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China - Pork imports reach near record historical level in 2016 through July - prices may have peaked - September 12, 2016

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  • China - Pork imports reach near record historical level in 2016 through July - prices may have peaked - September 12, 2016

    Retail pork price has peaked Mo hasty admission

    Beijing Sina (2016-09-12 04:00)   Increased slaughtering of pork is the main factor in the recent price declines. Slaughtering volume growth, increased market supply, the price of pork to directly put downward pressure
      Round of pork price "bull market" may be coming to an end, to refrain from hasty retail admission, should come up with big "bull" earn dividends, as soon as possible to improve the level of automation, reduce farming costs
      Nongye Bu monitoring data show, September 9 national agricultural wholesale market per kilogram of pork average price of 25.02 yuan, down 6.27 yuan more than the first two weeks of June 31.29 yuan. "After mid-June, pork prices began to fall, but we all thought the flood after the price will go up, can I still have not gone up." Pig herds 5000 Hubei Qichun vibration agricultural industrial company group chairman Hu Zheng accepted "Economic Daily" said in an interview with reporters.
      September 9, Beijing emerging market average wholesale price of pig IOUs 21.3 yuan per kg, down 2.74 percent over September 2nd. Liu Tong Beijing new hair to agricultural products wholesale market manager for the Department of Statistics, in varying degrees across the country pork price fall because of ample supply.
      Moreover, Nong Yebu above designated size enterprises slaughtering pig slaughtering data show that in July of hog slaughter was 15.1018 million, growth of 5.1%, an increase of 1.2%. "The main factor is the increase in the recent slaughter of pork prices fell. Slaughtering volume growth, increasing market supply, directly bring downward pressure on the price of pork." Nong Yebu market early warning analysis division, China Agricultural Information Agricultural Sciences , Institute of International and Information Studies Associate Professor room Zhuzeng Yong said.
      An adequate supply of live pigs at home and abroad but also because the price disparities, stimulate substantial growth of pork imports. Customs data show that in July, China imported 309,700 tons of pig products, an increase of 145.3%. Period, pork accounted for 183,400 tons, an increase of 209.4 percent, close to the highest level in history. The first seven months of this year, pork imports 945,700 tons, an increase of 149.4%, compared with 2015 annual import volume should be higher than 21.6%.
      ", The new hair to pork prices always run since March 2015 in the same period last year on higher prices this year in July, the new hair striped pigs weighted average price of 22 yuan per kilogram, down from 24.36 yuan in June 9.93% than the same period of 2015 22.5 yuan per kg fell 2.49%. after last up to a year, new hair to pork prices finally dropped below the price a year earlier. "Liu Tong believes that the shortage of pork supply period is over, the overall situation has been transformed into the tight loose.
      In fact, as early as last September, the price of pork has already peaked. After more than 20 weeks rose continuously after the second week of September last year, Guangdong, Fujian, Zhejiang and other southern provinces kingpin hog prices have declined, driven Heilongjiang, Jilin, Shandong, Henan and other major producing provinces of the pork price fell.
      However, the more experienced after strong cold winter weather, Hubei, Henan and other provinces in the main producing farms newborn piglets death of large areas. Resulting in a shortage of supply of pork, pork price to re-take the lead "cow." This spring the weather gets warmer, the piglet survival rate returned to normal, gradually adequate supply of pork, pork price fell back on course passage. "Strong cold weather has ended six months, from fattening pigs slaughter takes about six months, the current listing of all pigs born after strong cold weather from seasonal fluctuations in the price of pork law point of view, early August striped pigs prices are high stage, the next few months is difficult to break. the price of meat into the downstream passage is not in doubt. "Liu Tong said.
      "From the import side, China's imports of pig products can be expected to remain substantial growth year on year, which would inhibit hog prices." Zhuzeng Yong said.
      There are indications that the current round of pork price "bull market" may be coming to an end, retail refrain from hasty admission. You should come up with big "bull" earn dividends, as soon as possible to improve the level of automation, reduce farming costs, curbing international cheap pork sharply to seize the market. (Economic Daily News reporter Huang Junyi)



    zhttp://news.sina.com.tw/article/20160912/18615929.html
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