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  • Human cases of avian influenza A(H5N1) in North-West Frontier Province, Pakistan, October?November 2007 [WHO, WER] *NEW*

    Human cases of avian influenza A(H5N1) in North-West Frontier Province, Pakistan, October?November 2007 [WHO, WER]

    Weekly epidemiological record - Relev? ?pid?miologique hebdomadaire - 3 OCTOBER 2008, 83rd YEAR / 3 OCTOBRE 2008, 83e ANN?E - No. 40, 2008, 83, 357?364 - http://www.who.int/wer (http://www.who.int/wer/2008/wer8340.pdf)

    Human cases of avian influenza A(H5N1) in North-West Frontier Province, Pakistan, October?November 2007


    On 21 October 2007, an outbreak of highly pathogenic avian influenza A(H5N1) was identified at a poultry farm near Abbottabad, in the North-West Frontier Province of Pakistan.

    On 26 November 2007, the Pakistan National Institute of Health was informed that people with suspected H5N1 virus infection had been hospitalized at a tertiary care hospital in Peshawar; at the same time, the Institute received clinical specimens for diagnostic testing.

    A team from the National Institute of Health, joined by staff from WHO?s country offi ce, conducted the initial case investigation.

    Based on the findings of the investigation and the results of preliminary tests conducted by the National Institute of Health, the Ministry of Health officially reported the possible occurrence of human cases of H5N1 virus infection to WHO on 12 December 2007.

    Health authorities in Pakistan asked WHO to provide technical support to enable investigation of several suspected human cases of A(H5N1) virus infection.

    This report describes the findings of the investigation into the family cluster that included 3 laboratory-confirmed cases.

    Background
    Pakistan is a country of 160 million people that shares borders with Afghanistan, China, India and the Islamic Republic of Iran.

    H5N1 virus has been circulating in China since 2004 and has been detected in other neighbouring countries among poultry or birds since 2006.

    In addition, China has detected human cases of H5N1 virus infection.

    Since 2006, sporadic outbreaks of H5N1 infection among poultry have been reported in Pakistan; infections have also been documented in wild birds. Many of the outbreaks have been reported in the ?poultry belt? of the North-West Frontier Province, including the Abbottabad and Mansehra areas.

    This region of the province has a high density of poultrybreeding farms, accounting for 70% of all such farms in the country.

    National surveillance for avian influenza in poultry was initiated approximately 10 years ago, and there is now a network of regional laboratories and a reference laboratory in Islamabad. Culling and ring vaccination are conducted in response to outbreaks in poultry.

    Field activities
    WHO?s international investigation team was composed of staff members from Pakistan?s National Institute of Health, the United States Naval Medical Research Unit Number 3, the United States Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and WHO. During 17?27 December 2007, the team made field visits to the affected areas, including hospitals where patients suspected of being infected with the H5N1 virus were being treated, family homes in Peshawar and Charsada, and poultry farms near Abbottabad (Map 1).

    To corroborate information, the team reviewed preliminary reports from previous investigations and interviewed WHO officers in the field; clinicians, nurses and hospital management in 2 hospitals; affected family members; local health authorities; members of the mobile investigation teams; and officials from UNICEF, the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees, and the Office of the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations.

    Laboratory testing by a WHO reference laboratory for diagnosis of influenza A/H5 infection1 was conducted on specimens from suspected cases and their contacts to confirm the initial test results obtained by the National Institute of Health.

    The Peshawar family cluster

    * Case 1
    In late October 2007, a laboratory-confirmed outbreak of highly pathogenic avian influenza A(H5N1) among poultry occurred at a breeding farm located near Abbottabad in the North-West Frontier Province. A culling operation was carried out during 22?23 October.

    One of the 13 people performing the culling was a 25-year-old livestock production officer (Case 1).

    During this operation, Case 1 handled dead, sick and healthy chickens without using personal protective equipment.

