OF TIBURON HAITI ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM S OF THE EASTERN TIP OF CUBA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...145 MPH...230 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...950 MB...28.06 INCHES

          WATCHES AND WARNINGS
          --------------------
          CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: A Hurricane Watch is in effect from Deerfield Beach, Florida to the Volusia/Brevard county line. A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect from the Seven Mile Bridge in the Florida Keys northward to south of Deerfield Beach, including Lake Okeechobee The government of Jamaica has discontinued the Tropical Storm Warning for Jamaica.

          SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Haiti * Cuban provinces of Guantanamo, Santiago de Cuba, Holguin, Granma, and Las Tunas * Southeastern Bahamas, including the Inaguas, Mayaguana, Acklins, Crooked Island, Long Cay, and Ragged Island * Central Bahamas, including Long Island, Exuma, Rum Cay, San Salvador, and Cat Island * Northwestern Bahamas, including the Abacos, Andros Island, Berry Islands, Bimini, Eleuthera, Grand Bahama Island, and New Providence A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Cuban province of Camaguey * Deerfield Beach to the Volusia/Brevard county line A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Dominican Republic from Barahona westward to the border with Haiti * Turks and Caicos Islands A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Dominican Republic from Puerto Plata westward to the border with Haiti * Seven Mile Bridge to south of Deerfield Beach * Lake Okeechobee A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. Interests elsewhere in Hispaniola and in the Florida Peninsula and the Florida Keys should monitor the progress of Matthew. For storm information specific to your area in the United States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside the United States, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service.

          DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
          ------------------------------
          At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Matthew was located in the Gulf of Gonave near latitude 18.9 North, longitude 74.3 West. Matthew is moving toward the north near 10 mph (17 km/h). On this track the eye of Matthew will move over the Windward Passage and eastern Cuba today. A turn toward the north-northwest is expected by Wednesday, followed by a northwest turn Wednesday night. Matthew is expected to move near or over portions of the southeastern and central Bahamas tonight and Wednesday, and approach the northwestern Bahamas Wednesday night. Maximum sustained winds remain near 145 mph (230 km/h) with higher gusts. Matthew is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir- Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some fluctuations in intensity are possible during the next couple of days, but Matthew is expected to remain a powerful hurricane through at least Wednesday night. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 950 mb (28.06 inches).

          HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
          ----------------------
          WIND: Hurricane conditions are already affecting the southwestern portion of Haiti, and these conditions will spread northward today. Hurricane conditions are expected to reach eastern Cuba later today, the southeastern Bahamas Tuesday evening, the central Bahamas on Wednesday, and the northwestern Bahamas Wednesday night. Tropical storm conditions are expected to continue spreading across the remainder of Haiti today, eastern Cuba later this morning, the southeastern Bahamas later today, and the central and northwestern Bahamas Tuesday night and Wednesday, making outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Tropical storm conditions are expected in portions the Dominican Republic within the warning area today, and will spread northward into the Turks and Caicos Islands tonight. Hurricane conditions are possible in the hurricane watch areas in Cuba tonight with tropical storm conditions possible later today. Hurricane conditions are possible within the hurricane watch area in Florida by late Thursday, with tropical storm conditions possible by early Thursday. Tropical storm condition are also possible in the Florida tropical storm watch area by early Thursday.

          RAINFALL: Matthew is expected to produce total rainfall amounts in the following areas: Southern Haiti and southwestern Dominican Republic...15 to 25 inches, isolated 40 inches Eastern Cuba and northwestern Haiti...8 to 12 inches, isolated 20 inches Eastern Jamaica...4 to 6 inches, isolated 10 inches The Bahamas...8 to 12 inches, isolated 15 inches Turks and Caicos Islands...2 to 5 inches, isolated 8 inches Northeastern Haiti and the Northern Dominican Republic...1 to 3 inches, isolated 5 inches Western Jamaica...1 to 2 inches, isolated 3 inches Upper Florida Keys northward to coastal east-central Florida....4 to 7 inches, isolated 10 inches Middle to Lower Florida Keys....1 to 3 inches, isolated 5 inches Life-threatening flash floods and mudslides are likely from this rainfall in southern and northwestern Haiti, the southwestern Dominican Republic, and eastern Cuba.

          STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and large and destructive waves could raise water levels by as much as the following amounts above normal tide levels... Southern Coast of Cuba east of Cabo Cruz...7 to 11 feet South Coast of Haiti...7 to 10 feet Northern Coast of Cuba east of Camaguey...4 to 6 feet Jamaica...2 to 4 feet Gulf of Gonave in Haiti...3 to 5 feet Southern coast of the Dominican Republic...1 to 3 feet The Bahamas...10 to 15 feet Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. Large waves generated by Matthew will cause water rises to occur well in advance of and well away from the track of the center. SURF: Swells generated by Matthew will continue to affect portions of the coasts of Hispaniola, Jamaica, eastern Cuba, and the Caribbean coastline of Central America during the next few days. Swells from Matthew will begin affecting portions of the Bahamas on Tuesday. These swells are likely to cause life- threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.

          NEXT ADVISORY -------------
          Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM EDT. Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Avila


          http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh.../041503.shtml?
          "Safety and security don't just happen, they are the result of collective consensus and public investment. We owe our children, the most vulnerable citizens in our society, a life free of violence and fear."
          -Nelson Mandela

          Comment


          • #6
            Gov. Scott Issues Updates on Hurricane Matthew Preparedness Efforts as Storm Approaches Florida

