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CDC director warns US needs to plan 'aggressively' for coronavirus return in winter

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  • CDC director warns US needs to plan 'aggressively' for coronavirus return in winter

    CDC director warns US needs to plan 'agressively' for coronavirus return in winter

    by Mike Brest
    | April 15, 2020 04:00 PM

    The head of the Centers for Disease Control is warning the United States should expect to see a revitalization in the coronavirus pandemic as the weather gets colder toward the end of the year.


    During a Wednesday interview on Good Morning America, Dr. Robert Redfield predicted that similar to other respiratory viruses that are more prominent in the colder months, the coronavirus will return.

    “I think we have to assume this is like other respiratory viruses, and there will be a seasonality to it,” Redfield stated.

    “The CDC is science-based, data-driven, [so] until we see it, we don’t know for certain [there will be a resurgence],” he added. “But it is critical that we plan that this virus is likely to follow a seasonality pattern similar to flu, and we’re going to have another battle with it upfront and aggressively next winter.”...https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/n...turn-in-winter
    CSI:WORLD http://swineflumagazine.blogspot.com/

    treyfish2004@yahoo.com

  • #2
    Coronavirus: Europe and the US could be hit by three more waves of Covid-19, WHO director warns




    YAHOO STAFF WRITER
    Apr 15th 2020 10:56AM
    Both Europe and the United States could face another three waves of coronavirus, according to a World Health Organization (WHO) director.

    Lawrence Gostin, a professor of public health at Johns Hopkins University, said that the world's "interconnected society" meant that more outbreaks would happen even if the current one is controlled...Gostin told BBC Radio 4's Today programme: "Covid-19 is about to march through subsaharan Africa and perhaps the Indian subcontinent like an avalanche.

    "Even if the United States and Europe were to get their Covid epidemics under control, if you've got Covid raging in other parts of the world, in this interconnected society it will come back to Europe and the United States."

    Gostin, who argued against travel restrictions to prevent the spread of coronavirus in January, added: "In fact I could predict that if it gets out of control in these lower income countries that we will see in the US and in Europe a second and a third wave and even a fourth wave of Covid
    .....https://www.aol.co.uk/news/2020/04/1...KALrjsB4KXBsVk
    CSI:WORLD http://swineflumagazine.blogspot.com/

    treyfish2004@yahoo.com

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    • #3
      ...Experts, including those in the government, however, have indicated that reopening the country too soon will actually threaten “health and life.”

      On Tuesday, Dr. Robert Redfield, the director of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, cautioned that if mitigation strategies in certain areas of the country are relaxed too quickly, outbreaks in major cities across the United States could follow. He also warned of worse to come in the months ahead. “We’re definitely going to have a second wave,” he said, predicting that Covid-19 cases would peak again late in the year.

      Michael Osterholm, director of the Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy at the University of Minnesota, warned that the United States may experience multiple surges of Covid-19 over the next year and half, noting that while it’s impossible to know for certain, the coronavirus seems to be following a “1918 model” — a reference to the 1918 flu pandemic that may have killed up to 100 million people worldwide.

      “This first wave … is just the beginning of what could easily be 16 to 18 months of substantial activity of this virus around the world, coming and going, wave after wave,” Osterholm, who served as a State Department science envoy for health security from 2018 through 2019, said during a recent online conference. “It surely is a virus that likely will have to infect at least 60 to 70 percent of the population before you’re going to see a major reduction in its transmission,” he explained.

      Similarly, a study by researchers at Harvard University, published this week....https://theintercept.com/2020/04/16/...y-second-wave/
      CSI:WORLD http://swineflumagazine.blogspot.com/

      treyfish2004@yahoo.com

      Comment


      • #4
        Dans le cadre d'un plan de pr?vention, il est ?voqu? des m?tiers essentiels ou pas, mais il est aussi ?voqu? par fili?re la n?cessit? de continuit? d'activit?.
        Le cas des syst?mes de sant? a beaucoup fait parler de lui, mais ce n'est pas le seul. La strat?gie de gestion par pays, semble varier, en fonction de ses activit?s. Donc en prenant en compte la continuit? d'activit?, Il a sembl? inenvisageable aux pays Bas, par exemple, que l'activit? portuaire soit stopp?e. Le cas des abattoirs, dans les zones de production agricole, est aussi ?voqu?.

        Le C.D.C n'a produit aucun document ?clairant, pour formaliser un plan de pr?vention efficient, montrant les choix possibles et les cons?quences ?

        En tout cas cela ne me semble pas du r?le de l'O.M.S, en revanche, le politique, comme les citoyens doivent ?tre demandeur, eux ?

        C'est en pensant cela, que j'avais ?voqu? la notion de fiche de danger soci?tal, ? des risk manager. Ils ont bott? en touche avec beaucoup d'?l?gance ...