    During culling, both live and dead poultry were collected and put into large bags until each bag was full; each bag was then tied and placed in a deep pit for burial. Case 1 gathered chickens and placed them in the bag and also held the bag open while others put chickens inside.

    On 29 October, Case 1 developed a fever and sought treatment at a clinic in Abbottabad. His symptoms progressed over the next several days to include cough and dyspnoea.

    On 2 November, Case 1 travelled to his family?s home in Peshawar (a 4-hour journey) by public transportation.

    Living in his family?s household were members of his extended family including 5 brothers and 2 sisters.

    Case 1 continued to have symptoms and was seen as an outpatient at a hospital in Peshawar on 4 November, where he received treatment with antibiotics and antimalarials.

    By the next day, his dyspnoea had worsened and he was admitted to hospital. Chest radiography was performed; it showed bilateral infiltrates. On 6 November, he was transferred to the intensive care unit where he spent 9 days; he was transferred back to the general ward on 14 November. On 16 November, he was discharged home. Blood samples taken on 29 November and analysed by microneutralization assays demonstrated antibody titres against influenza A(H5N1) virus of 1:2560; samples from 8 December showed titres of 1:1280. Western blot assay was also positive for influenza A(H5N1) virus.

    * Case 2
    On 12 November, a 22-year-old university student, a brother of Case 1, became ill with fever and headache. Symptoms progressed to include cough and dyspnoea; he was admitted to hospital on 14 November. His chest X-ray showed a right-middle lung infiltrate. The next day, his condition worsened, and he was transferred to the intensive care unit where his condition continued to deteriorate; on 19 November, he required mechanical ventilation. He died later the same day. Laboratory testing was not performed.

    Case 2 had had close prolonged contact with Case 1.

    They ate meals together and slept 2 nights in the same bedroom at the family?s Peshawar home starting on 2 November. Case 2 had had prolonged visits on 5 November and 7 November with Case 1 during Case 1?s hospitalization. Case 2 had no history of exposure to sick or dead poultry.

    * Case 3
    On 21 November, a 27-year-old water management officer, also a brother of Case 1, developed fever. On 23 November, he developed dyspnoea and was admitted to hospital in an isolation room. His chest X-ray showed a right lung infiltrate. Oseltamivir treatment was started on 27 November. On 28 November, his condition deteriorated. He was transferred to the intensive care unit and started on mechanical ventilation. He died later the same day. Throat and blood samples had been collected on 26 November. The throat swab was positive for H5 by real-time reverse transcriptase?polymerase chain reaction (RT?PCR); influenza A(H5N1) virus was isolated from the specimen at a WHO influenza A/H5 reference laboratory.

    Case 3 had had close prolonged contact with both Case 2 and Case 1. He was the primary caregiver for Case 2 during his hospitalization for severe acute respiratory infection during 14?19 November. Case 3 had also shared a bedroom with Case 1 during 2?4 November and had visited Case 1 during his hospitalization. Case 3 had no history of exposure to sick or dead poultry.

    * Case 4
    On 21 November, a 32-year-old brother of Case 1 developed fever. Oseltamivir treatment was started the next day. However, fever persisted, and on 23 November he was admitted to hospital with dyspnoea and an abnormal chest X-ray. The patient remained in an isolation ward in stable condition. He fully recovered from his illness. Both throat swab and blood samples were collected on
    29 November; blood sample collection was repeated on 8 December. Although the throat swab was negative for H5 by RT?PCR, subsequent serology tests were positive and showed that seroconversion had occurred between the time of the first and second serum sample. The initial specimen yielded a microneutralization H5 antibody titre of 1:10; a later specimen yielded a positive microneutralization test with an antibody titre of 1:320 and a positive western blot assay.