            On October 4, 2016, in News Releases, by Staff




            MARATHON, Fla. ? Today, Governor Rick Scott visited the City of Marathon to meet with county emergency management officials as the state prepares for Hurricane Matthew, a life-threatening category four storm. Governor Scott has remained in constant communication with state and local leaders who are working to ensure the state is prepared for the storm. Governor Scott will also be at the Volusia County Emergency Management Center and the Nassau County Emergency Operations Center today to meet with emergency management officials to prepare for Hurricane Matthew.
            EMERGENCY SUPPORT FUNCTIONS BY STATE EMERGENCY RESPONSE TEAM
            MILITARY SUPPORT
            • Approximately 200 members of the Florida National Guard will be activated to support hurricane preparedness and response. There are also more than 6,000 guardsmen ready to be deployed if needed.
            LAW ENFORCEMENT
            • The Florida Department of Law Enforcement, the Florida Fish and Wildlife Conservation Commission, the Department of Highway Safety and Motor Vehicles, and other partnering agencies are identifying resources for deployment if necessary to respond to the storm.
            INFRASTRUCTURE: TRANSPORTATION & PUBLIC WORKS
            • The state is monitoring the storm and holding teleconferences with the Florida Department of Transportation (FDOT) districts and agency partners ? Army Corps of Engineers, Water Management Districts, Civil Air Patrol and Federal Highway Administration to ensure all infrastructure needs are met.
            • Asset maintenance contractors have been alerted;
            • FDOT district offices are reaching out to construction vendors to have them remove any materials that block roads to facilitate evacuations;
            • Florida?s Turnpike Enterprise is ensuring that service plazas along the Florida Turnpike have Road Rangers and fuel;
            • Additional fuel, Road Rangers and resources such as variable message boards to guide evacuees are on standby; and
            • The Florida Highway Patrol (FHP) has made contact with local troops in preparation for supporting evacuations in the major corridors, south to north and east to west.
            • Army Corps of Engineers and Water Management Districts are monitoring waterways and are prepared to adjust flows as necessary.
            • FDOT is preparing evacuation routes, maintenance yards, construction zones, equipment and staff; testing and inventorying equipment; placing emergency crews on standby; reviewing emergency plans; preparing construction zones; and monitoring flood prone areas.
            • FDOT will continue to reach out to county emergency operations centers directly to coordinate any necessary response actions including activating traffic counters, providing local evacuation support and providing maintenance of traffic and other assistance.
            HUMAN SERVICES:
            • Establishing local points of contact with mass care organizations and volunteer agencies for potentially impacted counties starting from Monroe to Orange County, and working up toward the rest of the state.
            • The state is working with the American Red Cross to identify shelter staffing capacity in potential impact areas.
            • The state is working with Volunteers and Donation agencies to identify available volunteers through Florida Voluntary Organizations Active in Disaster (VOAD) and AmeriCorps to staff shelters if needed.
            • Department of Business and Professional Regulation and Department of Agriculture and Consumer Services is running projection models for human-service?s needs (food and sheltering) based on a major hurricane impacting Monroe County to Orange County, and Seminole County to Nassau County.
            • The Florida Department of Agriculture & Consumer Services is inventorying school food supplies in schools and state warehouses.
            BUSINESS, INDUSTRY, & ECONOMIC STABILIZATION
            • The Florida Department of Economic Opportunity (DEO) and the Division of Emergency Management (DEM) created event in Florida Virtual Business Emergency Operations Center (FLVBEOC) for Hurricane Matthew and currently updating with up to date storm info, including press releases/situation reports. Providing situational awareness to private sector partners.
            • Activated Private Sector Hotline: 850-410-1403. Hotline is available for business inquiries about the storm, preparedness information and post-impact information.
            ELECTRIC & NATURAL GAS UTILITIES (Public Service Commission)
            • Utilities have been put on notice to start reporting outage and restoral information when notified to begin.
            • Utilities are contacting their mutual aid partners to determine availability if external resources are needed to restore services.
            • Monitoring the power grid for sufficient power in the state and the natural gas infrastructure for any damages that can cause a loss of service to power plants.
            FUELS
            • The state is contacting fuel industry partners (e.g., Florida Petroleum Council, Florida Petroleum Marketers and Convenience Store Association); there are no reported supply, distribution or retail fuel shortages or issues.
            • Monitoring fuel assistance requests; currently there are no requests for assistance.
            • The state has contacted emergency fuel and equipment provider for status of emergency fuel supply and equipment.
            TELECOMMUNICATIONS
            • Coordinating with telecommunications partners to monitor the situation and remain on standby to respond if required.
            • At this point, no out of ordinary reports of any major outages.
            • Monitoring fuel assistance requests; currently there are no requests for assistance.
            SEAPORTS
            • Monitoring conditions at the following seaports:
              • Duval ? JAXPORT: Open
              • Nassau ? Port of Fernandina: Open
              • Broward ? Port Everglades: Open, sustained gale force winds predicted within 48 hours
              • Palm Beach ? Port of Palm Beach: Open, sustained gale force winds predicted within 48 hours
              • Saint Lucie ? Port of Ft. Pierce: Open, sustained gale force winds predicted within 48 hours
              • Brevard ? Port Canaveral: Open
              • Miami-Dade ? Port Miami: Open, sustained gale force winds predicted within 48 hours
              • Monroe ? Port of Key West: Open, sustained gale force winds predicted within 48 hours
            U.S. ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS
            • Inspections of the Herbert Hoover Dike are taking place at fifteen-day intervals. Daily inspections begin once the lake exceeds 17 feet.
            • Discharges from Lake Okeechobee are currently being maintained at current targets (West: 4,000 cubic feet per second / East: 1,800 cubic feet per second).
            SOUTH FLORIDA WATER MANAGEMENT DISTRICT
            • SFWMD has elevated its readiness condition to Condition 4. Condition 4 readiness actions include the following:
            • Upper East Coast: Water managers are gradually lowering canals as their current discharges are moderate.
            • Discharge through S-38 will continue until Monday as long as the forecast for Matthew rain is Tuesday or later. Supplemental flow to the Florida Bay is being reduced to provide capacity for pre-storm draw down.
            Field Station readiness actions include the following:
            • Inspecting key parts of the flood control system and critical flood control structures.
            • Inspecting canals and levees for any obstructions.
            • Inspecting heavy equipment.
            • Ensuring adequate fuel supplies for pump stations and other equipment.
            • Securing items vulnerable to high wind at pump stations and laydown yards in Homestead, Miami, Ft. Lauderdale and West Palm Beach.
            ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION
            • The Florida Department of Environmental Protection surveyed beaches throughout entire Florida east coast and is reaching out to state parks to assess needs.
            • No state parks are closed at this time.
            LOGISTICS:
            • The State Logistics Response Center (SLRC) will be opening today at 12:00 noon to manage the deployment of resources to counties.
            • Identifying potential State Logistical Staging Areas to preposition materials and resources if needed.
            • Running Logistics Forecast Models for each coastal and first inland county (Jacksonville to Miami).
            • Have received update from FEMA Logistics on available assets.
            • Will begin to poll in-state resources available from unaffected counties.
            • Contacted South Florida Fairgrounds, Homestead Air Reserve Base as potential staging sites.
            • Monitoring government, school and infrastructure closures.
            CONTACTS:
            • The Florida Emergency Information Line (FEIL) has activated and can be reached at 1 (800) 342-3557.
            • State Emergency Operations Center Media Line: 850-921-0217.
            • Follow @FLSert or @FLGovScott on Twitter for live updates on Hurricane Matthew.
            • Visit http://www.floridadisaster.org to find information on shelters, road closures, and evacuation routes.
            http://www.flgov.com/2016/10/04/gov-...aches-florida/


            "Safety and security don't just happen, they are the result of collective consensus and public investment. We owe our children, the most vulnerable citizens in our society, a life free of violence and fear."
            -Nelson Mandela

            Comment


            • #7
              Hurricane MATTHEW Public Advisory

              Home Public Adv Fcst Adv Discussion Wind Probs Graphics Archive

              U.S. Watch/Warning Local Statements

              000
              WTNT34 KNHC 051143
              TCPAT4

              BULLETIN
              HURRICANE MATTHEW INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 29A
              NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016
              800 AM EDT WED OCT 05 2016

              ...HURRICANE MATTHEW HEADING FOR THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN
              BAHAMAS...



              SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
              ----------------------------------------------
              LOCATION...21.5N 74.9W
              ABOUT 45 MI...85 KM ENE OF CABO LUCRECIA CUBA
              ABOUT 115 MI...185 KM S OF LONG ISLAND BAHAMAS
              MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
              PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
              MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...964 MB...28.47 INCHES


              WATCHES AND WARNINGS
              --------------------
              CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

              None.

              SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

              A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
              * Haiti
              * Cuban provinces of Guantanamo, Santiago de Cuba, Holguin, Granma,
              and Las Tunas
              * Southeastern Bahamas, including the Inaguas, Mayaguana, Acklins,
              Crooked Island, Long Cay, and Ragged Island
              * Central Bahamas, including Long Island, Exuma, Rum Cay,
              San Salvador, and Cat Island
              * Northwestern Bahamas, including the Abacos, Andros Island,
              Berry Islands, Bimini, Eleuthera, Grand Bahama Island, and
              New Providence
              * North of Golden Beach to Sebastian Inlet
              * Lake Okeechobee

              A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
              * Cuban province of Camaguey
              * North of Sebastian Inlet to the Fernandina Beach

              A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
              * Dominican Republic from Barahona westward to the border with Haiti
              * Turks and Caicos Islands
              * Chokoloskee to Golden Beach
              * Florida Keys from Seven Mile Bridge eastward
              * Florida Bay

              A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
              * Dominican Republic from Puerto Plata westward to the border with
              Haiti

              Interests elsewhere in the Florida Peninsula and the Florida Keys
              should monitor the progress of Matthew.

              For storm information specific to your area in the United States,
              including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor
              products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
              office. For storm information specific to your area outside
              the United States, please monitor products issued by your national
              meteorological service.


              DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
              ------------------------------
              At 800 AM EDT (1200 UTC), the center of Hurricane Matthew was
              located near latitude 21.5 North, longitude 74.9 West. Matthew is
              moving toward the north-northwest near 10 mph
              (17 km/h). This
              motion is expected to continue today, followed by a northwestward
              turn tonight. On this track, Matthew will be moving across the
              Bahamas through Thursday, and is expected to be very near the east
              coast of Florida by Thursday evening.


              Maximum sustained winds are near 115 mph (185 km/h) with higher
              gusts. Matthew is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
              Hurricane Wind Scale. Some slight strengthening is forecast during
              the next couple of days.


              Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 40 miles (65 km) from
              the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160
              miles (260 km).


              The minimum central pressure reported by NOAA and Air Force
              Hurricane Hunter planes was 964 mb (28.47 inches).


              HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
              ----------------------
              WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected to continue affecting the
              northwestern portion of Haiti this morning. Hurricane conditions
              are likely occuring over eastern Cuba and portions of the
              southeastern Bahamas. Hurricane conditions are expected to spread
              over the central Bahamas later today and the northwestern Bahamas
              tonight.

              Tropical storm conditions will continue over portions of Haiti and
              eastern Cuba this morning. Tropical storm conditions are spreading
              over the southeastern Bahamas and Turks and Caicos Islands, and
              should reach the central and northwestern Bahamas later today,
              making outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Tropical storm
              conditions should diminish within the warning area in the Dominican
              Republic this morning.

              Hurricane and tropical storm conditions are possible in the
              hurricane watch areas in Cuba this morning.

              Hurricane conditions are expected within the hurricane warning area
              in Florida by late Thursday, with tropical storm conditions expected
              by early Thursday. Tropical storm conditions should reach the
              tropical storm warning area in Florida by early Thursday.


