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Scientists mystified, wary, as Africa avoids COVID disaster? Not so much....

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  • Scientists mystified, wary, as Africa avoids COVID disaster? Not so much....

    Source: https://apnews.com/article/coronavir...0aa2172eb01a2f

    Scientists mystified, wary, as Africa avoids COVID disaster
    By MARIA CHENG and FARAI MUTSAKA
    2 hours ago

    HARARE, Zimbabwe (AP) — At a busy market in a poor township outside Harare this week, Nyasha Ndou kept his mask in his pocket, as hundreds of other people, mostly unmasked, jostled to buy and sell fruit and vegetables displayed on wooden tables and plastic sheets. As in much of Zimbabwe, here the coronavirus is quickly being relegated to the past, as political rallies, concerts and home gatherings have returned.

    “COVID-19 is gone, when did you last hear of anyone who has died of COVID-19?” Ndou said. “The mask is to protect my pocket,” he said. “The police demand bribes so I lose money if I don’t move around with a mask.” Earlier this week, Zimbabwe recorded just 33 new COVID-19 cases and zero deaths, in line with a recent fall in the disease across the continent, where World Health Organization data show that infections have been dropping since July.

    When the coronavirus first emerged last year, health officials feared the pandemic would sweep across Africa, killing millions. Although it’s still unclear what COVID-19’s ultimate toll will be, that catastrophic scenario has yet to materialize in Zimbabwe or much of the continent....

  • #2
    No mystery. Grossly inaccurate reporting.

    Comment


    • #3
      The latest report from WHO Africa -


      WEEKLY BULLETIN ON OUTBREAKS
      AND OTHER EMERGENCIES

      Week 46: 08 – 14 November 2021
      Data as reported by: 17:00; 14 November 2021

      ...

      Coronavirus disease 2019 - African region

      6 109 722 Cases
      151 173 Death
      2.5% CFR


      Coronavirus disease 2019

      The WHO African region reported a total of 9 960 new cases
      of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) in the past seven days
      (8 – 14 November 2021), reflecting a 47.0% decrease compared
      to the previous week. Eight countries (Burundi, Comoros,
      Democratic Republic of the Congo, Guinea-Bissau, Malawi, Niger,
      Seychelles and Zimbabwe) saw a 20% or more increase in weekly
      cases compared to the preceding week.

      A total of 26 (55.3%) countries reported a decrease of 20% or
      more in the number of new cases compared to the previous week.
      These countries are Benin, Botswana, Burkina Faso, Cameroon,
      Central African Republic, Equatorial Guinea, Congo, Côte d’Ivoire,
      Equatorial Guinea, Eswatini, Ethiopia, Gabon, Gambia, Ghana,
      Guinea, Lesotho, Liberia, Madagascar, Mauritius, Mozambique,
      Namibia, Nigeria, Rwanda, Sao Tome and Principe, South Sudan,
      the United Republic of Tanzania, and Zambia.

      The top five countries account for 53.4% (5 321) of the cases
      recorded in the past week; namely South Africa (1 983 new cases,
      8.0% increase, 3.4 new cases per 100 000 population); Ethiopia
      (1 612 new cases, 21.0% decrease, 1.4 new cases per 100 000);
      Algeria (814 new cases, 16.0% increase, 1.9 new cases per
      100 000); Kenya (464 new cases, 11.0% decrease, 0.9 new cases
      per 100 000); and Mauritius (448 new cases, 38.0% decrease,
      35.0 new cases per 100 000).

      A reduction in weekly COVID-19 deaths in the African region was
      also seen in the week ending 14 November 2021 as 461 deaths
      were reported in 25 countries, a 14% decline compared with
      the previous week. The highest numbers of new deaths were
      reported from South Africa (152 new deaths; 2.0% decrease; 0.3
      new deaths per 100 000 population), Ethiopia (81 new deaths;
      2.4% decrease; 0.1 new deaths per 100 000), Nigeria (62 new
      deaths; 148% increase; 0.0 new deaths per 100 000), Algeria (39
      new deaths; 26.0% increase; 0.1 new deaths per 100 000) and
      Mauritius (27 new deaths; 27.0% decrease; 2.1 new deaths per
      100 000).