    * Case 5
    Case 5 was a 33-year-old brother of Case 1. He was asymptomatic but clinical specimens were collected from him owing to the close and prolonged contact with his ill brothers. Initial testing at the National Institute of Health yielded positive results for H5 RT?PCR on a throat swab collected on 29 November. When serum specimens were tested by microneutralization assay, a specimen collected on 8 December yielded an H5 antibody titre of 1:320 and a positive western blot assay.

    Discussion
    After thorough epidemiological investigation by the international investigation team and confirmatory testing of clinical specimens by WHO influenza A/H5 reference laboratories, 3 cases were confirmed as avian influenza A(H5N1) infection.2 The 3 confirmed cases were brothers aged between 25 and 32 years. One of the cases died within 7 days of onset of illness; the other 2 cases
    recovered.

    In addition, the investigation detected 1 probable case of H5N1 infection and 1 asymptomatic seropositive case within the same family. These are the first human cases of influenza A(H5N1) virus infection documented in Pakistan.

    Case 1 is also the first person to have documented influenza A(H5N1) disease following occupational exposure during poultry culling.

    With respect to the chain of transmission, evidence gathered during the investigation supports the theory of initial transmission from poultry to humans followed by human-to-human transmission involving a third generation.
    Only 1 of the brothers (the first to become ill) had a clear history of contact with sick or dead poultry (the poultry had been laboratory-confi rmed as being infected with H5N1 virus); the other brothers who became ill had not been working in occupations related to the poultry industry or farming.

    The brothers resided in the city of Peshawar, where there had been no reported poultry outbreaks of infl uenza A(H5N1) since March 2007. Environmental sampling in the Peshawar and Charsada homes of the affected brothers, in addition to sampling of healthy poultry at the Peshawar home, were all negative for influenza A(H5N1) virus.

    The relatively long period of time between the dates of onset of illness of the 4 brothers (24 days between first date of onset and last date of onset) supports a chain of transmission among humans rather than a common source of infection from poultry.

    Case 1, the index case, was most likely infected during the culling carried out during 22?23 October. Infection during 22?23 October and onset of fever on 29 October reflects an incubation time of 6?7 days, which is within the expected range.3 Case 1 had no other known exposures to a source of influenza A(H5N1) virus, and this particular culling exercise was the first in which he had
    ever participated. The most likely next link in the chain would be human-to-human transmission of the virus from Case 1 to his younger brother, Case 2. This brother had had prolonged close contact with Case 1, sharing meals and a bedroom with him during 2?5 November and visiting Case 1 in hospital on 5 and 7 November.

    Case 2 was a university student and had had no known exposure to sick or dead birds or poultry. If we assume his source of infection was his brother, his incubation time is in the range of 5?10 days and is similar to that of previously reported cases.2 The clinical course of illness in Case 2 and his epidemiological link to Case 1, a confirmed case of H5N1 infection, strongly support
    the inference that his illness and death were caused by infection with H5N1. Since there was no laboratory confirmation of disease in Case 2, he is classified as a probable case of H5N1 infection.

    The next most likely link in the chain of transmission would be human-to-human transmission from Case 2 to Case 3. Case 3 had had prolonged close contact with Case 2 during 12?19 November, when he acted as the primary caregiver for Case 2 during his illness. The date of fever onset for Case 3 was 21 November. If Case 3 was infected by Case 2, the incubation range would be 2?10 days, and this incubation period is consistent with that seen in previous outbreaks.2

    Case 4 most likely acquired his infection from Case 2. This older brother had an exposure history similar to Case 3, which included sharing meals and a sleeping room with his brothers. This exposure to potential sources of infection started on 2 November and continued until 19 November as he visited Case 1 and Case 2 in hospital and attended to them. Considering the incubation period, Case 4 was most likely to have been infected by Case 2, since that would result in an incubation period in the range of 2?10 days. Case 5 was asymptomatic but had laboratory tests indicating infection with influenza A(H5N1).