              RAINFALL: Matthew is expected to produce total rainfall amounts in
              the following areas:

              Southern Haiti and southwestern Dominican Republic...15 to 25
              inches, isolated 40 inches
              Eastern Cuba and northwestern Haiti...8 to 12 inches, isolated
              20 inches
              Eastern Jamaica...additional 1 to 2 inches, isolated storm totals
              12 inches
              The Bahamas...8 to 12 inches, isolated 15 inches
              Turks and Caicos Islands...2 to 5 inches, isolated 8 inches
              Northeastern Haiti and the Northern Dominican Republic...1 to 3
              inches, isolated 5 inches
              Upper Florida Keys northward to coastal east-central Florida....4 to
              7 inches, isolated 10 inches
              Middle to Lower Florida Keys....1 to 3 inches, isolated 5 inches

              Life-threatening flash floods and mudslides are likely in southern
              and northwestern Haiti, the southwestern Dominican Republic, and
              eastern Cuba.

              STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and large
              and destructive waves could raise water levels by as much as the
              following amounts above normal tide levels...

              Southern Coast of Cuba east of Cabo Cruz...7 to 11 feet
              South Coast of Haiti...7 to 10 feet
              Northern Coast of Cuba east of Camaguey...4 to 6 feet
              Gulf of Gonave in Haiti...3 to 5 feet
              The Bahamas...10 to 15 feet

              The water could reach the following heights above ground if the peak
              surge occurs at the time of high tide...

              North Palm Beach to the Flagler/Volusia county line...3 to 5 ft

              Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge
              and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances.
              Large waves generated by Matthew will cause water rises to occur
              well in advance of and well away from the track of the center.

              The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause
              normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters
              moving inland from the shoreline. There is a danger of
              life-threatening inundation during the next 36 hours along the
              Florida east coast from North Palm Beach to the Sebastian Inlet.
              There is the possibility of life-threatening inundation during the
              next 48 hours from Sebastian Inlet to the Flagler/Volusia county
              line. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the Prototype
              National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic. For
              information specific to your area, please see products issued by
              your local National Weather Service forecast office.

              The Prototype Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic is a depiction of
              areas that would qualify for inclusion under a storm surge watch or
              warning currently under development by the National Weather Service
              and planned for operational use in 2017. The Prototype Graphic is
              available at hurricanes.gov.

              SURF: Swells generated by Matthew will continue to affect portions
              of the coasts of Hispaniola, eastern Cuba, and the Bahamas during
              the next few days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening
              surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your
              local weather office.


              NEXT ADVISORY
              -------------
              Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT.

              $$
              Forecaster Avila

              http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh.../051143.shtml?

              -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              Hurricane MATTHEW Forecast Discussion

              Home Public Adv Fcst Adv Discussion Wind Probs Graphics Archive

              U.S. Watch/Warning Local Statements


              000
              WTNT44 KNHC 050902
              TCDAT4

              HURRICANE MATTHEW DISCUSSION NUMBER 29
              NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016
              500 AM EDT WED OCT 05 2016

              The satellite presentation of Matthew has degraded since its
              interaction with the mountains terrain of eastern Cuba with the
              eye no longer discernible in infrared satellite pictures. Data from
              the Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft show that Matthew has
              weakened slightly. The aircraft measured peak 700-mb flight-level
              winds of 118 kt and SFMR winds of 109 kt to the northeast of the
              center. Based on these data the initial wind speed has been lowered
              to 110 kt. Matthew will be moving over sea surface temperatures of
              29 to 30 degrees Celsius and the shear is expected to remain low
              during the next couple of days. These conditions should allow some
              slight restrengthening while it moves through the Bahamas.
              Increasing shear later in the forecast period is likely to cause
              gradual weakening.

              Matthew is moving northward or 350/8 kt. A northwestward turn is
              expected to occur today as the ridge to the north of Matthew builds
              westward. This should steer the hurricane through the Bahamas and
              near the east coast of Florida during the next 48 hours. After that
              time, the global models turn the hurricane northward, then
              northeastward when a ridge to the northeast of Matthew shifts
              eastward and a mid- to upper-level trough approaches the eastern
              United States. The 0000 UTC GFS has shifted slightly west of the
              previous run, and is now close to the UKMET and ECWMF tracks. The
              new NHC forecast is very similar to the previous advisory through
              72 hours, and shows a track very close to much of the east coast
              of the Florida peninsula. Only a slight deviation to the west of
              forecast track could result in landfall in Florida. The last few
              iterations of the global models have been trending toward a solution
              in which the trough is not deep enough to completely lift Matthew
              northeastward. As a result, the NHC track has been shifted
              significantly southward at day 5, but it remains well north of
              the GFS, ECMWF, and UKMET models.



              KEY MESSAGES:

              1. Matthew is likely to produce devastating impacts from storm
              surge, extreme winds, heavy rains, flash floods, and/or mudslides in
              portions of the warning areas in Haiti, Cuba, and the Bahamas.
              Please consult statements from the meteorological services and other
              government officials in those countries.

              2. When a hurricane is forecast to take a track roughly parallel
              to a coastline, as Matthew is forecast to do from Florida through
              South Carolina, it becomes very difficult to estimate impacts this
              far in advance. For example, only a small deviation of the track to
              the left of the NHC forecast could bring the core of a major
              hurricane onshore, while a small deviation to the right could keep
              all of the hurricane-force winds offshore. It will likely take
              another day or so for the potential impacts of Matthew in the United
              States to clarify.


              3. Tropical storm or hurricane conditions could affect Georgia,
              South Carolina, and North Carolina later this week or this weekend,
              even if the center of Matthew remains offshore. It is too soon to
              specify what, if any, direct impacts Matthew might have on the
              remainder of the U.S. east coast farther to the north. At a
              minimum, dangerous beach and boating conditions are likely
              along much of the U.S. east coast later this week and weekend.


              4. The National Hurricane Center is issuing Potential Storm Surge
              Flooding Maps, and Prototype Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphics for
              Matthew. It is important to remember that the Potential Storm Surge
              Flooding Map does not represent a forecast of expected inundation,
              but rather depicts a reasonable worst-case scenario - the amount of
              inundation that has a 10 percent chance of being exceeded. In
              addition, because the Flooding Map is based on inputs that extend
              out only to about 72 hours, it best represents the flooding
              potential in those locations within the watch and warning areas.


              FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

              INIT 05/0900Z 21.1N 74.6W 110 KT 125 MPH
              12H 05/1800Z 22.3N 75.3W 110 KT 125 MPH
              24H 06/0600Z 23.9N 76.6W 115 KT 130 MPH
              36H 06/1800Z 25.5N 78.2W 115 KT 130 MPH
              48H 07/0600Z 27.2N 79.5W 115 KT 130 MPH
              72H 08/0600Z 30.5N 80.2W 95 KT 110 MPH
              96H 09/0600Z 32.8N 77.0W 85 KT 100 MPH
              120H 10/0600Z 33.1N 74.0W 70 KT 80 MPH

              $$
              Forecaster Brown

              http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh.../050902.shtml?

              ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at4...daynl#contents

              "Safety and security don't just happen, they are the result of collective consensus and public investment. We owe our children, the most vulnerable citizens in our society, a life free of violence and fear."
              -Nelson Mandela

              Comment


              • #8
                | Wed Oct 5, 2016 | 10:37am EDT

                Hurricane Matthew takes aim at Bahamas, U.S. after pummeling Haiti, Cuba

                By Makini Brice and Sarah Marsh | LES CAYES, HAITI/GUANTANAMO, CUBA

                Hurricane Matthew, the fiercest Caribbean storm in almost a decade, powered toward the Bahamas and Florida early on Wednesday after battering Haiti and Cuba with torrential rains and killing at least 10 people.

                The hurricane, which the United Nations said created the worst humanitarian crisis to hit struggling Haiti since a devastating 2010 earthquake, whipped Cuba and Haiti with 140 mile-per-hour (230 kph) winds on Tuesday, pummeling towns, farmland and resorts.

                Hundreds of thousands of people were evacuated from the storm, which caused severe flooding and killed four people in the Dominican Republic as well as at least six in Haiti, the two countries that share the island of Hispaniola.
                ...
                http://www.reuters.com/article/us-st...-idUSKCN1250G2
                "Safety and security don't just happen, they are the result of collective consensus and public investment. We owe our children, the most vulnerable citizens in our society, a life free of violence and fear."
                -Nelson Mandela

                Comment


                • #9
                  Hurricane MATTHEW Public Advisory

                  Home Public Adv Fcst Adv Discussion Wind Probs Graphics Archive

                  U.S. Watch/Warning Local Statements

                  000
                  WTNT34 KNHC 051454
                  TCPAT4

                  BULLETIN
                  HURRICANE MATTHEW ADVISORY NUMBER 30
                  NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016
                  1100 AM EDT WED OCT 05 2016

                  ...POWERFUL HURRICANE MATTHEW HEADING FOR THE BAHAMAS AFTER HITTING
                  CUBA HARD...
                  ...NOAA AND AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANES SIMULTANEOUSLY
                  PENETRATE MATTHEW'S EYE...


