Asia Pac J Public Health . A Year Trend Analysis and Spatial Distribution of COVID-19 Cases in Nepal

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Asia Pac J Public Health


. 2021 May 3;10105395211012233.
doi: 10.1177/10105395211012233. Online ahead of print.
A Year Trend Analysis and Spatial Distribution of COVID-19 Cases in Nepal


Buddha Bahadur Basnet ¹ , Ramesh Raj Pant ² , Kiran Bishwakarma ^{3 4} , Sudip Paudel ² , Nashib Pandey ⁵ , Samir Kumar Adhikari ⁶ , Kamal Ranabhat ^{2 6} , Archana Ghimire ^{3 7}



Affiliations

• PMID: 33938266
• DOI: 10.1177/10105395211012233

Abstract

This study analyzes the trend and spatial distribution of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases with geographic information systems approach from January 23, 2020, to January 1, 2021. The prevalence of COVID-19 on the tested population, the case fatality rate, and cured rate in Nepal was ~13.00%, ~0.71%, and ~96.97%, respectively. The prevalence (~1.87) and death rate (~1.28 times) were higher among men than women and ~68% of fatal cases were with comorbidities-distinctly hypertension and chronic kidney diseases. The distribution of COVID-19 cases was heterogeneous across all administrative regions, mainly in Kathmandu valley and Bagmati Province. Confirmed and cured cases showed an upward trend till the end of October 2020 followed by a downward trend as of January 1, 2021. In the present scenario of the ongoing pandemic in Nepal, one of the better strategies to prevent and control the transmission of SARS-CoV-2 (severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2) could be monitoring using geographic information systems and spatial analysis.

Keywords: COVID-19; Nepal; SARS-CoV-2; comorbidities; spatial distribution.