    Case 5 had had frequent close contact with all 4 of his brothers when they were ill, and infection may have occurred after exposure to any of them. Case 5 had no known contact with sick or dead poultry. Asymptomatic seroconversion in household contacts has been documented previously in a study in Hong Kong SAR conducted after the 1997 outbreak of influenza A(H5N1).4

    Other sources of infection could be considered, including the possibility of poultry-to-human transmission in all cases. However, only Case 1 had an occupation that brought him into contact with poultry or wild birds. Household poultry and several environmental samples from the homes of the affected family were tested for the presence of the virus, but all tests were negative. There
    were no reported outbreaks of H5N1 infection in poultry in Peshawar or Charsada in the latter part of 2007. Indirect transmission from poultry to humans through fomites seems unlikely. Case 1 denied removing or transporting anything (including equipment or poultry) from the infected farm after the culling. Case 1 stated that immediately after the culling, he had washed the clothing
    he wore during culling. Therefore, contaminated clothing was not transported to Peshawar, the site of the other infections. Case 1 continued to wear the shoes he had worn during the culling (which took place on 22?23 October), but he did not travel to Peshawar until 2 November.

    It seems unlikely that shoes worn daily for 1 week would remain sufficiently soiled that they could cause infection in human contacts >10 days later.

    Conclusion
    The illnesses of the 4 brothers are consistent with influenza A(H5N1) virus infection. After considering the information gathered during investigation of this cluster of cases, evidence supports a chain of transmission beginning with poultry-to-human transmission followed by human-to-human transmission for 3 generations of transmission. Despite thorough investigation and active
    surveillance, there was no evidence of sustained transmission in the community. Contacts in the immediate and extended family and health-care workers received follow-up clinical and laboratory testing, but there was no evidence of further influenza A(H5N1) infection. Evidence gathered during the investigation supports the hypothesis that this outbreak of influenza A(H5N1) infection was limited to a family cluster and was not sustained in the community. Human-to-human transmission probably occurred, but only after prolonged and intimate contact among family members.
    -

    1 The reference laboratories involved included the United States Naval Medical Research Unit Number 3, the National Institute for Medical Research, London, United Kingdom and the United States Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, United States. For a complete list of all influenza A/H5 reference laboratories, see http://www.who.int/csr/disease/avian_infl uenza/guidelines/referencelabs/en/
    2 WHO?s case definitions for human infection with infl uenza A(H5N1) can be found at http://www.who.int/csr/disease/avian...n2006_08_29/en
    3 WHO Writing Committee. Update on avian infl uenza A(H5N1) virus infection in humans. New England Journal of Medicine, 2008, 358:261?273.
    4 Katz JM et al. Antibody response in individuals infected with avian infl uenza A(H5N1) viruses and detection of anti-H5 antibody among household and social contacts. Journal of Infectious Diseases, 1999, 180:1763?1770.
    -
    (Click on image to open a larger view.)


    <table style="width: auto;"><tbody><tr><td></td></tr><tr><td style="font-family: arial,sans-serif; font-size: 11px; text-align: right;">From MAPS</td></tr></tbody></table>
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  • #2
    Re: Human cases of avian influenza A(H5N1) in North-West Frontier Province, Pakistan, October?November 2007 [WHO, WER] *NEW*

    Originally posted by ironorehopper View Post
    Human cases of avian influenza A(H5N1) in North-West Frontier Province, Pakistan, October–November 2007 [WHO, WER]


    * Case 5
    Case 5 was a 33-year-old brother of Case 1. He was asymptomatic but clinical specimens were collected from him owing to the close and prolonged contact with his ill brothers. Initial testing at the National Institute of Health yielded positive results for H5 RT–PCR on a throat swab collected on 29 November. When serum specimens were tested by microneutralization assay, a specimen collected on 8 December yielded an H5 antibody titre of 1:320 and a positive western blot assay.

    ------
    Was this testing at NIH because this is the brother who flew home to NY on December 5?