                  SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
                  -----------------------------------------------
                  LOCATION...21.8N 75.2W
                  ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM NNE OF CABO LUCRECIA CUBA
                  ABOUT 105 MI...165 KM S OF LONG ISLAND BAHAMAS
                  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
                  PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
                  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...962 MB
                  ...28.41 INCHES


                  WATCHES AND WARNINGS
                  --------------------
                  CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

                  The Hurricane Warning has been extended northward from Sebastian
                  Inlet to the Flagler/Volusia county line.

                  The Hurricane Warning for Haiti has been changed to a Tropical
                  Storm Warning.

                  The government of the Dominican Republic has discontinued the
                  Tropical Storm Warning and Tropical Storm Watch for the Dominican
                  Republic.

                  SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

                  A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
                  * Cuban provinces of Guantanamo, Santiago de Cuba, Holguin, Granma,
                  and Las Tunas
                  * Southeastern Bahamas, including the Inaguas, Mayaguana, Acklins,
                  Crooked Island, Long Cay, and Ragged Island
                  * Central Bahamas, including Long Island, Exuma, Rum Cay,
                  San Salvador, and Cat Island
                  * Northwestern Bahamas, including the Abacos, Andros Island,
                  Berry Islands, Bimini, Eleuthera, Grand Bahama Island, and
                  New Providence
                  * North of Golden Beach to the Flagler/Volusia county line
                  * Lake Okeechobee

                  A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
                  * Cuban province of Camaguey
                  * North of the Flagler/Volusia county line to Fernandina Beach

                  A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
                  * Haiti
                  * Turks and Caicos Islands
                  * Chokoloskee to Golden Beach
                  * Florida Keys from Seven Mile Bridge eastward
                  * Florida Bay

                  Interests elsewhere in the Florida Peninsula and the Florida Keys
                  should monitor the progress of Matthew.

                  For storm information specific to your area in the United
                  States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please
                  monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service
                  forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside
                  the United States, please monitor products issued by your national
                  meteorological service.


                  DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
                  ------------------------------
                  At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Matthew was located
                  near latitude 21.8 North, longitude 75.2 West. Matthew is moving
                  toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this motion is
                  expected to continue during the next 24 to 48 hours. On this track,
                  Matthew will be moving across the Bahamas through Thursday, and is
                  expected to be very near the east coast of Florida by Thursday
                  evening.


                  Maximum sustained winds are near 120 mph (195 km/h) with higher
                  gusts. Matthew is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
                  Hurricane Wind Scale. Some strengthening is forecast during the
                  next couple of days, and Matthew is expected to remain at category
                  3 or stronger while it moves through the Bahamas and approaches the
                  east coast of Florida.

                  Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the
                  center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles
                  (280 km).
                  An unconfirmed wind gust of 155 mph (250 km/h) was
                  reported in Baracoa, Cuba, last night as the eye of Matthew passed
                  nearby.


                  The minimum central pressure reported by both Hurricane Hunter
                  planes was 962 mb (28.41 inches).


                  HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
                  ----------------------
                  WIND: Hurricane conditions will gradually diminish over portions of
                  eastern Cuba today. These conditions will continue over the
                  southeastern Bahamas, and will spread over the central Bahamas later
                  today and the northwestern Bahamas tonight.

                  Hurricane conditions are expected to first reach the hurricane
                  warning area in Florida by late Thursday and will spread northward
                  Thursday night and Friday. Tropical storm conditions are first
                  expected in Florida by early Thursday.

                  RAINFALL: Matthew is expected to produce total rainfall amounts in
                  the following areas:

                  Southern Haiti and southwestern Dominican Republic...15 to 25
                  inches, isolated 40 inches
                  Eastern Cuba and northwestern Haiti...8 to 12 inches, isolated
                  20 inches
                  Eastern Jamaica...additional 1 to 2 inches, isolated storm totals
                  12 inches
                  The Bahamas...8 to 12 inches, isolated 15 inches
                  Turks and Caicos Islands...2 to 5 inches, isolated 8 inches
                  Northeastern Haiti and the Northern Dominican Republic...1 to 3
                  inches, isolated 5 inches
                  Coastal east-central Florida....4 to 7 inches, isolated 10 inches
                  Florida Keys....1 to 3 inches, isolated 5 inches

                  Life-threatening flash floods and mudslides are likely in southern
                  and northwestern Haiti, the southwestern Dominican Republic, and
                  eastern Cuba.

                  STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and large
                  and destructive waves could raise water levels by as much as the
                  following amounts above normal tide levels...

                  Northern Coast of Cuba east of Camaguey...4 to 6 feet
                  The Bahamas...10 to 15 feet

                  The water could reach the following heights above ground if the peak
                  surge occurs at the time of high tide...

                  North Palm Beach to the Flagler/Volusia county line...3 to 5 ft

                  Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge
                  and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances.
                  Large waves generated by Matthew will cause water rises to occur
                  well in advance of and well away from the track of the center.

                  The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause
                  normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters
                  moving inland from the shoreline. There is a danger of
                  life-threatening inundation during the next 36 hours along the
                  Florida east coast from North Palm Beach to the Flagler/Volusia
                  county line. There is the possibility of life-threatening inundation
                  during the next 48 hours from north of the Flagler/Volusia county
                  line to Fernandina Beach. For a depiction of areas at risk, please
                  see the Prototype National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning
                  Graphic. For information specific to your area, please see products
                  issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office.

                  The Prototype Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic is a depiction of
                  areas that would qualify for inclusion under a storm surge watch or
                  warning currently under development by the National Weather Service
                  and planned for operational use in 2017. The Prototype Graphic is
                  available at hurricanes.gov.

                  SURF: Swells generated by Matthew will continue to affect portions
                  of the coasts of Hispaniola, eastern Cuba, and the Bahamas during
                  the next few days, and will spread northward along the east coast of
                  Florida and the southeast U.S. coast tonight and Thursday. These
                  swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
                  conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.


                  NEXT ADVISORY
                  -------------
                  Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM EDT.
                  Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT.

                  $$
                  Forecaster Avila

                  http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh.../051454.shtml?
                  "Safety and security don't just happen, they are the result of collective consensus and public investment. We owe our children, the most vulnerable citizens in our society, a life free of violence and fear."
                  -Nelson Mandela

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Gov. Scott Issues Updates on Hurricane Matthew Preparedness Efforts as Storm Approaches Florida

                    On October 5, 2016, in News Releases, by Staff





                    FT. PIERCE, Fla. ? Governor Rick Scott this morning visited the Florida State Emergency Operations Center in Tallahassee and will be in Ft. Pierce, Rockledge and Jacksonville today to meet with emergency management officials as the state prepares for Hurricane Matthew, a life-threatening category three storm. Florida remains under both tropical storm and hurricane watches. Governor Scott has remained in constant communication with state and local leaders, utility companies and sheriffs who are working to ensure the state is prepared for the storm.

                    EVACUATIONS
                    • Brevard County: Mandatory evacuations for barrier islands is at 3 pm today.
                    • Lucie County: Voluntary evacuations have begun.
                    • Flagler County: Voluntary evacuations have begun.
                    • Duval County: Voluntary evacuations have begun.

                    SHELTERS
                    • Many coastal counties are planning on opening shelters today, including shelters for people with special needs, pets and general populations. A list of all open shelters will be available athttp://floridadisaster.org/shelters/summary.htm
                    • The state is working with the American Red Cross to identify shelter capacity both during and following the storm in the potential impact areas.
                    • The state has a 110,000 meal capacity a day, which can be delivered using 24 Emergency Response Vehicles, 31 canteens, and 2 mobile trailers

                    POWER
                    • There are currently no power outages in Florida due to Hurricane Matthew.
                    • Utilities have been put on notice to be prepared to quickly report outage and restoral information once applicable. The outage reporting is expected to begin Thursday morning.
                    • Utilities are contacting their mutual aid partners to determine availability if external resources are needed to restore services.
                    • The state is monitoring the power grid for sufficient power in the state and the natural gas infrastructure for any damages that can cause a loss of service to power plants.
                    • Governor Scott spoke with utilities across the state yesterday to ensure utilities are pre-positioned and there are no unmet needs.

