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Canada's Conference Board -- 5% Dead

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  • Canada's Conference Board -- 5% Dead

    GR: This is free if you want to register online and download it.
    It has nothing new to add but for the fact that a "reputable" outfit, unlike the screaming neenies we are portrayed to be, says the same **** thing...5% dead and fast drop into economic depression. BFD.


    GR: The real news is that Julie Gerberding at CDC observes (stupidly..so what's new) a 50% mortality rate among those identified as having bird flu (possibly referring to those who are hospitalized), which would translate into 30% of the pop infected and 1/2 of those dying...= 15 % dead, which is three times what the Conference Board of Canada predicts.

    GR: As a further heads up, not a soul at the MN National Summit last week expected any percentage higher than 5% mortality. So, I walked away from it with the impression that they were all dreamers and they were not going to solution the pandemic as I envision its more severe case, a probability for which there is no planning occuring whatsoever. It was like a group of school children on assignment analyzing what to do in a rainstorm, whilst outside, the tornado was heading right for the classroom and building. What a joke.




    Flu pandemic would kill 1 in 20 Canadians
    Think-tank report warns country ill-prepared

    James Gordon, The Ottawa Citizen

    Published: Tuesday, February 21, 2006

    An "imminent" flu pandemic would kill one in 20 Canadians and grind the manufacturing industry to a halt, a major economic think-tank predicts, and Canada is not prepared to deal with it.

    "Border disruptions would shatter integrated production lines and could last more than a year," says the new research report from the Conference Board of Canada. "Direct medical costs could surpass hundreds of millions of dollars."

    The report calls on Canadian businesses to get ready by reducing the risk of disease transmission in the workplace and forming plans to maintain essential business functions in the event of high employee absenteeism. It also advises companies to co-ordinate with government agencies to respond to such a pandemic.

    The report, titled: Facing Risks: Global Security Trends and Canada, is the fourth in a series of five global economic forecasts issued by the board.

    It notes health crises "will worsen existing inequalities in Canada," such as concentration of income and regional disparities.

    "The continuing challenges confronting Canada's public health-care system will create profound differences between those who can afford private care and those who cannot," the report says.

    A health crisis isn't the only thing that could drive a deeper wedge between the rich and poor, the report warns. Transnational crime will also widen the gap.

    "Criminal organizations do not need an epidemiological disaster to enrich their coffers," the report says, putting the value of worldwide criminal activity between $500 billion U.S. and $1.5 trillion U.S.

    "This value is likely to increase in coming years, riding the many waves of globalization -- from increasingly efficient transportation and communications networks, to the perpetuation of pockets of extremely poor governance," the document reads.

    To protect against health and crime risks, the board suggests enhancing and tailoring social programs to certain "vulnerable populations.

    "There is some evidence that economic insecurity and poverty in Canada will be concentrated in distinct groups, particularly among aboriginal people and recent visible minority immigrants," the organization says. "The consequences of their vulnerabilities will generate wider social ills that will affect all Canadians."

    The six-page report also makes reference to international terrorism, saying Canada is vulnerable to attacks on energy infrastructure aimed at disrupting service to the United States.

    "Managing our relations with the United States will be a perennial source of concern, especially since the primary market for our resources will remain the United States," it says.

    On a global level, the board predicts: "The rise of Asia will have momentous security implications. A very cold peace will prevail and skirmishes may erupt between larger powers and their smaller neighbours."

    In addition, more state and non-state organizations will obtain powerful weapons of mass destruction. Balances of power will keep them in check, but "the risk of dangerous accidents will increase."
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