    Comment


    • #3
      Re: Human cases of avian influenza A(H5N1) in North-West Frontier Province, Pakistan, October?November 2007 [WHO, WER] *NEW*

      Since there were four lab confirmed cases (in addition to the untested fatal case), why does WHO only acknowledge 3 cases in Pakistan?

      Comment


      • #4
        Re: Human cases of avian influenza A(H5N1) in North-West Frontier Province, Pakistan, October?November 2007 [WHO, WER] *NEW*

        First thread on the Pakistan cases starts here:


        The confusion surrounding these cases is not clarifed by this latest report. On December 15, 2007, from post:


        The National Institute of Health [Pakistan National Institute of Health - http://www.nih.org.pk/ ] has tested patients and contacts suspected for Avian Influenza in late October, 2007. Six cases were found positive for H5N1 Avian Influenza virus, five of them from Abbottabad and one from Mansehra district.
        Meanwhile as noted by Niman WHO still only reports three human H5N1 cases from Pakistan.
        http://novel-infectious-diseases.blogspot.com/

        Comment


        • #5
          Re: Human cases of avian influenza A(H5N1) in North-West Frontier Province, Pakistan, October?November 2007 [WHO, WER] *NEW*

          WER is a WHO review. Thus, probably this is their position about the Pakistani cluster of H5N1 human cases.

          Comment


          • #6
            Re: Human cases of avian influenza A(H5N1) in North-West Frontier Province, Pakistan, October?November 2007 [WHO, WER] *NEW*

            Originally posted by ironorehopper View Post
            WER is a WHO review. Thus, probably this is their position about the Pakistani cluster of H5N1 human cases.
            The asymptomatic case meets there definition of a confirmed case (he was positive in three labs tests - PCR, neuralizing abtibody, and Western blot). Thus, he was H5N1 infected and extends the transmission chain to H2H2H2H (and it remains unclear if he is the brother that lives in NY).

            Comment


            • #7
              Re: Human cases of avian influenza A(H5N1) in North-West Frontier Province, Pakistan, October?November 2007 [WHO, WER] *NEW*

              * Case 5
              Case 5 was a 33-year-old brother of Case 1. He was asymptomatic but clinical specimens were collected from him owing to the close and prolonged contact with his ill brothers. Initial testing at the National Institute of Health yielded positive results for H5 RT–PCR on a throat swab collected on 29 November. When serum specimens were tested by microneutralization assay, a specimen collected on 8 December yielded an H5 antibody titre of 1:320 and a positive western blot assay.
              According to the WER report 5 brothers and 2 sisters were living in the same household. Case 5 appears to be the last brother in the household, so all of the males were infected. This brother was apparently not identified by name last December. The four identified brothers initially identified were Ishtiaq, Mohammad Ilyas, Mohammad Owais, and Tariq. Mohammad Owais was also reported to be named "Idrees", but Idrees might be the fifth brother living in the household.

              Case 5 is most likely not the brother from the US that visited Pakistan. The news report have this sibling being 38 years old and arriving back in the US on December 5th. Test results were reported as negative on December 9th.

              Re: Pakistan: December 18+, WHO Begins Investigations



              <HR style="COLOR: #cccccc; BACKGROUND-COLOR: #cccccc" SIZE=1><!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Nassau man tests negative for bird flu

              BY STEVE RITEA | steve.ritea@newsday.com; This story
              December 17, 2007

              A 38-year-old Nassau County man tested negative for bird flu after being quarantined for three days following his return from Pakistan, where health officials are investigating the cause of South Asia's first outbreak of the deadly virus.

              The unidentified man landed at Kennedy Airport on Dec. 5 and the next day visited his doctor, who referred him to an unnamed local hospital for observation, according to the state health department.