                    FUEL
                    • There are no current supply, distribution or retail fuel shortages or issues.
                    • The state will continue to monitor fuel assistance requests; currently there are no requests for assistance. The current fuel supply in the state will last for at least 8 days, even if all ports close.
                    • The state is working with fuel partners and suppliers to increase the number trucks moving fuel from the ports to retail locations.
                    • The state has contacted emergency fuel and equipment providers for status of emergency fuel supply and equipment.

                    SCHOOL CLOSURES
                    • The Florida Department of Education (FDOE) activated its emergency contact system for the east coast Florida school districts and colleges, and is monitoring closures made at the district and college levels.
                    • District school closures include:
                    • Brevard County ? Closed Thursday and Friday.
                    • Broward County ? Closed Thursday and Friday. Eastern Florida State College will be closed until Monday.
                    • Martin County ? There will be early dismissal today. Schools closed Thursday and Friday.
                    • Indian River County ? There will be early dismissal today. Schools closed Thursday and Friday.
                    • Okeechobee County ? Schools closed Thursday and Friday.
                    • Palm Beach County ? Closed Thursday and Friday.
                    • Lucie County ? There will be early dismissal today. Schools closed Thursday and Friday.
                    • Florida School for Deaf and Blind ? Closed today, Thursday and Friday.
                    • Universities/ college closures include:
                    • Florida Atlantic University ? Classes will be cancelled beginning at 5PM today and remain cancelled Thursday and Friday.
                    • University of North Florida ? Classes will be cancelled beginning at 3PM today and remain cancelled Thursday and Friday.

                    GOVERNMENT CLOSURES
                    • DCF offices in Brevard County are closing as of noon today due to mandatory coastal evacuations. They will also be closed Thursday and Friday per Brevard County.

                    MILITARY SUPPORT
                    • Today, the Governor activated 300 Florida National Guard members who will be staging across the state. This is in addition to the approximately 200 members of the National Guard activated yesterday to support hurricane preparedness and response.
                    • In addition to this, Florida has over 6,000 National Guard members ready to be deployed if needed.
                    • The National Guard will be focused on staging to perform search and rescue efforts as well as providing reconnaissance teams, equipment such as high wheeled vehicles security, and staffing and planning support to assist counties as needed.
                    LAW ENFORCEMENT, FIRE FIGHTING AND SEARCH & RESCUE
                    • The Florida Department of Law Enforcement (FDLE), the Florida Fish and Wildlife Conservation Commission (FWC), the Department of Highway Safety and Motor Vehicles (DHSMV), and other partnering agencies are identifying resources for deployment if necessary to respond to the storm and are preparing to assist with evacuations.
                    • FWC has two advance reconnaissance teams actively deploying from Ocala with equipment to move debris from water access points in order to assist search and rescue missions. Additionally, FWC?s teams will be partnered with 164 field personnel that are on standby to provide humanitarian aid when needed.
                    • The Florida Highway Patrol (FHP) has made contact with local troops in preparation for supporting evacuations in the major corridors, from south to north and east to west. FHP has also placed all troops on alert and has ten 33-member quick response force teams, for a total of 330 troopers on standby for deployment.
                    • State Emergency Response Plan (SERP) Coordinator and Regional Coordinators have been notified so staffers and resources can be prepared for deployment.
                    • 60 Bureau of Fire and Arson Investigations (Department of Financial Services), Florida Fish and Wildlife Special Operations Group boat teams, and members of the Florida National Guard are staging at Florida State Fire College in Ocala tomorrow in preparation for deployment to perform search and rescue missions.
                    • Five Urban Search and Rescue Task Force teams will be available to assist with search and rescue based on the current track of the storm.
                    • State firefighting representative are working with DOH to assist with tracking and patient movement if needed.
                    • Consulting with federal partners to identify any assets that may be needed as state assets become committed during response activities.

                    PUBLIC HEALTH AND MEDICAL
                    • DOH is working with healthcare facilities on potential evacuations and preparing for storm impacts.
                    • DOH is also standing by to monitor and support special needs shelter activations.
                    • The state is preparing personnel for deployment to help analyze the impacts to vulnerable populations in counties affected by the storm.

                    TRANSPORTATION & PUBLIC WORKS
                    • The state has held teleconferences with the Florida Department of Transportation (FDOT) districts and agency partners ? Army Corps of Engineers, Water Management Districts, Civil Air Patrol and Federal Highway Administration to ensure all infrastructure needs are met.
                    • FDOT halted construction work on all FDOT projects on Interstates, Limited Access facilities, coastal and evacuation route roadways effective immediately in preparation for the approaching Hurricane Matthew. Contractors are being instructed to secure all equipment and open travel lanes by removing all unnecessary barricades, signs and drums.
                    • FDOT District offices have placed emergency crews on standby, and are continuing to test and inventory equipment and monitor flood prone areas. FDOT will continue to reach out to county emergency operations centers directly to coordinate any necessary response actions including activating traffic counters, providing local evacuation support and providing maintenance of traffic and other assistance.
                    • FDOT is coordinating with the U.S. Coast Guard to lock down Intracoastal Waterway bridges along the eastern Florida coast prior to sustained winds of 40 mph. Intracoastal bridges in Palm Beach County will be locked down by 8 p.m. Wednesday.
                    • Drawbridges along the Miami River and the Intracoastal Waterway in Miami-Dade County will be locked down beginning at 8 p.m. on Wednesday. During lock-down, the bridge is closed, power turned off and the traffic arms may be removed. Closure of bridges on the Intracoastal Waterway (ICWW) will begin at 12:01 a.m. Thursday morning.
                    • Additional road and bridge closure information can be found at www.fl511.com.
                    • Florida Highway Patrol traffic incidents by region can be found here.
                    • The Florida Turnpike Enterprise has ensured service plazas along the Florida Turnpike have Road Rangers and fuel. Additional fuel, Road Rangers and resources such as variable message boards to guide evacuees are on standby. If evacuation orders are given, the Florida Turnpike Enterprise is prepared to suspend tolls.
                    • Army Corps of Engineers and Water Management Districts are monitoring waterways and are prepared to adjust flows as necessary.
                    • FDOT is monitoring live traffic counters in South Florida, Central Florida, and along the East Coast of Florida.

                    HUMAN SERVICES
                    Resources and Supplies
                    • Department of Business and Professional Regulation (DBPR), Department of Agriculture and Consumer Services (DACS) and DEM Logistics are running projection models for human-service?s needs (food and sheltering) based on major hurricane impacts to Miami Dade County to Duval County, and Seminole County to Nassau County.
                    • DACS is inventorying school food supplies in schools and state warehouses.
                    • The state is contacting potential vendors for quotes on baby needs and other items.
                    • Food Safety Assessment teams on standby to monitor power outages and flooding to ensure safety at food establishments

                    Volunteer Organizations
                    • The state is establishing local points of contact with mass care organizations and volunteer agencies for potentially impacted counties.
                    • The state is working with Volunteers and Donation agencies to identify available volunteers through Florida Voluntary Organizations Active in Disaster (VOAD) and AmeriCorps to staff shelters if needed. Thirty-nine AmeriCorps teams statewide are on call for anticipated response to Hurricane Matthew. Volunteer Florida grantee Literacy Coalition of Palm Beach is deploying AmeriCorps today to the Palm Beach County EOC and Special Needs Shelter. Community Emergency Response Teams (CERT) are also available.
                    • The state is assessing available housing for responders and volunteers.
                      Volunteer Florida is identifying fixed kitchens from potentially impacted counties in anticipation of feeding needs.

                    Agency for Persons with Disabilities (APD)
                    • APD is communicating regularly with staff, providers, waiver support coordinators, and stakeholders about the hurricane and preparedness measures.
                    • All group homes and individuals in Supported Living have their own disaster plans.
                    • Regional Residential Planning Coordinators are assessing all available open beds in group homes statewide in case they are needed during or after the storm. Supported Living Coaches are checking on their customers in independent living to ensure they are safe and prepared. If someone needs to go to a group home during the storm, APD will authorize Respite and pay for the service.
                    • Mutual Aid support from non-affected Regional Offices have been identified to support Regional Offices that may be impacted by the hurricane.

                    Florida Department of Veterans? Affairs (FDVA)
                    • Three of the state veterans? nursing homes operated by the FDVA are on the east coast of Florida.
                    • All of these facilities have permanent generators and administrators are working to ensure staff and supplies are available for residents
                      .
                    BUSINESS, INDUSTRY, & ECONOMIC STABILIZATION
                    • The Florida Department of Economic Opportunity (DEO) and DEM have activated the Florida Virtual Business Emergency Operations Center (FLVBEOC) to help identify and alleviate unmet needs between businesses and response partners. They are also working with businesses to make sure they have what they need to prepare for the storm.
                    • The state has activated the Private Sector Hotline at 850-410-1403. The hotline is available for business inquiries about the storm, preparedness information and post-impact information from 7:00 AM to 7:00 PM ET.
                    • VISIT FLORIDA stands ready to activate the Emergency Accommodations Module to keep visitors informed if major evacuations are ordered.
                    • VISIT FLORIDA will also with local tourism partners to collect and share information regarding the open status for major retailers and hotels. More information can be found HERE.

