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Coronavirus fatalities in the US, daily figures, charts.
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I'd be curious to see the completion rate of reporting this past few weeks.
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The virus outbreak is actually reducing the national death rate!
The CDC keeps track of weekly mortality in the US and the data available for the most recent week (ending March 7) shows about 48,000 deaths, sharply down from the normal 55,000.
See: https://www.dropbox.com/s/2y2gvh2q7a...ences.pdf?dl=0
The chart is quite striking, the effect of the virus has been to make the US safer.
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There are about 7800 deaths per day on average in the US.
So the virus risks increasing the death rate by about 25%, concentrated among the older population.
Not sure that the economic collapse it generates has been factored in.
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Coronavirus deaths each day:
3/18: 38
3/19: 43
3/20: 54
3/21: 79
3/22: 105
3/23: 124
3/24: 157
3/25: 220
3/26: 280
3/27: 361
3/28: 514
If the current rate of growth continues, we could see 6-10,000 additional coronavirus fatalities in the US within the next week ending the week on a toll of up to 2,000 deaths per day.
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Coronavirus fatalities in the US, daily figures, charts.
For the past several years, I have been plotting and comparing week to week influenza mortality data gathered by the National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) mortality surveillance system. The number of coded flu deaths is only a part of the estimated flu deaths each week. I added US coronavirus deaths by week to the plot and got this:
I know it's not apples to apples, the estimated number of flu deaths is about 6 times higher than the numbers recorded by the NCHS, but there is every reason to believe that the actual number of coronavirus fatalities is also larger than the subset that gets confirmed. There has only been 4 weeks of data. Where is this going to end up?Tags: None
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