              Investigators with the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention flew to Albany Dec. 8 to collect a portion of a sample the Nassau County Health Department sent to the state health department for testing. All agencies confirmed the results were negative by Dec. 9 and the man's home quarantine was lifted. State officials said the man exhibited no symptoms. . . .

              http://novel-infectious-diseases.blogspot.com/

              Comment


              • #8
                Re: Human cases of avian influenza A(H5N1) in North-West Frontier Province, Pakistan, October?November 2007 [WHO, WER] *NEW*

                Originally posted by Laidback Al View Post
                According to the WER report 5 brothers and 2 sisters were living in the same household. Case 5 appears to be the last brother in the household, so all of the males were infected. This brother was apparently not identified by name last December. The four identified brothers initially identified were Ishtiaq, Mohammad Ilyas, Mohammad Owais, and Tariq. Mohammad Owais was also reported to be named "Idrees", but Idrees might be the fifth brother living in the household.

                Case 5 is most likely not the brother from the US that visited Pakistan. The news report have this sibling being 38 years old and arriving back in the US on December 5th. Test results were reported as negative on December 9th.




                http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/sho...6&postcount=12
                Negative results in December don't mean much. The PCR positive on the asymptomatic patient has yet to be acknowledged by WHO as a confirmed case, and the cases that were confirmed serologically were confirmed in April (by serology - they never tested positive by PCR)

                Comment


                • #9
                  Re: Human cases of avian influenza A(H5N1) in North-West Frontier Province, Pakistan, October?November 2007 [WHO, WER] *NEW*

                  Commentary

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Re: Human cases of avian influenza A(H5N1) in North-West Frontier Province, Pakistan, October?November 2007 [WHO, WER] *NEW*

                    Commentary

                    Confirmed B2H2H2H2H H5N1 Transmission in Pakistan
                    Recombinomics Commentary 16:02
                    October 4, 2008

                    With respect to the chain of transmission, evidence gathered during the investigation supports the theory of initial transmission from poultry to humans followed by human-to-human transmission involving a third generation.

                    Case 5 was a 33-year-old brother of Case 1. He was asymptomatic but clinical specimens were collected from him owing to the close and prolonged contact with his ill brothers. Initial testing at the National Institute of Health yielded positive results for H5 RT?PCR on a throat swab collected on 29 November. When serum specimens were tested by microneutralization assay, a specimen collected on 8 December yielded an H5 antibody titre of 1:320 and a positive western blot assay.

                    The above comments are from WHO?s Oct 3 Weekly epidemiological record (WER), which includes a report entitled ?Human cases of avian influenza A(H5N1) in North-West Frontier Province, Pakistan, October-November 2007?. As indicated in the title, the report is coming out almost a full year since the start of the outbreak, and as indicated in the quotes above, includes an asymptomatic brother who was H5N1 confirmed by three different lab tests. However, these results have not been released previously, and the newly described case extends the transmission chain to B2H2H2H2H, which is the longest recorded to date for H5N1. Moreover, even though the case is acknowledged in this week's report, the case has not been added to the WHO table of confirmed H5N1 cases. These delays and omissions extend the long list of deficiencies in the detection and reporting of this historic and important H5N1 outbreak in Pakistan.

                    The report provides detail that was lacking for months after the outbreak began, and clears up a subset of the long list of questions raised by the outbreak. However, many important issues, including the sequence of the H5N1 isolated from the first confirmed case, which remains in WHO?s private password protected database, along with hundreds if not thousands of H5N1 sequences from infected patients or other hosts, remain unresolved.

                    As noted in the report, the transmission chain began when one of the cullers was infected in October (B2H) and developed symptoms on October 29, 2007. He then infected one of his brothers (B2H2H) who developed symptoms on November 12 and died a week later, but not before the brother infected two more brothers (B2H2H2H) who developed symptoms on November 21. One of these brothers died November 28 and one infected a fifth brother (B2H2H2H2H) who was asymptomatic, but as noted above, was H5N1 positive by three lab tests, including PCR on a nasal swab collected November 29.

