J Public Health (Oxf). Negligible risk of the COVID-19 resurgence caused by work resuming in China (outside Hubei): a statistical probability study - FluTrackers News and Information

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J Public Health (Oxf). Negligible risk of the COVID-19 resurgence caused by work resuming in China (outside Hubei): a statistical probability study

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tetano

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J Public Health (Oxf). Negligible risk of the COVID-19 resurgence caused by work resuming in China (outside Hubei): a statistical probability study

March 30, 2020, 09:48 AM

J Public Health (Oxf). 2020 Mar 27. pii: fdaa046. doi: 10.1093/pubmed/fdaa046. [Epub ahead of print]
Negligible risk of the COVID-19 resurgence caused by work resuming in China (outside Hubei): a statistical probability study.

Zhao K¹, Long C², Wang Y¹, Zeng T³, Fu X¹.

Author information

Abstract

The COVID-19 outbreak in China appears to reach the late stage since late March 2020, and a stepwise restoration of economic operations is implemented. Risk assessment for such economic restoration is of significance. Here, we estimated the probability of COVID-19 resurgence caused by work resuming in typical provinces/cities and found that such probability is very limited (<5% for all the regions except Beijing). Our work may inform provincial governments to make risk level-based, differentiated control measures.
? The Author(s) 2020. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of Faculty of Public Health. All rights reserved. For permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oup.com.

KEYWORDS:

COVID-19; COVID-19 resurgence; SARS-CoV-2; coronavirus; risk assessment; work resuming

PMID:32219398DOI:10.1093/pubmed/fdaa046

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