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Coronavirus fatalities in the US, daily figures, charts.

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  • Ronan Kelly
    replied
    Week // Coronavirus fatalities
    Week 9: 1
    Week 10: 16
    Week 11: 49
    Week 12: 265
    Week 13: 1,760
    Week 14: 6,259
    Week 15: 12,137
    Week 16: 18,225
    Week 17: 14,760
    Week 18: 12,945
    Week 19: 12,298
    Week 20: 9,899
    Week 21: 8,563

    Daily Fatalities:

    Weekly graph:

    Click image for larger version

Name:	Influenza Mortality.png
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    Data sources: Coronavirus deaths are from FluTrackers compilation of State & Media reports.
    Influenza deaths are from the National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) mortality surveillance system. ​​​​​​​This captures 16-25% of estimated flu deaths.

    Leave a comment:


  • Ronan Kelly
    replied
    Daily fatalities:

    Click image for larger version

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    Week // Coronavirus fatalities
    Week 9: 1
    Week 10: 16
    Week 11: 49
    Week 12: 265
    Week 13: 1,760
    Week 14: 6,259
    Week 15: 12,137
    Week 16: 18,225
    Week 17: 14,760
    Week 18: 12,945
    Week 19: 12,298
    Week 20: 9,899

    Leave a comment:


  • Ronan Kelly
    replied
    Daily fatalities:

    Click image for larger version  Name:	Coronavirus Calendar 1.png Views:	1 Size:	103.3 KB ID:	859120

    Using flu data from the National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) mortality surveillance system, the most intense flu season was 2017-18 which tallied 15,430 Influenza deaths between weeks 40 and 20. The CDC estimated the flu burden for that season at 61,000 (range 46,000-95,000). The highest flu week was week 3 of 2018 with 1,625 deaths. Using the CDC estimate as a guide, this corresponded with an 8 year maximum of approximately 6,500 flu deaths in a week.
    Click image for larger version

Name:	Influenza Mortality.png
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    Week // Coronavirus fatalities
    Week 9: 1
    Week 10: 16
    Week 11: 49
    Week 12: 265
    Week 13: 1,760
    Week 14: 6,259
    Week 15: 12,137
    Week 16: 18,225
    Week 17: 14,760
    Week 18: 12,945
    Week 19: 12,298

    Leave a comment:


  • gsgs
    replied
    here the yearly flu and covid induced mortality-hills in Europe :


    should we do such NPI-measures in s severe flu-season ?

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  • Ronan Kelly
    replied
    Daily COVID deaths:
    Click image for larger version

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    Fatalities by week:
    Click image for larger version

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    Using flu data from the National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) mortality surveillance system, the most intense flu season was 2017-18 which tallied 15,430 coded Influenza deaths between weeks 40 and 20. The CDC estimated the flu burden for that season at 61,000 (range 46,000-95,000). The highest flu week was week 3 of 2018 with 1,625 deaths. Using the CDC estimate as a guide, this corresponded with an 8 year maximum of approximately 6,500 flu deaths in a week. This past week we saw 12,945 reported coronavirus deaths.

    Leave a comment:


  • Ronan Kelly
    replied

    Daily reported fatalities:Click image for larger version  Name:	Coronavirus Calendar.png Views:	1 Size:	83.3 KB ID:	854202
    Fatalities by week:
    Click image for larger version  Name:	Influenza Mortality.png Views:	1 Size:	48.1 KB ID:	854203
    Flu death data from National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) mortality surveillance system. The number of coded flu deaths is only a part of the estimated flu deaths each week.

    Leave a comment:


  • Ronan Kelly
    replied
    Click image for larger version

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    Click image for larger version

Name:	Influenza Mortality.png
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    Using flu data from the National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) mortality surveillance system, the most intense flu season was 2017-18 which tallied 15,430 Influenza deaths between weeks 40 and 20. The CDC estimated the flu burden for that season at 61,000 (range 46,000-95,000). The highest flu week was week 3 of 2018 with 1,625 deaths. Using the CDC estimate as a guide, this corresponded with an 8 year maximum of approximately 6,500 flu deaths in a week. This past week we saw 18,225 reported coronavirus deaths.