      Since the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic in the African
      region, the cumulative number of confirmed COVID-19 cases
      is 6 109 722, with more than 5.7 million recoveries, yielding a
      recovery rate of 94.4%. The total number of deaths now stands at
      151 173, accounting for a CFR of 2.5%. The WHO African Region
      remains one of the least affected regions in the world, accounting
      for 2.5% of global cases and 3.0% of global deaths.
      Overall, South Africa has recorded the highest number of
      COVID-19 cases in the region with 2 925 939 cases (48.0%),
      followed by Ethiopia 368 822 (6.0%), Kenya 254 297 (4.2%),
      Nigeria 213 147 (3.5%), and Zambia 209 983 (3.4%), accounting
      for (3 972 188, 65.0%) of all cases. The average cumulative
      attack rate (number of cases per million) in the African region
      is estimated at 5 599 million population, ranging from 293 per
      million to 232 563 million. Seychelles (232 563 cases per million
      population), Botswana (79 074 cases/million), Cabo Verde
      (69 637 cases/million), (Namibia 51 732 cases/million) and
      South Africa (49 966 cases/million), are the top countries with
      the highest attack rate in the region. Burkina Faso (740 cases/
      million), Democratic Republic of the Congo (666 cases/million),
      United Republic of Tanzania (452 cases/million), Chad (320
      cases/million) and Niger (294 cases/million), have the lowest
      cumulative attack rate.

      Similarly, most reported deaths occurred in South Africa, which
      accounts for 59.2% (89 484) of all deaths. Ethiopia has the
      second-highest number of deaths (6 623 deaths, 4.4%) followed
      by Algeria (5 984, 4.0%), Kenya (5 316, 3.5%) and Zimbabwe
      (4 697, 3.1%), all accounting for 74.2% (112 104) of all deaths
      reported in the region. The median number of deaths per million
      in the African region is estimated at 63.8/million population
      (range: 1.1/million –1 528/million) with an average cumulative
      death rate (per million) in the African region estimated at
      138 million population. South Africa (1 528 deaths/million
      population), Namibia (1 429/million), Seychelles (1 168/million),
      Eswatini (1 084 million), Botswana (984 million) and Cabo Verde
      (635 million) are the five countries with the highest number of
      COVID-19 related deaths per million population. Niger (10.2/
      million population), Chad (11.0/million population) Burkina Faso
      (11.3/million), South Sudan (12.0/million) and United Republic
      of Tanzania (12.5/million) have the lowest number of COVID-19
      related deaths per million population.

      In the past seven days, 62 new health worker infections were
      reported from Cameroon (48), Kenya (9), Namibia (3) and
      Zimbabwe (2). An extra 86 health worker infections were reported
      retrospectively from Eswatini. At the moment, there have been
      144 589 COVID-19 infections (2.4% of all cases) among health
      workers in the region, with South Africa accounting for 49.0%
      (71 113) of the total infections. Algeria (11 936, 8.3%), Kenya
      (7 830, 5.4%), Zimbabwe (5 404, 3.7%) and Mozambique (4
      779, 3.3%) have also recorded high numbers of health worker
      infections. Other countries reporting health worker infections are
      shown in Table 1. The United Republic of Tanzania (13.0%), Liberia
      (6.0%), Algeria (5.7%), Chad (5.7%), and Niger (5.3%) have the
      highest proportion of health worker infections by country. Only
      Eritrea has not reported any healthcare worker infections.
      The African continent has recorded more than 8.6 million cases
      of COVID-19, with more than 221 200 deaths (CFR 2.5%) and
      nearly 8.0 million people have recovered. The African continent
      accounts for 3.4% of global cases and 4.3% of global deaths.
      Together with partners, the WHO is working towards vaccinating
      40% of the population in all African countries by the end of 2021.
      To increase COVID-19 vaccination coverage on the continent,
      WHO is providing targeted support to 15 countries with low
      vaccine uptake to identify and resolve gaps impeding their
      COVID-19 vaccine rollout. Each country support focal person will
      conduct a root cause analysis to identify gaps in the rollout.

      SITUATION INTERPRETATION

      New COVID-19 cases and deaths reported in the past week
      continued to decline for now more than four consecutive
      months. Even with this observed fall, some countries;
      namely Burundi, Guinea Bissau, Malawi, Niger, Seychelles
      and Zimbabwe saw a significant increase in weekly cases
      in the reporting week.

      ...
      http://apps.who.int/iris/bitstream/h...0814112021.pdf
      "Safety and security don't just happen, they are the result of collective consensus and public investment. We owe our children, the most vulnerable citizens in our society, a life free of violence and fear."
      -Nelson Mandela

      Comment


      • #4
        Originally posted by sharon sanders View Post
        No mystery. Grossly inaccurate reporting.
        Apart from the spotty medical and news coverage, Africa may also be being helped by having a very young population, with a median age under 20, compared to around 40 for most of Europe..
        The fatality rate of the virus is quite low for those under 40.

        Comment


        • #5
          bump this

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