                    However, none of the above was made public until there were local media reports, which were picked up by internet discussion groups in early December, 2007. The story was subsequently picked up by wire services followed by comments by agencies in Pakistan or WHO. However, the initial stories were largely confusing, in part because of the long delay between the start of the outbreak and the start of media coverage. Consequently some stories noted that the outbreak began in October, while others assumed the outbreak began in December, just prior to the media stories.

                    In addition to the brothers described above, other cullers and contacts were also said to be H5N1 positive based on testing done in Pakistan. However, by the time investigators from WHO regional centers in Egypt and England arrived, the samples had largely degraded and initially the only positive was a sample from the brother who died November 28. A sample from the brother who died November 19 was not tested (although at least one local media report indicated a sample had been collected), and samples from the brothers who were hospitalized and recovered tested negative. The time of the testing of the asymptomatic remains unclear, because the WER indicates the sample collected November 29 was PCR positive, yet this positive result was not disclosed prior to this week.

                    However, in addition to the long delay in the acknowledgment of the asymptomatic case and the failure to test the first fatal case, the two cases who recovered were not reported confirmed until April, when results from neutralizing antibody tests were reported. It is unclear if these delays were linked to the establishment of a new test using the H5N1 isolated from the second fatal case as a target, because the sequence of this isolate has been withheld. Therefore, it is unclear if there were significant differences in sequence between the human isolate and other available targets.

                    However, since the titer for the index case was 1:2560 and the recovered brother was 1:320, as was the asymptomatic brother, it seems likely that these high titers would have been detected when the samples were collected in late November or early December. Thus, the reasons for the four month delay in reporting the confirmation of the two recovered brothers or the 10 month delay in reporting the asymptomatic case remains unclear, as is the reason for the failure to add the asymptomatic case to the list of H5N1 confirmed cases, since the brother was H5N1 positive in three lab tests (PCR, neutralizing antibody, and Western blot).

                    The reporting delays associated with the longest human to human H5N1 transmission recorded to date has been followed by questionable reports by other countries. The H5N1 in Pakistan was followed by massive outbreaks in India (West Bengal) and adjacent Bangladesh. Bangladesh has acknowledged one human case, which was also reported months after the fact. The location of the reported case in the slums of Dhaka strongly suggests that the number of human cases in Bangladesh and India was markedly higher than one. India has yet to report any human cases, although the bird flu symptoms in villagers were wildly reported, as was the similarity in sequence between the H5N1 in India and Bangladesh, although neither country has released sequences from these outbreaks (and Bangladesh has not released sequences from any H5N1 outbreak).

                    Similarly, H5N1 clusters in Indonesia have been denied. Fatally infected index cases from clusters that involve H5N1 confirmed cases have been said to have died from respiratory disease, typhus, and dengue fever, which has raised serious credibility issues with regard to reporting from Indonesia, and WHO was stopped reporting confirmed H5N1 cases in Indonesia in a timely manner. Instead of the mandated IHR reporting time of 24-48 hours, WHO has been reporting H5N1 cases weeks or months after lab confirmation, setting the precedent for more reporting violations, including South Korea who refused to acknowledge a soldier/culler who was H5 PCR positive earlier this year.

                    In addition to the delays or lack of reports on H5N1 cases and clusters, WHO regional centers continue to hoard H5N1 sequences in the WHO private database. NAMRU-3 became a WHO regional center last year and has not released any human H5N1 sequences since, even though cases were confirmed at the end of 2007 and beginning of 2008. Sequences from West Bengal have been sequestered at Genbank for several months (see list here), and over 170 HA H5N1 sequences from Turkey have also been sequestered at Genbank for several months (see list here here here here here).

                    These reporting failures coupled with the hoarding of H5N1 sequence data by WHO and regional centers continue to be cause for concern and continue to be hazardous to the world?s health.


                    .
                    "The next major advancement in the health of American people will be determined by what the individual is willing to do for himself"-- John Knowles, Former President of the Rockefeller Foundation

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