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        • #5
          CDC Director Says a Winter Wave of Coronavirus Could Hit The US Harder Than Current Outbreak
          GRACE PANETTA, BUSINESS INSIDER
          22 APRIL 2020

          Robert Redfield, the Director of the Centres for Disease Control and Prevention, said Tuesday that while the US appeared to be nearing the peak of cases for the current COVID-19 outbreak, a second wave could be even worse.

          In an interview with The Washington Post, Redfield said another outbreak of the novel coronavirus in winter could be more disastrous because of the strain it would place on hospitals, even if preparation and treatment options improve.

          "There's a possibility that the assault of the virus on our nation next winter will actually be even more difficult than the one we just went through," Redfield said
          .

          "And when I've said this to others, they kind of put their head back; they don't understand what I mean."
          ...
          Redfield said that a winter outbreak of COVID-19 would be particularly catastrophic for hospitals and medical systems when layered on top of the usual winter flu season and higher rates of other illnesses that are more prevalent in the winter months, including pneumonia and bronchitis.

          The coronavirus is both more contagious and more deadly than seasonal influenza, and a vaccine against it almost certainly won't be available by the time flu season comes around.


          While some clinical trials for coronavirus treatments are showing encouraging signs, the US is still likely 12 to 18 months away from developing a deployable vaccine.

          Because of that, Redfield said, it will be more important than ever for people to get their flu shots to reduce their risk and help lessen the burden on the healthcare system. He told The Postthat more people getting vaccinated against the flu "may allow there to be a hospital bed available for your mother or grandmother that may get coronavirus."...https://www.sciencealert.com/cdc-dir...rrent-outbreak
          CSI:WORLD http://swineflumagazine.blogspot.com/

          treyfish2004@yahoo.com

          Comment


          • #6
            History of SARS, flu a guide to whether coronavirus will have a second wave

            Updated April 23, 2020 6:23 p.m. EDT

            By Cullen Browder, WRAL anchor/reporter

            The head of the United States Centers for Disease Control and Prevention predicts COVID-19 could come back stronger and deadlier in the fall. Coinciding with the start of the traditional flu season, the novel coronavirus would create a massive strain on the medical system.

            "We can not allow a new wave to occur," says Dr. Mark Cameron, an immunologist and clinical researcher at Case Western Reserve University in Ohio. Cameron lived through a pandemic and a second wave while working at Toronto General Hospital during the SARS outbreak in 2003.

            Cameron says the second wave of that virus happened in a matter of weeks, when Toronto officials eased restrictions too fast, particularly with the use of personal protective equipment by medical workers. SARS, which is also a coronavirus, can provide us with a history lesson on how to deal with our current virus....


            The 1918 Spanish Flu pandemic came in three waves: the spring of 1918, the fall of 1918 and the winter of 1918. In that instance, the second wave was the deadliest, and the third wave lasted until the summer of 1919. That outbreak happened during World War I and shared one similarity with how we live, "It was around a two-year pandemic, and what factored into that pandemic, like modern times, was travel," according to Cameron....

            "I’m very nervous," says MacDonald about the current pandemic. She adds, "There are a lot of questions out there that keep me up at night."

            Both MacDonald and Cameron say COVID-19 is unlike anything we’ve seen before. The reason: people can have the virus, have no symptoms and spread the virus unknowingly. "COVID-19 is writing its own story," says Cameron....https://www.wral.com/coronavirus/cov...wave/19067019/
            CSI:WORLD http://swineflumagazine.blogspot.com/

            treyfish2004@yahoo.com

            Comment


            • #7

              'Very fierce' COVID-19 second wave to come in colder months, warns Taiwanese health expert

              ABS-CBN News

              Posted at Apr 28 2020 09:32 AM | Updated as of Apr 28 2020 09:39 AM

              MANILA - A "very fierce" second wave of the COVID-19 pandemic will come during colder weather when people are more susceptible to respiratory infections, a Taiwanese infectious disease specialist said Tuesday.

              The southern hemisphere of the globe is currently experiencing the height of the pandemic while it is slowing down in the northern hemisphere due to warmer temperature, said Dr. Mei-Shang Ho, president of the Taiwan Health Corporation.

              "But the second wave will come. How soon it’s hard for me to say. Definitely in the fall or winter, one would experience a very fierce second wave," she told ANC.


              She noted that while there are not as many cases of COVID-19 in the summer, "the virus probably doesn’t go away."

              "It might silently transmit among mild, asymptomatic cases in such a way that where it might seed in the community is unknown," she added.

              .....https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/04/28/...-health-expert
              CSI:WORLD http://swineflumagazine.blogspot.com/

              treyfish2004@yahoo.com

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