                    TELECOMMUNICATIONS
                    • The Department of Management Services? Division of Telecommunications is currently monitoring telecommunication services to ensure first responders, residents and visitors are able to communicate response and recovery needs.
                    • The division is working with DEM to provide consistent communication services for the state emergency response team.
                    • The division is working with telecommunications partners on proactive and protective measures to prepare equipment, facilities and response personnel for Hurricane Matthew, as well as encouraging partners to report any communications outages or affects.
                    • The state is coordinating with state, federal and industry partners, and is prepared to help assess impacts to telecommunications facilities and infrastructure following the storm. The state is also monitoring fuel assistance requests; currently there are no requests for assistance

                    SEAPORTS
                    • The state is monitoring conditions at the following seaports and all are still open:
                      • Duval ? JAXPORT (*Seaport Access Restricted)
                      • Nassau ? Port of Fernandina (*Seaport Access Restricted)
                      • Broward ? Port Everglades (*Seaport Access Restricted)
                      • Palm Beach ? Port of Palm Beach (*Seaport Access Restricted)
                      • Saint Lucie ? Port of Ft. Pierce (*Seaport Access Restricted)
                      • Brevard ? Port Canaveral (*Seaport Access Restricted)
                      • Miami-Dade ? Port Miami (*Seaport Access Restricted)
                      • Monroe ? Port of Key West

                    U.S. ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS (USACE)
                    • Routine inspections of the Herbert Hoover Dike are taking place and additional inspections will begin once the lake exceeds 17 feet. The lake level is currently at 15.86 feet.
                    • Discharges from Lake Okeechobee are currently being maintained at current targets (West: 4,000 cubic feet per second / East: 1,800 cubic feet per second).
                    • Working with Water Management Districts to monitor waterways; prepared to adjust flows as necessary.
                    • USACE maximizing releases from Lake Okeechobee.

                    SOUTH FLORIDA WATER MANAGEMENT DISTRICT (SFWMD)
                    • SFWMD has elevated its readiness condition to Condition 3. Condition 3 readiness actions include the following:
                    • Upper East Coast: Water managers are gradually lowering canals.

                    Field Station readiness actions include the following:
                    • Inspecting key parts of the flood control system and critical flood control structures.
                    • Inspecting canals and levees for any obstructions.
                    • Inspecting heavy equipment.
                    • Ensuring adequate fuel supplies for pump stations and other equipment.
                    • Securing items vulnerable to high wind at pump stations and laydown yards in Homestead, Miami, Ft. Lauderdale and West Palm Beach.

                    ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION
                    • The Florida Department of Environmental Protection completed all pre-storm beach erosion surveys.
                    • DEP has activated FLWARN is are ready to deploy generators to water treatment plants if needed.
                    • Household Hazardous Waste debris and drop off sites have been established in all 67 counties
                    • Partial State Park Closures:
                    • Tomoka campground
                    • Gamble Rogers campground
                    • Anastasia campground
                    • Faver Dykes
                    • Hontoon Island campground
                    • Kissimmee Prairie campground
                    • Cross Fl Greenway (east) Rodman campground
                    • Fort Clinch State Park
                    • Little Talbot Island State Park
                    • Johnathon Dickinson State Park
                    • John Pennekamp Coral Reef State Park
                    • Long Key State Park
                    • Curry Hammock State Park
                    • Bahia Honda State Park
                    • Full State Park Closures:
                    • Sebastian Inlet State Park
                    • Okeechobee Battlefield State Park
                    • Avalon State Park
                    • Pierce Inlet State Park
                    • Jack Island State Park
                    • Savannahs State Park
                    • Lucie Inlet State Park

                    CONTACTS:
                    • The Florida Emergency Information Line (FEIL) has activated and can be reached at 1 (800) 342-3557.
                    • State Emergency Operations Center Media Line: 850-921-0217.
                    • Follow @FLSert or @FLGovScott on Twitter for live updates on Hurricane Matthew.
                    • Visit http://www.floridadisaster.org/info to find information on shelters, road closures, and evacuation routes.

                    ###

                    http://www.flgov.com/2016/10/05/47411/


                    "Safety and security don't just happen, they are the result of collective consensus and public investment. We owe our children, the most vulnerable citizens in our society, a life free of violence and fear."
                    -Nelson Mandela

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      GOV. SCOTT: DIRECTING SUSPENSION OF TOLLS; NATIONAL GUARD DEPLOYMENTS

                      On October 5, 2016, in News Releases, by Staff




                      FT. LUCIE, Fla. ? Today, Governor Scott directed the Florida Department of Transportation to suspend tolls in counties where there are evacuations. Governor Scott activated the National Guard on Monday and today directed members to be stationed in North, Central and South Florida so they can be mobilized immediately. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) has labeled Hurricane Matthew as an extremely dangerous and powerful storm. Florida is expected to feel impacts beginning Thursday and lasting through the weekend.
                      Governor Rick Scott said, ?Evacuations have started to be ordered this morning and I expect more counties to order evacuations soon. This is a dangerous storm and it is never too early to evacuate. If you live in a low lying area, on a barrier island, or in an area prone to flooding, you need to make plans to leave now. Protecting life and moving people to safety remains our top priority and today I directed the Florida Department of Transportation to suspend tolls as needed to keep traffic flowing. If there is an evacuation order in a county, all tolls will be suspended in that county.
                      ?I have activated 500 National Guard members across the state. Per my direction, they are currently stationed in North, Central and South Florida so they can be mobilized immediately. In addition to this, we have over 6,000 National Guard members ready to be activated if needed. The National Guard will be focused on staging to perform search and rescue efforts and will be ready to assist our counties as they need it. I have directed the Florida Fish and Wildlife Conservation Commission (FWC) to preposition high-water vehicles and have search and rescue teams on standby throughout the state.
                      ?This morning, I directed state personnel to deploy to every eastern coastal county to help assist with preparation, recovery and response efforts. The state also has water, food, and other lifesaving materials stationed in North Florida, Central Florida and South Florida. These resources will be able to be deployed to affected communities immediately.
                      ?Shelters will begin to open today and tomorrow for special needs populations, pets and general populations. The American Red Cross will also be opening 97 shelters across the state over the next two days. There is absolutely no reason not to evacuate and there is shelter available for anyone in our state.?
                      As of this afternoon, Florida is under significant tropical storm and hurricane watches and warnings. A tropical storm watch extends from the Seven Mile Bridge in the Florida Keys eastward and Florida Bay. A hurricane watch extends from the Flagler/Volusia County line north to the Florida/Georgia line. A hurricane warning extends from Golden Beach to the Flagler/Volusia County line and includes Lake Okeechobee.
                      The National Hurricane Center reports that Hurricane Matthew is a major Category 3 hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 120 miles per hour. Matthew is currently moving Northwest at 12 miles per hour.
                      Based on the current forecast, the state?s entire east coast from Monroe to Nassau County will experience tropical storm or hurricane force winds, beach erosion, rip currents and heavy rain. On Monday, Governor Scott signed an Executive Order declaring a State of Emergency in every Florida county to ensure resources for evacuations, sheltering and other logistical needs across our state are readily available.
                      ***
                      The Florida Division of Emergency Management is the state agency charged with preparing for all types of disasters in Florida. The Division is the state?s disaster liaison with federal and local agencies, and is the lead consequence management agency for the State Emergency Response Team (SERT). The Division maintains the State Emergency Operations Center (SEOC) in Tallahassee and the State Watch Office, the 24-hour communications and command center for response coordination. Follow the Division on social media at facebook.com/FloridaSERT or on Twitter @FLSERT.

