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Translated from Arabic
Scientific simulation warns of half the population of Tokyo infection of bird flu
Tokyo / simulation of scientific findings to the spread of bird flu that half the population of the Japanese capital Tokyo will contract the disease if the virus mutate to a strain of movement of infection from person to person.
Reports that the Japanese research team from the National Institute of Infectious Diseases, the process Tmah using a computer to calculate estimates of the proportion of people, as being twice as likely when the government announced that a quarter of the population become infected Tokyo.
The indications were based on the type of the virus itself has the capacity to move from one person to another, as happened with the Spanish flu in 1918 and found that the number of patients will increase in the first ten days of the epidemic spread of up to 20 percent of the population today of 21 to start the infection.
According to scientists with the expiration of that wave all the injured and recovering the day of 81 to start the spread of the epidemic, it will be 52 percent of the population of Tokyo, were infected.
The government based on the proportion of 25 percent to calculate the amount of drugs that may be required for patients entering hospitals, research team leader called Basuki Ookosa the Japanese government to assign higher ratings to their accounts, pointing out that the rate of spread of the epidemic hit in the past 40 years and 50 percent, the spread of Infection in half of the population is possible in crowded cities such as Tokyo.
Scientific simulation warns of half the population of Tokyo infection of bird flu
Tokyo / simulation of scientific findings to the spread of bird flu that half the population of the Japanese capital Tokyo will contract the disease if the virus mutate to a strain of movement of infection from person to person.
Reports that the Japanese research team from the National Institute of Infectious Diseases, the process Tmah using a computer to calculate estimates of the proportion of people, as being twice as likely when the government announced that a quarter of the population become infected Tokyo.
The indications were based on the type of the virus itself has the capacity to move from one person to another, as happened with the Spanish flu in 1918 and found that the number of patients will increase in the first ten days of the epidemic spread of up to 20 percent of the population today of 21 to start the infection.
According to scientists with the expiration of that wave all the injured and recovering the day of 81 to start the spread of the epidemic, it will be 52 percent of the population of Tokyo, were infected.
The government based on the proportion of 25 percent to calculate the amount of drugs that may be required for patients entering hospitals, research team leader called Basuki Ookosa the Japanese government to assign higher ratings to their accounts, pointing out that the rate of spread of the epidemic hit in the past 40 years and 50 percent, the spread of Infection in half of the population is possible in crowded cities such as Tokyo.