    Leave a comment:


  • Shiloh
    replied
    Scott Gottlieb: Coronavirus Would Have Been ‘Far More Deadly than Spanish Flu’ If It Appeared in 1918: https://www.nationalreview.com/news/...eared-in-1918/

    Leave a comment:


  • Ronan Kelly
    replied
    Confirmed weekly flu deaths for the past 8 years and Confirmed weekly coronavirus deaths - see first post for limitations.
    Click image for larger version  Name:	Influenza Mortality.png Views:	1 Size:	42.5 KB ID:	848160
    The most intense flu season was 2017-18 which tallied 15,430 Influenza deaths between weeks 40 and 20. The CDC then estimated the flu burden for that season at 61,000 (range 46,000-95,000). The highest flu week was week 3 of 2018 with 1,625 deaths. Using the CDC estimate as a guide, this corresponded with an 8 year maximum of perhaps 6,500 flu deaths in a week. This past week we saw 12,137 reported coronavirus deaths.



    Daily coronavirus deaths

    Click image for larger version  Name:	image_30712.png Views:	4 Size:	43.5 KB ID:	848159

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  • Ronan Kelly
    replied
    Coronavirus death toll in U.S. almost certainly higher than official count

    COMMENTSBy Emma Brown, Beth Reinhard and Aaron C. Davis, The Washington Post
    April 5, 2020 | 2:29 PM
    The fast-spreading novel coronavirus is almost certainly killing Americans who are not included in the nation’s growing death toll, according to public health experts and government officials involved in the tally.

    The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention counts only deaths in which the presence of the coronavirus is confirmed in a laboratory test. “We know that it is an underestimation,” agency spokeswoman Kristen Nordlund said.

    A widespread lack of access to testing in the early weeks of the U.S. outbreak means people with respiratory illnesses died without being counted, epidemiologists say. Even now, some people who die at home or in overburdened nursing homes are not being tested, according to funeral directors, medical examiners and nursing home representatives.
    ...
    https://www.boston.com/news/national...rus-death-toll

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  • JJackson
    commented on 's reply
    'A picture is worth a thousand words' personified. For anyone who still thinks COVID is 'just another flu' and overblown your graph is a neutralising antigen.
    Ronan thanks.

  • Emily
    commented on 's reply
    I agree there appears to have been an error in the dropbox data. Gsgs asked me about that and CDC seems to have all causes weekly mortality data only through 2018. 2019 will come out in June, I think. King County (Seattle) refers to CDC data so no way to tally the numbers for the whole country adding up county data for the past few weeks.

  • Ronan Kelly
    replied
    Updated flu & covid chart - see first post for limitations
    Click image for larger version  Name:	Influenza Mortality.png Views:	35 Size:	51.1 KB ID:	845574 and a visual of how fatalities per day in the US are progressing.

    Click image for larger version  Name:	Coronavirus Calendar.png Views:	3 Size:	34.3 KB ID:	845575

    Leave a comment:


  • Ronan Kelly
    replied
    I'm not sure how true the allegation of reduced overall mortality is, the dropbox link is no longer functional and then there's this;

    False: “In Chicago, Covid-19 actually LOWERED the death rate.” : False
    By Haley BeMillerApril 3, 2020
    ...


    The examiner’s office handled 413 deaths in Chicago in March, according to its case archive as of April 2. At least 11 of them were tied to COVID-19, while other causes of death ranged from gunshot wounds to cardiovascular disease.
    In March 2019, by comparison, the medical examiner saw 279 deaths in Chicago. There were 301 Chicago cases in March 2018 and 306 in March 2017.

    These numbers show the virus doesn’t appear to be decreasing deaths as the Facebook post suggested. Instead, officials say it's likely the opposite.

    "The uptick you are seeing is a direct correlation to the rise in COVID-19 cases," said Natalia Derevyanny, director of communications for the Cook County Bureau of Administration."
    https://www.politifact.com/factcheck...te-drop-chica/

    Leave a comment:


  • Emily
    commented on 's reply
    Cardiovascular deaths are triggered by stress, so not commuting or being in toxic work environments might reduce those deaths for awhile in the vulnerable age group. Lots of people are posting videos about their pets and how relaxing it is to hang at home with them. Suicide is a big killer of the young and usually done while alone and if family is now working from home or not working, those deaths would be cut. Sudden deaths don't put a big strain on the critical care system like this pneumonia does, so that could explain why deaths are overall down but there is still a nightmare in the hospitals.
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