                      "Safety and security don't just happen, they are the result of collective consensus and public investment. We owe our children, the most vulnerable citizens in our society, a life free of violence and fear."
                      -Nelson Mandela

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        FEMA Urges Residents to Take Evacuation Orders Seriously Ahead of Hurricane Matthew

                        Release date:
                        October 5, 2016


                        Release Number:
                        HQ-16-072


                        WASHINGTON ? As evacuations begin today in some coastal counties, with more likely to follow, the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) is urging residents to listen closely to state and local officials? guidance and to take seriously any directions to evacuate.
                        FEMA is working with its federal and state partners at the Regional Response Coordination Centers in Atlanta and Philadelphia to help coordinate any requests for assistance from states potentially affected by Hurricane Matthew.
                        According to the National Weather Service, Hurricane Matthew is moving northward with sustained winds of 125 miles per hour through the northern Caribbean, and it could impact Florida and the U.S. East Coast this week. Hurricane and tropical storm watches and warnings have been issued for Florida's coastline. Heavy rain between four to ten inches, winds and significant wave heights are expected to impact the Florida Keys, coastal Southeast and the Carolinas beginning on Thursday through the weekend. Evacuations for some coastal counties are beginning today.
                        ?Residents and visitors should take evacuation orders seriously and heed the directions of state, local and tribal officials,? said FEMA Administrator W. Craig Fugate. ?This is a major hurricane that has the potential to cause significant harm to life and property. If instructed to evacuate, don?t wait for the next forecast, evacuate.?
                        FEMA liaisons are deployed to the state emergency operation centers in Florida, Georgia, North Carolina and South Carolina to assist state responses, as needed in advance of the storm. FEMA stands ready to assist additional states and tribes, as needed and requested.
                        FEMA Incident Management Assistance Teams (IMAT) are deployed to emergency operations centers (EOC) in Florida and North Carolina. Additional IMATs are scheduled to arrive at the EOCs in South Carolina and Virginia today to support preparation activities and ensure there are no unmet needs. Additional teams from around the country are ready to deploy to affected states and tribes as necessary.
                        Four Incident Support Bases have been identified in Georgia, North Carolina, New Jersey, and Massachusetts, to pre-position commodities and resources closer to potentially affected areas.
                        Shelters are beginning to open across the potentially impacted states. Download the FEMA mobile app for disaster resources, weather alerts, and safety tips, in English and in Spanish. The app provides a customizable checklist of emergency supplies, maps of open shelters and recovery centers, disaster survival tips, and weather alerts from the National Weather Service. The app also enables users to receive push notifications reminding them to take important steps to prepare their homes and families for disasters.

                        Safety and Preparedness Tips
                        Hurricane Matthew has potential for life-threatening rain, wind and storm surge. Those in potentially affected areas should be familiar with evacuation routes, have a communications plan, keep a battery-powered radio handy and have a plan for their pets.
                        Individuals should visit www.ready.gov or www.listo.gov to learn these and other preparedness tips for tropical storms or hurricanes. If the storm is expected to affect your area, know your evacuation zone and follow the direction of local or tribal officials if an evacuation is ordered for your area.
                        If you will be evacuating, contact family and friends to let them know you are leaving and where you?re going; and take your pets with you or pre-identify a pet-friendly safe location like a pet friendly hotel or shelter.
                        Create a household inventory: For insurance purposes, be sure to keep a written and visual (i.e., videotaped or photographed) record of all major household items and valuables, even those stored in basements, attics or garages. Create files that include serial numbers and store receipts for major appliances and electronics. Have jewelry and artwork appraised. These documents are critically important when filing insurance claims.
                        Other steps to take right now to protect property are:
                        • Make sure your sump pump is working, and then install a battery-operated backup, in case of a power failure. If you already have a battery backup, install fresh batteries. Installing a water alarm will also let you know if water is accumulating in your basement.
                        • Clear debris from gutters and downspouts. Clear storm drains in the street or near your home of leaves and debris.
                        • Move electronics, valuables, and important documents to a safe place.
                        • Roll up area rugs, where possible, and store them on higher floors or elevations. This will reduce the chances of rugs getting wet and growing mold.
                        • Shut off electrical service at the main breaker if the electrical system and outlets will be under water.
                        • If you incur expenses due to protecting your home in preparation for coming storms and flooding ? such as purchasing sandbags ? you may be able to file a claim against your National Flood Insurance Program flood policy for reimbursement. Call your insurance agent to discuss your coverage and learn more.
                        There is the potential for flooding with this storm. Driving through a flooded area can be extremely hazardous and almost half of all flash flood deaths happen in vehicles. When in your car, look out for flooding in low lying areas, at bridges and at highway dips. As little as six inches of water may cause you to lose control of your vehicle. If you encounter flood waters, remember ? turn around, don?t drown.
                        Get to know the terms that are used to identify severe weather and discuss with your family what to do if a watch or warning is issued:
                        For a hurricane:
                        • A Hurricane Watch is issued when a tropical cyclone containing winds of at least 74 MPH poses a possible threat, generally within 48 hours.
                        • A Hurricane Warning is issued when sustained winds of 74 MPH or higher associated with a tropical cyclone are expected in 36 hours or less. A hurricane warning can remain in effect when dangerously high water or a combination of dangerously high water and exceptionally high waves continue, even though winds may be less than hurricane force.
                        For a tropical storm:
                        • A Tropical Storm Watch is issued when tropical cyclone containing winds of at least 39 MPH or higher poses a possible threat, generally within 48 hours.
                        • A Tropical Storm Warning is issued when sustained winds of 39 MPH or higher associated with a tropical cyclone are expected in 36 hours or less.
                        For flooding:
                        • A Flood Watch is issued when conditions are favorable for flooding.
                        • A Flood Warning is issued when flooding is imminent or occurring.
                        To learn more about what to do before, during and after severe weather, visit www.Ready.gov.

                        https://www.fema.gov/news-release/20...head-hurricane






                        "Safety and security don't just happen, they are the result of collective consensus and public investment. We owe our children, the most vulnerable citizens in our society, a life free of violence and fear."
                        -Nelson Mandela

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Hurricane MATTHEW Public Advisory


                          000
                          WTNT34 KNHC 052038
                          TCPAT4

                          BULLETIN
                          HURRICANE MATTHEW ADVISORY NUMBER 31
                          NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016
                          500 PM EDT WED OCT 05 2016

                          ...SEVERE HURRICANE MATTHEW ON ITS WAY TO THE BAHAMAS AND FLORIDA...


                          SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
                          ----------------------------------------------
                          LOCATION...22.5N 75.7W
                          ABOUT 205 MI...325 KM SSE OF NASSAU
                          ABOUT 400 MI...645 KM SE OF WEST PALM BEACH FLORIDA
                          MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
                          PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
                          MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...963 MB...28.44 INCHES


                          WATCHES AND WARNINGS
                          --------------------
                          CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

                          The Hurricane Watch has been extended northward from Fernandina
                          Beach to Savannah River.

                          A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for the Florida Gulf Coast
                          from north of Chokoloskee to Suwannee River.

                          The Government of Cuba has discontinued the Hurricane Watches and
                          Warnings for Cuba.

                          The Tropical Storm Warning for Haiti has been discontinued.

                          SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

                          A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
                          * Southeastern Bahamas, including the Inaguas, Mayaguana, Acklins,
                          Crooked Island, Long Cay, and Ragged Island
                          * Central Bahamas, including Long Island, Exuma, Rum Cay,
                          San Salvador, and Cat Island
                          * Northwestern Bahamas, including the Abacos, Andros Island,
                          Berry Islands, Bimini, Eleuthera, Grand Bahama Island, and
                          New Providence
                          * North of Golden Beach to the Flagler/Volusia county line
                          * Lake Okeechobee

                          A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
                          * North of the Flagler/Volusia county line to Savannah River

                          A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
                          * Chokoloskee to Golden Beach
                          * Florida Keys from Seven Mile Bridge eastward
                          * Florida Bay

                          A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
                          * North of Chokoloskee to Suwannee River

                          A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
                          within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours
                          before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force
                          winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
                          dangerous.

                          A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
                          possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

                          Interests elsewhere in the Florida Peninsula, the Florida Keys, and
                          in the Carolinas should monitor the progress of Matthew.

                          For storm information specific to your area in the United States,
                          including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor
                          products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
                          office. For storm information specific to your area outside the
                          United States, please monitor products issued by your national
                          meteorological service.


                          DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
                          ------------------------------
                          At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Matthew was located
                          near latitude 22.5 North, longitude 75.7 West. Matthew is moving
                          toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this motion is
                          expected to continue during the next 24 to 48 hours. On this track,
                          Matthew will be moving across the Bahamas tonight and tomorrow,
                          and is expected to be very near the east coast of Florida by
                          tomorrow night.


                          Some strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days, and
                          Matthew is expected to remain at category 3 or stronger while it
                          moves through the Bahamas and approaches the east coast of
                          Florida.


                          Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the
                          center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles
                          (280 km).
                          Ragged Island in the Bahamas recently reported sustained
                          winds of 58 mph (93 km/h), and a minimum pressure of 985 mb (29.09
                          inches).

                          The estimated minimum central pressure is 963 mb (28.44 inches).


                          HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
                          ----------------------
                          WIND: Hurricane conditions will continue over the central Bahamas
                          and spread into the northwestern Bahamas tonight and Thursday.
                          Winds will gradually diminish over the southeastern Bahamas tonight.

                          Hurricane conditions are expected to first reach the hurricane
                          warning area in Florida by late Thursday and will spread northward
                          Thursday night and Friday. Tropical storm conditions are first
                          expected in Florida by early Thursday.


                          Hurricane conditions are possible in the hurricane watch area in
                          Florida and Georgia by late Friday, with tropical storm conditions
                          possible on Friday.

                          Tropical storm conditions are possible in the tropical storm watch
                          area on the Florida Gulf Coast on Thursday.

                          Wind gusts to tropical storm force are still possible along the
                          north coast of central and eastern Cuba through this evening.

                          RAINFALL: Matthew is expected to produce total rainfall amounts in
                          the following areas:

                          Eastern Cuba...8 to 12 inches, isolated 20 inches
                          Central Cuba...3 to 5 inches, isolated 8 inches
                          Western Haiti...additional 2 to 4 inches, isolated storm totals of
                          40 inches
                          The Bahamas...8 to 12 inches, isolated 15 inches
                          Turks and Caicos Islands...2 to 5 inches, isolated 8 inches
                          Northeastern Haiti and the Northern Dominican Republic...1 to 3
                          inches, isolated 5 inches
                          Coastal eastern Florida....4 to 7 inches, isolated 10 inches
                          Florida Keys....1 to 3 inches, isolated 5 inches

                          Life-threatening flash floods and mudslides are likely in southern
                          and northwestern Haiti and central and eastern Cuba.

                          Rainfall will diminish across Jamaica and the Dominican Republic
                          this evening.

                          STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and large
                          and destructive waves could raise water levels by as much as the
                          following amounts above normal tide levels...

                          Northern Coast of Cuba east of Camaguey...4 to 6 feet
                          The Bahamas...10 to 15 feet

                          The water could reach the following heights above ground if the peak
                          surge occurs at the time of high tide...

                          Sebastian Inlet to Savannah River...5 to 8 ft
                          Deerfield Beach to Sebastian Inlet...3 to 5 ft
                          Virginia Key to Deerfield Beach...1 to 2 ft

                          Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge
                          and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances.
                          Large waves generated by Matthew will cause water rises to occur
                          well in advance of and well away from the track of the center.

                          The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause
                          normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters
                          moving inland from the shoreline. There is a danger of life-
                          threatening inundation during the next 36 hours along the Florida
                          east coast from Deerfield Beach to the Flagler/Volusia county line.

                          There is the possibility of life-threatening inundation during the
                          next 48 hours from north of the Flagler/Volusia county line to
                          Savannah River. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the
                          Prototype National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning
                          Graphic. For information specific to your area, please see products
                          issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office.

                          The Prototype Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic is a depiction of
                          areas that would qualify for inclusion under a storm surge watch or
                          warning currently under development by the National Weather Service
                          and planned for operational use in 2017. The Prototype Graphic is
                          available at hurricanes.gov.

                          SURF: Swells generated by Matthew will continue to affect portions
                          of the north coast of Cuba and the Bahamas during the next few days,
                          and will spread northward along the east coast of Florida and the
                          southeast U.S. coast tonight and Thursday and continue into the
                          weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and
                          rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local
                          weather office.


                          NEXT ADVISORY
                          -------------
                          Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM EDT.
                          Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT.

                          $$
                          Forecaster Avila

                          http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh.../052038.shtml?

                          ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                          Hurricane MATTHEW Forecast Discussion


                          000
                          WTNT44 KNHC 052040
                          TCDAT4

                          HURRICANE MATTHEW DISCUSSION NUMBER 31
                          NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016
                          500 PM EDT WED OCT 05 2016

                          Data from an Air Force Hurricane Hunter plane a couple of hours ago
                          indicated that the structure of Matthew had not changed very much,
                          and the initial intensity remains at 105 kt. Another Hurricane
                          Hunter plane will be in the eye soon. The environment continues to
                          be favorable for Matthew to restrengthen while it approaches the
                          the east coast of Florida during the next day or so. After that
                          time, the shear is forecast to increase significantly, resulting in
                          gradual weakening of the hurricane.

                          Satellite images indicate that Matthew is moving toward the
                          northwest or 325 degrees at about 10 kt. The subtropical ridge over
                          the western Atlantic is still strong, and the flow pattern around
                          this ridge should continue to steer the hurricane toward the
                          northwest during the next day or two with no significant change in
                          forward speed. After that time, the ridge will shift eastward,
                          allowing Matthew to move northward very near or over the north
                          Florida east coast, and then near or to the east of the Georgia and
                          South Carolina coasts. By the end of the forecast period, models
                          diverge considerably, with the GFS moving the cyclone southwestward
                          toward land, and the ECMWF keeping Matthew over the Atlantic a good
                          distance from the coast. The NHC forecast keeps Matthew over water
                          in the middle of these two model solutions.

                          KEY MESSAGES:

                          1. Matthew is likely to produce devastating impacts from storm
                          surge, extreme winds, and heavy rains in the Bahamas. Please
                          consult statements from the meteorological service and other
                          government officials in that country.

                          2. When a hurricane is forecast to take a track roughly parallel
                          to a coastline, as Matthew is forecast to do from Florida through
                          South Carolina, it becomes very difficult to specify impacts at
                          any one location. For example, only a small deviation of the track
                          to the left of the NHC forecast could bring the core of a major
                          hurricane onshore within the hurricane warning area in Florida.
                          However, a small deviation to the right could keep the hurricane-
                          force winds offshore. Similarly large variations in impacts are
                          possible in the hurricane watch area in northern Florida and
                          Georgia.

                          3. Tropical storm or hurricane conditions could affect South
                          Carolina and North Carolina later this week or this weekend, even if
                          the center of Matthew remains offshore. It is too soon to determine
                          what, if any, land areas might be directly affected by Matthew next
                          week. At a minimum, dangerous beach and boating conditions are
                          likely along much of the U.S. east coast during the next several
                          days.

                          4. The National Hurricane Center is issuing Potential Storm Surge
                          Flooding Maps, and Prototype Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphics for
                          Matthew. It is important to remember that the Potential Storm Surge
                          Flooding Map does not represent a forecast of expected inundation,
                          but rather depicts a reasonable worst-case scenario - the amount of
                          inundation that has a 10 percent chance of being exceeded. In
                          addition, because the Flooding Map is based on inputs that extend
                          out only to about 72 hours, it best represents the flooding
                          potential in those locations within the watch and warning areas in
                          Florida and Georgia.

                          FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

                          INIT 05/2100Z 22.5N 75.7W 105 KT 120 MPH
                          12H 06/0600Z 24.0N 76.9W 110 KT 125 MPH
                          24H 06/1800Z 25.6N 78.5W 115 KT 130 MPH
                          36H 07/0600Z 27.2N 79.8W 115 KT 130 MPH
                          48H 07/1800Z 29.0N 80.8W 115 KT 130 MPH
                          72H 08/1800Z 32.0N 79.5W 90 KT 105 MPH
                          96H 09/1800Z 32.6N 76.4W 80 KT 90 MPH
                          120H 10/1800Z 30.0N 74.0W 65 KT 75 MPH

                          $$
                          Forecaster Avila

                          http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh.../052040.shtml?
                          "Safety and security don't just happen, they are the result of collective consensus and public investment. We owe our children, the most vulnerable citizens in our society, a life free of violence and fear."
                          -Nelson Mandela

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            GOVERNOR SCOTT DIRECTS STATE OFFICE CLOSURES IN 26 COUNTIES

                            On October 5, 2016, in News Releases, by Staff




                            BREVARD COUNTY, Fla. ? Today, Governor Rick Scott directed state offices to be closed on Thursday and Friday in the following counties:
                            Baker, Brevard, Broward, Clay, Duval, Flagler, Glades, Hendry, Highlands, Indian River, Lake, Marion, Martin, Miami-Dade, Monroe, Nassau, Okeechobee, Orange, Osceola, Palm Beach, Polk, Putnam, Seminole, St. Johns, St. Lucie and Volusia.
                            Governor Rick Scott said, ?I am directing all state offices in 26 counties to be closed so people who work there can stay home and prepare for this storm. I encourage everyone to prepare their homes, check on family and friends and evacuate if in an evacuation zone. This storm is deadly and everyone has to take this seriously.?

                            "Safety and security don't just happen, they are the result of collective consensus and public investment. We owe our children, the most vulnerable citizens in our society, a life free of violence and fear."
                            -Nelson Mandela

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                            • #15
                              This person has a really interesting site. Hat tip to Michael Coston:


                              http://www.spaghettimodels.com/


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